About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

Showing posts with label technicals. Show all posts

Thursday, 15 April 2021

Investment Basics - Fundamentals and Technicals

This video gives you a basic understanding of fundamental and technical analysis in investing:

Wednesday, 19 September 2018

Mid Week Market Insight

The US markets continue to out perform amidst glaring divergences and sky high valuations. Emerging markets continue to sell off despite recent dollar weakness. This weeks report focuses on key developments in global stock markets from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:

Stock Markets

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Economic Calendar

GMT-4		Event	Actual	Consensus
Thursday, Jun 19
00:30	CH	SNB Financial Stability Report
24h	US	Juneteenth
02:00	CH	Imports (MoM)	19,469M		Revised from 19,089M
02:00	CH	Trade Balance	3,831M		Revised from 6,358M
02:00	CH	Exports (MoM)	23,300M		Revised from 25,447M
03:30	CH	SNB Interest Rate Decision		0.00%
03:30	CH	SNB Monetary Policy Assessment
04:00	CH	SNB Press Conference
07:00	UK	BoE Interest Rate Decision		4.25%
07:00	UK	BoE Monetary Policy Summary

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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.