About

Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Time Series Analysis with GRETL

This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...

Showing posts with label valuations. Show all posts
Showing posts with label valuations. Show all posts

Wednesday 19 February 2020

Stretched Market Valuations?

A very interesting pic from a post from Michael Lebowitz (via Twitter) highlighting stretched market valuations. Yes you must not fight the Fed and fight the tape but things are getting way too stretched in here valuation wise:

market valuations

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Wednesday 19 September 2018

Mid Week Market Insight

The US markets continue to out perform amidst glaring divergences and sky high valuations. Emerging markets continue to sell off despite recent dollar weakness. This weeks report focuses on key developments in global stock markets from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
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Thursday 30 August 2018

Mid Week Market Insight

Markets are at record highs. Valuations appear to be stretched. Here is the latest on valuations from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
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Monday 8 May 2017

The Case for a Sell in May and Go Away

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Friday 24 February 2017

Financial Markets - The Calm before the Storm

Global financial markets took a battering in 2022. Despite this volatility remains quite low despite making higher lows and higher highs throughout the year. The Indian market was an out-performer, but Gann fans are signaling a trend change both for the Index and Indian market volatility. Will complacency kill the cat in 2023?





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Friday 27 November 2015

Interesting Market News and Views from Global Financial Markets-8

1)The stock market looks more like the crash of 1937 — not the rebound of 2011


The stock market looks more like the crash of 1937 — not the rebound of 2011 | stock market | Scoop.it

From uk.businessinsider.com - November 19, 11:34 PM
"Interestingly, based simply on correlations the current market fits very closely with that of 1937."

2) Ahead Of Black Friday, Enthusiasm For Retail ETFs Wanes - MarketWatch


Ahead Of Black Friday, Enthusiasm For Retail ETFs Wanes - MarketWatch | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.marketwatch.com - November 19, 11:34 PM
Benzinga Ahead Of Black Friday, Enthusiasm For Retail ETFs Wanes MarketWatch XRT, the largest dedicated retail ETF, has shed 5 percent over the past week and more than 6 percent over the past month, giving traders and investors good reason to mull..."


3) 3 reasons to be bullish on gold in 2016 - Financial Post

3 reasons to be bullish on gold in 2016 - Financial Post | stock market | Scoop.it

From business.financialpost.com - Today, 5:51 PM
Gold prices recently hit yet another five-year low, but HSBC is calling for a bounce back in 2016"


4) Valuations Are 80% Of The Stock Investing Story - Seeking Alpha


Valuations Are 80% Of The Stock Investing Story - Seeking Alpha | stock market | Scoop.it

From seekingalpha.com - Today, 5:53 PM
By Rob BennettI often make the claim that it is a terrible mistake for buy-and-holders not to take valuations into consideration when setting their stock allocations, because the peer-reviewed research..."




5) Here's a Great Options Strategy for When You're Bullish on a Stock - TheStreet.com


Here's a Great Options Strategy for When You're Bullish on a Stock - TheStreet.com | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.thestreet.com - Today, 5:51 PM
The covered combination is a great options strategy for moderately bullish investors who are willing to sell their stock or buy more at the right price."

6) Crude Oil Prices As Oversold As 1999 Low - See It Market (blog)


Crude Oil Prices As Oversold As 1999 Low - See It Market (blog) | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.seeitmarket.com - Today, 5:52 PM
Crude Oil is quite simply the most important commodity on the planet. And crude oil prices are currently as oversold as they were at the 1999 low." 





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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.