About

Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Time Series Analysis with GRETL

This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...

Friday 25 December 2015

Interesting Market News and Views from Global Financial Markets-12

1) The Rate Hike Stock Market Crash Has Thrown Gasoline Onto An Already Raging Global Financial Inferno

The Rate Hike Stock Market Crash Has Thrown Gasoline Onto An Already Raging Global Financial Inferno | stock market | Scoop.it
From theeconomiccollapseblog.com - Today, 7:03 PM
If the stock market crash of last Thursday and Friday had all happened on one day, it would have been the 7th largest single day decline in U.S. history.

2) Portugal's anti-austerity Left take power in watershed moment for the euro

Portugal's anti-austerity Left take power in watershed moment for the euro | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.telegraph.co.uk - Today, 7:02 PM
AEP: The president threatened to sack the new government if it
challenges the EU's Fiscal Compact, deemed a formula for economic depression
by Keynesians

3) India pips US, China as No. 1 foreign direct investment destination - Times of India

India pips US, China as No. 1 foreign direct investment destination - Times of India | stock market | Scoop.it
From timesofindia.indiatimes.com - Today, 6:57 PM
India rises 16 places in Ranking Of Competitiveness

4) Buy the ETF, Not the Mutual Fund

Buy the ETF, Not the Mutual Fund | stock market | Scoop.it
From blogs.wsj.com - Today, 6:55 PM
On Dec. 10, Third Avenue Focused Credit Fund suspended its investors’ right to ask for their money back whenever they wish. That drastic step wasn’t unprecedented, however.

5) 2016: Why the bull market in stocks isn't dead yet

2016: Why the bull market in stocks isn't dead yet | stock market | Scoop.it
From money.cnn.com - Today, 6:55 PM
The U.S. stock market faces lots of threats in 2016. But market pros polled by CNNMoney think Wall Street will claw its way past these obstacles to reach new heights.

6) China to Extend Yuan’s Trading Hours, Widening Currency’s Appeal

China to Extend Yuan’s Trading Hours, Widening Currency’s Appeal | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.wsj.com - Today, 6:53 PM
China’s central bank, the PBOC, said it would increase the yuan’s trading day by seven hours, opening the currency to more foreign investors and narrowing the gap between the onshore and offshore foreign-exchange markets.
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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.