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Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Showing posts with label mutual fund. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mutual fund. Show all posts

Friday, 1 December 2017

Are Mutual Funds the Best Investment Vehicles? Think Again!

Mutual funds are very good investment avenues for the average investor. There is a popular belief that mutual funds are terrific investment vehicles because they potentially diversify risk away. A look at some of the best mutual funds in the recent past paints a rather interesting picture:

mutual fund comparison

source: spotalpha.com

What is interesting in the above chart  is that the returns above closely track each other. Funds that take high risk deliver higher returns while funds that take lower risk deliver lower returns. Thus it appears that none of the funds are consistently generating excess returns relative to the risk they are taking.

So how do we solve this problem? Why not consider an optimized portfolio of stocks that can produce significantly superior returns for a given level of risk? Enter the portfolio optimizer tool from Spotalpha.  Set your maximum risk profile (say -10%). Identify stocks and keep optimizing till you find a portfolio that provides maximum performance within identified risk profile. Allocate to these stocks and comeback every 15 days or so to check if there are any new re-balancing suggestions to the allocation. You are now on the path to superior returns.

 An optimized portfolio of stocks like this one delivered +154% return at a lower draw down risk of -5%, when compared to the best mutual fund which delivered +28% return for a draw down risk of -10% on an annual basis:
portfolio optimizer spotalpha

Friday, 25 December 2015

Interesting Market News and Views from Global Financial Markets-12

1) The Rate Hike Stock Market Crash Has Thrown Gasoline Onto An Already Raging Global Financial Inferno

If the stock market crash of last Thursday and Friday had all happened on one day, it would have been the 7th largest single day decline in U.S. history.

2) Portugal's anti-austerity Left take power in watershed moment for the euro

AEP: The president threatened to sack the new government if it
challenges the EU's Fiscal Compact, deemed a formula for economic depression
by Keynesians

3) India pips US, China as No. 1 foreign direct investment destination - Times of India

India rises 16 places in Ranking Of Competitiveness

4) Buy the ETF, Not the Mutual Fund

On Dec. 10, Third Avenue Focused Credit Fund suspended its investors’ right to ask for their money back whenever they wish. That drastic step wasn’t unprecedented, however.

5) 2016: Why the bull market in stocks isn't dead yet

The U.S. stock market faces lots of threats in 2016. But market pros polled by CNNMoney think Wall Street will claw its way past these obstacles to reach new heights.

6) China to Extend Yuan’s Trading Hours, Widening Currency’s Appeal

China’s central bank, the PBOC, said it would increase the yuan’s trading day by seven hours, opening the currency to more foreign investors and narrowing the gap between the onshore and offshore foreign-exchange markets.

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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.