About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

Wednesday, 8 July 2015

Why I am Bearish on the Indian Stock Market Nifty Index?

2 comments:

mayur30 July 2016 at 00:33
good piece of information,it will be more helpful if you would have mentioned the stocks itself
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Unknown19 February 2019 at 04:29
You have a good point here!I totally agree with what you have said!!Thanks for sharing your views...hope more people will read this article!!! Hindi Serial News
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Economic Calendar

GMT-4		Event	Actual	Consensus
Thursday, Jul 24
19:01	UK	GfK Consumer Confidence	-19	-20
Friday, Jul 25
02:00	UK	Retail Sales (MoM)	0.9%	1.2%
02:00	UK	Retail Sales (YoY)	1.7%	1.8%	Revised from -1.3%
02:00	UK	Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)	0.6%	1.2%	Revised from -2.8%
02:00	UK	Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)	1.8%	2.0%	Revised from -1.3%
08:30	US	Durable Goods Orders ex Defense
08:30	US	Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation		0.1%
08:30	US	Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft		0.2%
08:30	US	Durable Goods Orders		-10.8%
13:00	US	Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count		421

Economic Calendar >> Add to your site

My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.