Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Is a Recession Imminent?

Definition of a Recession: The textbook definition of a recession is two quarters of negative GDP growth. Some examples of recessions in...

Friday, 18 December 2015

Interesting Market News and Views from Global Financial Markets-11

1) What the oldest stock market index is saying now

The Dow Transports are unusually weak, and a well-known investing-newsletter editor just flashed a ‘sell’ signal, writes Mark Hulbert.

2) Stock market dividend gusher may be drying up

Dividend income from the FTSE 100 could face a nasty haircut next year

3) From ‘Bubble’ to ‘Crash,’ the Incredible Origins of 7 Finance Terms

Wall Street Journal personal-finance columnist Jason Zweig’s new book, “The Devil’s Financial Dictionary,” is a satirical glossary of investing terms.

4) Five Mind-Blowing Stats from the Selloff in the Biggest Junk Bond ETF

Big numbers from a big day in bonds.

5) The Incurable Japanese Syndrome And Europe | Ec...

For the fifth time in seven years Japan is back in recession, with GDP shrinking by a further 0.2% in the third quarter. Meanwhile, inflation has fallen from more than 2% to zero in just over six months.

6) Junk-Bond Rout Deepens, Sending Shockwaves Through Stocks and Other Markets

Traders say the selloff was triggered by the abrupt liquidation of Third Avenue Management’s high-yield bond mutual fund.

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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.