About

Rajveer Rawlin received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Monday, 6 July 2015

Economic Calendar for the Week beginning July 6

 Comprehensive Economic Calendar from Dailyfx


DateTimeCurrencyEventImportanceActualForecastPreviousNotes
Mon
Jul 6
GBP Halifax House Price (3MoY) (JUN)Low8.6%
GBP Halifax Plc House Prices s.a. (MoM) (JUN)Low-0.1%
00:30
AUD TD Securities Inflation (MoM) (JUN)Low0.1%0.3%
00:30
AUD TD Securities Inflation (YoY) (JUN)Low1.5%1.4%
01:30
AUD ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) (JUN)Low1.3%0.1%
05:00
JPY Coincident Index (MAY P)Medium-1.8109.1111.0
05:00
JPY Leading Index (MAY P)Medium106.2106.2106.4
06:00
EUR German Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) (MAY)Medium4.7%3.8%1.3%
06:00
EUR German Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) (MAY)Low-0.2%-0.4%2.2%
07:15
CHF CPI EU Harmonized (YoY) (JUN)Medium-0.6%-1.0%-0.9%
07:15
CHF Consumer Price Index (YoY) (JUN)Medium-1%-1.2%-1.2%
07:15
CHF CPI EU Harmonized (MoM) (JUN)Low0.2%-0.1%0.0%
07:15
CHF Consumer Price Index (MoM) (JUN)Low0.1%-0.1%0.2%
07:30
EUR Markit Germany Construction PMI (JUN)Medium50.750.8
08:00
GBP New Car Registrations (YoY) (JUN)Low12.9%2.4%
08:10
EUR Markit Eurozone Retail PMI (JUN)Medium50.451.4
08:10
EUR Markit Germany Retail PMI (JUN)Medium54.055.8
08:10
EUR Markit France Retail PMI (JUN)Low48.948.7
08:10
EUR Markit Italy Retail PMI (JUN)Low46.748.3
08:30
EUR Euro-Zone Sentix Investor Confidence (JUL)Medium18.515.017.1
13:45
USD Markit US Composite PMI (JUN F)Low54.654.6
13:45
USD Markit US Services PMI (JUN F)Low54.854.954.8
14:00
USD ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite (JUN)High56.056.455.7
14:00
CAD Ivey Purchasing Managers Index s.a. (JUN)Medium55.955.562.3
14:00
USD Labor Market Conditions Index Change (JUN)Medium0.82.00.9
14:30
CAD Band of Canda Senior Loan Officer Survey (2Q)Low1.46.7
14:30
CAD Business Outlook Future Sales (2Q)Low8.012.04.0
22:00
NZD NZIER Business Opinion Survey (2Q)Low523
23:30
AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index (JUN)Medium46.447.8
23:30
AUD ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index (JUL 5)Low111.0116.3
23:50
JPY Official Reserve Assets (JUN)Low$1242.9B$1245.8B
Tue
Jul 7
04:30
AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Decision (JUL 7)High2.00%2.00%
05:45
CHF Unemployment Rate (JUN)Medium3.1%3.2%
05:45
CHF Unemployment Rate s.a. (JUN)Medium3.3%3.3%
06:00
EUR German Industrial Production n.s.a. and w.d.a. (YoY) (MAY)Medium2.6%1.4%
06:00
EUR German Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) (MAY)Low0.1%0.9%
06:30
AUD Foreign Reserves (Australian dollar) (JUN)LowA$73.2B
07:00
CHF Foreign Currency Reserves (JUN)Low515.7B517.5B
08:30
GBP Industrial Production (YoY) (MAY)Medium1.6%1.2%
08:30
GBP Manufacturing Production (YoY) (MAY)Medium1.8%0.2%
08:30
GBP Industrial Production (MoM) (MAY)Low-0.2%0.4%
08:30
GBP Manufacturing Production (MoM) (MAY)Low0.1%-0.4%
11:00
EUR Eurogroup Summit On Greek ReferendumHigh
12:30
USD Trade Balance (MAY)Medium-$42.75B-$40.90B
12:30
CAD International Merchandise Trade (Canadian dollar) (MAY)Low-2.50B-2.97B
14:00
GBP NIESR Gross Domestic Product Estimate (JUN)Medium0.6%
14:00
USD IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (JUL)Low48.848.1
14:00
USD JOLTS Job Openings (MAY)Low53005376
19:00
USD Consumer Credit (MAY)Medium$18.500B$20.541B
23:01
GBP BRC Shop Price Index (YoY) (JUN)Low-1.9%
23:50
JPY Bank Lending Banks ex-Trust (JUN)Medium2.5%2.6%
23:50
JPY Bank Lending incl Trusts (YoY) (JUN)Medium2.6%
23:50
JPY Trade Balance - BOP Basis (Yen) (MAY)Medium-¥287.5B-¥146.2B
23:50
JPY Adjusted Current Account Total (Yen) (MAY)Low¥1375.2B¥1274.2B
23:50
JPY Current Account Total (Yen) (MAY)Low¥1563.6B¥1326.4B
Wed
Jul 8
04:30
JPY Bankruptcies (YoY) (JUN)Medium-13.18%
05:00
JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current (JUN)Medium53.053.3
05:00
JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook (JUN)Medium54.054.5
11:00
USD MBA Mortgage Applications (JUL 3)Medium-4.7%
12:30
CAD Building Permits (MoM) (MAY)Medium-5.0%11.6%
14:30
USD DOE Cushing OK Crude Inventory (JUL 3)Low123K
14:30
USD DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories (JUL 3)Low2386K
14:30
USD DOE U.S. Distillate Inventory (JUL 3)Low392K
14:30
USD DOE U.S. Gasoline Inventories (JUL 3)Low-1757K
18:00
USD U.S. Fed Releases Minutes from June 16-17 FOMC MeetingHigh
18:00
USD Fed's Williams Speaks on Outlook in Los AngelesLow
22:00
NZD ANZ Truckometer Heavy (MoM) (JUN)Low-1.1%
22:45
NZD NZ Card Spending (MoM) (JUN)Medium1.4%
22:45
NZD Card Spending Retail (MoM) (JUN)Low0.5%1.2%
23:01
GBP RICS House Price Balance (JUN)Low36%34%
23:50
JPY Japan Buying Foreign Bonds (Yen) (JUL 3)Medium-¥45.2B
23:50
JPY Japan Buying Foreign Stocks (Yen) (JUL 3)Medium¥234.0B
23:50
JPY Machine Orders (YoY) (MAY)Medium16.7%3.0%
23:50
JPY Foreign Buying Japan Bonds (Yen) (JUL 3)Low-¥1386.4B
23:50
JPY Foreign Buying Japan Stocks (Yen) (JUL 3)Low¥298.2B
23:50
JPY Japan Money Stock M2+CD (YoY) (JUN)Low4.0%4.0%
23:50
JPY Japan Money Stock M3 (YoY) (JUN)Low3.3%3.3%
23:50
JPY Machine Orders (MoM) (MAY)Low-5.0%3.8%
Thu
Jul 9
NZD REINZ House Sales (YoY) (JUN)Low21.6%
01:30
AUD Employment Change (JUN)High0.0K42.0K
01:30
AUD Unemployment Rate (JUN)High6.1%6.0%
01:30
CNY Consumer Price Index (YoY) (JUN)High1.3%1.2%
01:30
AUD Full Time Employment Change (JUN)Medium14.7K
01:30
CNY Producer Price Index (YoY) (JUN)Medium-4.6%-4.6%
01:30
AUD Part Time Employment Change (JUN)Low27.3K
01:30
AUD Participation Rate (JUN)Low64.7%64.7%
02:00
JPY Tokyo Avg Office Vacancies (JUN)Low5.17
06:00
EUR German Trade Balance (euros) (MAY)Medium20.5B21.8B
06:00
JPY Machine Tool Orders (YoY) (JUN P)Medium15.0%
06:00
EUR German Current Account (euros) (MAY)Low16.0B19.6B
06:00
EUR German Exports s.a. (MoM) (MAY)Low-0.8%2.0%
06:00
EUR German Imports s.a. (MoM) (MAY)Low0.1%-0.8%
09:45
USD Fed's Kocherlakota Speaks on Central Banks in FrankfurtLow
11:00
GBP BOE Asset Purchase Target (JUL)High375B375B
11:00
GBP Bank of England Rate Decision (JUL 9)High0.50%0.50%
12:15
CAD Housing Starts (JUN)Medium190.0K201.7K
12:30
CAD New Housing Price Index (YoY) (MAY)Medium1.1%
12:30
USD Continuing Claims (JUN 27)Medium2264K
12:30
USD Initial Jobless Claims (JUL 4)Medium277K281K
12:30
CAD New Housing Price Index (MoM) (MAY)Low0.1%0.1%
14:00
USD Fed Governor Lael Brainard Speaks in WashingtonLow
14:30
USD EIA Natural Gas Storage Change (JUL 3)Low69
14:30
USD EIA Natural Working Gas Implied (JUL 3)Low69
17:00
USD Fed's George Speaks on Economy in OklahomaLow
23:50
JPY Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index (MoM) (JUN)Low0.1%0.3%
23:50
JPY Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index (YoY) (JUN)Low-2.2%-2.1%
Fri
Jul 10
CNY Aggregate Financing CNY (JUN)High1400.0B1219.6B
CNY New Yuan Loans CNY (JUN)High1050.0B900.8B
CHF Real Estate Index Family Homes (2Q)Medium445.5
CNY Foreign Reserves (JUN)Low$3725.0B$3730.0B
CNY Money Supply M0 (YoY) (JUN)Low3.1%1.8%
CNY Money Supply M1 (YoY) (JUN)Low4.4%4.7%
CNY Money Supply M2 (YoY) (JUN)Low11.0%10.8%
01:30
AUD Home Loans (MAY)Medium-3.0%1.0%
01:30
AUD Investment Lending (MAY)Medium2.6%
01:30
AUD Value of Loans (MoM) (MAY)Low3.1%
05:00
JPY Consumer Confidence Index (JUN)Medium41.741.4
08:30
GBP Total Trade Balance (Pounds) (MAY)Medium-£2150-£1202
08:30
GBP Trade Balance Non EU (Pounds) (MAY)Medium-£2800-£2094
08:30
GBP Visible Trade Balance (Pounds) (MAY)Medium-£9700-£8561
08:30
GBP Construction Output s.a. (MoM) (MAY)Low0.8%-0.8%
08:30
GBP Construction Output s.a. (YoY) (MAY)Low3.1%1.5%
12:30
CAD Net Change in Employment (JUN)High-10.0K58.9K
12:30
CAD Unemployment Rate (JUN)High6.9%6.8%
12:30
CAD Full Time Employment Change (JUN)Medium30.9
12:30
CAD Part Time Employment Change (JUN)Low27.9
12:30
CAD Participation Rate (JUN)Low65.9
14:00
USD Wholesale Inventories (MAY)Medium0.3%0.4%
14:00
USD Wholesale Trade Sales (MoM) (MAY)Low0.9%1.6%
15:35
USD Fed's Rosengren to Speak at 7th Annual Rocky Mountain EconomicLow
16:00
USD Janet Yellen Speaks at the City Club of ClevelandMedium
17:00
USD Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count (JUL 10)Medium862





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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.