Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Is a Recession Imminent?

Definition of a Recession: The textbook definition of a recession is two quarters of negative GDP growth. Some examples of recessions in...

Tuesday, 17 November 2015

Interesting Market News and Views from Global Financial Markets-7

1) Why terrorism has a limited impact on markets - The Economist (blog)

One-off attacks merely shift economic activity from one period to another; long-term campaigns are another matter"

2)Japan's Stock Market Shrugs Off Recession Worries - Bloomberg

If Japan’s economy is in trouble, you wouldn’t know it from the stock market."

3) How the Stench of Deflation Fouls the Market Air - Investorplace.com

Deciding how the economy will react to an expected rate hike is difficult. Here's how we can invest while waiting for the Fed's details"

4) Investing For Income: Combining Preferred Shares With Bond ETFs - Seeking Alpha

Preferred shares can carry call risk or may have no final maturity.Investors can plan for the long-term yield from the shares, accounting for default risk, and avoid shares that trade at premiums to c..."

5) Putting Einstein to work for your investing future - MarketWatch

No matter what your age, or how much or little money you have, you can put one of Albert Einstein's insights to work for you. Compound interest, which was famously cited by Einstein as one of the wonders of the world."

6) Jim Cramer: Why the Fed Is the Stock Market's Enemy Right Now - TheStreet.com

With heighten speculation the Fed will raise rates in December, Cramer weighs in on why the Fed is the market's adversary."

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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.