Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed.
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Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
Showing posts with label inflation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label inflation. Show all posts
Sunday, 2 July 2017
Tuesday, 23 August 2016
Chart of the Week - S & P 500 real sales growth
The chart of the week is via multpl.com and tracks real sales growth of the S & P 500 companies. Real sales growth as measured by the annual change in sales adjusted for inflation entered negative territory in 2015 and continues to remain so. The last time this occurred was in 2009. Will there be a similar price adjustment to reflect the declining fundamentals?
Tuesday, 12 July 2016
Chart of the Week - Historical Inflation View
The chart of the week is courtesy MarketWatch and shows inflation levels over time. We have been in a dis-inflationary phase for over 20 years now and could soon enter a deflationary spiral as record levels of quantitative easing (QE) have failed to spark an upthrust in inflation:
Tuesday, 13 October 2015
Interesting Market News and Views from global financial markets-2
There is just something about this time of year that seems to be conducive to financial panic."
Traders will look for further confirmation Tuesday that the stock market has found its footing, ahead of the first major bank earnings."
3) The Stock Market Is Poised for a Huge Selloff -- Don't Be Fooled by the Recent ... - TheStreet.com
The stock market's recent rally was in the context of a bear market and offers investors the perfect exit before the coming collapse.. S&P 500 Index(^GSPC)"
4) Are We Too Obsessed About Deflation? - Bloomberg
Madhur Jha, senior global economist at Standard Chartered, discusses the impact of global inflation and deflation. She speaks to Bloomberg's Caroline Hyde on "Countdown." (Source: Bloomberg)"
5) Deflation in Wholesale Price Index to decline:India Ratings - Moneycontrol.com
A reversal in the base effect will lead to lower deflation in the wholesale price index (WPI) and a rise in the consumer price index (CPI) in September says India Ratings"
6) QE Causes Deflation, Not Inflation
RT @DA_Stockman: QE Causes Deflation, Not Inflationhttp://t.co/Fytko0GlfO
Interesting Market News and Views
http://t.co/z8SoLSOiMW pic.twitter.com/cEU7a7sC6o
— samuelR (@RajveerRawlin) October 14, 2015
Wednesday, 10 June 2015
Some Great Reads from the World of Economics and Financial Markets
VELOCITY of Money Below Great Depression Levels
Forecaster Martin Armstrong writes on how the velocity of money today is below levels that were observed in the Great Depression (#greatdep).
Forecaster Martin Armstrong writes on how the velocity of money today is below levels that were observed in the Great Depression (#greatdep).
Tara Clarke at Money Morning analyses Nobel Laureate and Yale professor of economics Robert Shiller's views.
Craig Erlam at MarketPulse discusses the rational for a #stimulus in China following soft inflation figures.
Michael Snyder at the Economic Collapse Blog provides an insight on countries with and without Central Banks.
Dr. Pipslow at BabyPips.com offers some key pointers on trading large Forex positions.
Barry Ritholtz at The Big Picture writes about the improving labour market in the US.
San at Nifty charts and patterns provides a technical update on India's benchmark stock market #Nifty Index.
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Market Insight
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Why Malik Willis Could Help Solve The Packers’ Red Zone Woes - The Green Bay Packers have gotten worse in red zone offense every year since 2020 under Matt LaFleur, and this marks Green Bay’s worst season of the six-ye...1 hour ago
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The Fools on the Hill - COMMENT FROM EUROPE: Hello, Mr. Armstrong; I hope you are having a good Saturday so far ? reading today your latest post ,it seems to me the world is appro...5 hours ago
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Satellite Images Reveal North Korea Reportedly Receiving Illicit Oil from Russia - Satellite images have reportedly revealed that Russia has supplied North Korea with over one million barrels of oil since March, violating UN sanctions. ...7 hours ago
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The Holiday Setup - Weekly report covering Gold, Equities, Crude, Dollar. A look at trade opportunities and covering the model portfolio. The post The Holiday Setup appeared...10 hours ago
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B. Metzler seel. Sohn & Co. Holding AG Acquires Shares of 15,923 Edison International (NYSE:EIX) - B. Metzler seel. Sohn & Co. Holding AG acquired a new position in Edison International (NYSE:EIX – Free Report) in the 3rd quarter, according to its most r...13 hours ago
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Saturday links: climate resiliency - On Saturdays we catch up with the non-finance related items that we didn’t get to earlier in the week. You can check...14 hours ago
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10 Weekend Reads - The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Danish Blend coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • 100 Most Powerfu...16 hours ago
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Debt Rattle November 23 2024 - Titian The rape of Europe 1560-62 • In the Weeds of the Swamp (Kunstler) • Ukrainians Have Stolen Up To Half Of US Aid – Ex-Polish Deputy Minister (RT)...18 hours ago
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Two Years of +20% Gains for S&P 500: What's Next? │ Michael Hartnett - Michael Hartnett, Chief Investment Strategist at Bank of America, notes that the S&P 500 is on track for a +20% return in two consecutive years. This has o...
1 day ago -
S&P 500 PE Ratio - *Current S&P 500 PE Ratio:* 30.52 +0.10 (0.32%) 4:00 PM EST, Fri Nov 221 day ago
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Anti-Progress, Breakdown, Reset - *The indicators of breakdown and collapse are all around us, but we don't dare name them because then they'd become a problem we can't bury. * *A reality ...1 day ago
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Service Announcement - Subscriber content. To subscribe to the Daily Market Brief please visit Market Services on NorthmanTrader.com. The Daily Market Brief is an in-depth market...1 day ago
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Now That Warheads Are Raining Down, Does Anyone Still Think The Russians Are “Bluffing”? - This didn’t have to happen. Years of catastrophically bad decisions by the western elite have brought us to the brink of nuclear war. For more than two...2 days ago
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How 2 Consumer ETFs Stack Up Now - Back in August, I spotted an interesting dynamic between two sectors of the market. Let's see how these two consumer ETFs rate now. The post How 2 Consum...
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How quickly is GenAI being adopted? : Recent insights from the Research Division - What do steam locomotives, gas-powered automobiles, and generative artificial intelligence all have in common? They’re impactful and disruptive technologie...2 days ago
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The Future of Eyewear Commerce: The Benefits of Buying Glasses Online - Here are the benefits of buying glasses online, from convenience to affordability to customization.4 days ago
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The Siren Song of Sustainability: The Theocratic Trifecta's Third Leg! - You might know, by now, of my views on ESG, which I have described as an empty acronym, born in sanctimony, nurtured in hypocrisy and sold with sophi...
1 week ago -
Fund your trading account in AED and SAR - Dukascopy Bank is extending the range of base currencies for Trading Accounts (JForex, MT5, Binaries) with the addition of the United Arab Emirates Dirha...1 week ago
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Regency Silver (RSMX.V) – Stock Pick of the Month November 2024 - Our pick for this month is one that picks all of the criteria I like. Before I begin, let me talk about the company. Let me show you what I call my 5 ps of...2 weeks ago
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Three Stocks: ServiceNow, IBM and UPS - United Parcel Service UPS (UPS) turned in a +5% performance today following the company’s earnings report. The shipping company showed strong results for...4 weeks ago
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Unlocking Explosive Gains: Mastering the 20-Day EMA Pullback After a Strong Thrust - Missed the initial breakout? Don’t worry – there’s still a chance to catch that rocket! Today, we’re diving deep into a powerful strategy that could be y...5 weeks ago
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Seasoned Traders bootcamp October - - Price: $1500 for non-members - Date: October 26—27, 2024 - Time: Sat, 9:00 AM to 5:00 PM Sun, 9:00 AM to 1:00 PM - Meals: Coffe...1 month ago
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Can NVDA’s Share Buybacks and AI Innovation Drive the Next Rally? - NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has undoubtedly been one of the hottest large-cap stocks this year, surging over 150% year-to-date and more than 195% in the past...1 month ago
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The Great Unwinding of Stock Listings - [image: total nyse and nasdaq issues traded] The drop in the number of publicly traded U.S. companies is continuing. I last reported on that here back i...1 month ago
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The Phrase ‘Better Red Than Expert’ Totally Explains The Current US Regime - By Barry Ferguson07/10/24It should be clear that our world today is caught in a battle between good versus evil. The ‘good’ is the populace and the ‘evil’ ...4 months ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!6 months ago
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Weekend Update - Trendline rejection (3/8/24) - SPX was rejected by the blue trendline Friday. The trendline had been sucessfully tested four times and held since November, until now. SPX has unable ...
8 months ago -
Mungerisms: Timeless Wisdom from Charlie Munger on Life and Business - "Mungerisms" are succinct expressions of wisdom and insights coined by Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett's longtim...11 months ago
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It’s Crunch Time for The Daily Doom and Doom Time for The Great Recession Blog - The Great Recession Blog is officially done for good, and my writing continues on TheDailyDoom.com. This site will eventually be completely terminated. If ...1 year ago
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Innovative Industrial Properties Stock a Great Way to Play Pot Sector - *IIPR Stock Represents a Long-Term Opportunity* Marijuana stocks briefly attracted investors' attention following the 2022 mid-term elections, when Maryl...1 year ago
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2008 analogue - The 2008 analogue tape looks very interesting from where we stand. Let's anchor it to the next two Fed meetings -- since that's all that matters -- and i...
1 year ago -
Back to trade with Bar Replay - It is often said that one should not be sad about the past, but sometimes it can be nice to return to it. Who would like to buy Tesla for $1 and experience...1 year ago
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After This Holiday Rally, You Better Know When To Walk Away - This week’s investor insight will make you think twice about the current stock and bond rally as we head into the end of the year. We get a lot of questi...2 years ago
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How Africa Can Escape Chronic Food Insecurity Amid Climate Change - The toll of extreme weather events on crops underscores the region’s challenges and need for policies to save lives and protect livelihoods.2 years ago
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12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market - 12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market [image: Bear Market Rules Survival Guide] I grew up in the 1970s-1980s when th...2 years ago
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Growth Companies – Getting What You Want - What do the growth companies in your field have in common? How are they doing so well and what can you learn from them? Growth companies usually make a pro...2 years ago
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Blog Post Title - What goes into a blog post? Helpful, industry-specific content that: 1) gives readers a useful takeaway, and 2) shows you’re an industry expert. Use your c...3 years ago
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Foot Locker Crushed Q2 Earnings Expectations Sending Stock Higher - Plus, AstraZeneca said its antibody therapy reduced the risk of developing COVID-19 symptoms by 77%, The Topps Co’s SPAC merger is off, and Elon Musk annou...3 years ago
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Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - July 10th - The market has continued its rally to higher highs and it doesn't seem like it wants to stop. We now have a new ATH at 4371 which are NASDAQ levels s...
3 years ago -
The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It - Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.3 years ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!3 years ago
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Trading: Opportunities Are Dispersed - Opportunities are dispersed. You might have an... *READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE ON THE NEW WEBSITE: JIM ROGERS TALKS MARKETS * *Jim Rogers is a legendary i...
3 years ago -
Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning November 09 - Indicator Weekly Level / Change Implication for S & P 500 Implication for Nifty* S & P 500 3509, 7.32% Bullish Bullish Nifty 12264, 5.34% Neutral ** Bullis...4 years ago
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November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any nation than the lowness of interest"?" published. https://bit.ly/2y4LJZQ - November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any n...4 years ago
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Fully Automated Trend Trading w/ Stocks Or Options - There’s a lot of research to support the usage of trend indicators as simple risk reduction elements that can be layered onto an existing strategy. Howev...4 years ago
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2020 Top Investment Picks – Q3 Update - At the beginning of the year, I put together a list of Top Investment Picks for 2020 from the investment community and track them on this website. This is ...4 years ago
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Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes - I just published a new long-form piece through OSAM entitled “Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes.” In th...4 years ago
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The last of 12326 - February 22nd 2012..... First post... https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/2012/02/can-anyone-fly-plane.html -- This post will be the last under the o...
4 years ago -
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Ultramarathoner Runs Over 200 Miles in Backyard, Wins Golden Toilet Paper Roll - Strange times indeed. In the land “BC,” before coronavirus, people ran long distances in foot races, and toilet paper wasn’t coveted. Things have changed. ...4 years ago
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One Year Later - A year ago today I lost my father and my best friend, everyone here lost their mentor and a friend. Dad and I spent the last 7 years of his life living tog...4 years ago
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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Retreating Towards Key Support Around $25.60-$27 -
AMD has failed to clear the 2018 high around $34.20. It is retreating, and has broken an August/September sup...
5 years ago -
Advanced Search is Now on Stocktwits - Advanced Search Is Now on Stocktwits Come rain or shine, the Stocktwits community shares over 200,000 messages per day. That includes charts, news, trade i...5 years ago
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Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 - To access this post, you must purchase Premium Plan or Premium Plan - Annual. The post Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 appeared first on Elliottwa...5 years ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...6 years ago
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A look at the bull market ahead - My latest missive on the near-term stock market outlook can be seen at Financial Sense web site. You can see it by clicking on the following link: https:/...6 years ago
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Weekly Videos - This week’s video will be posted on the new home for Short Takes. If all goes well, it will appear sometime between 6:00 and 8:00 pm ET.6 years ago
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Gold Miners near a buy zone - Gold cleared a several month long consolidation a few weeks ago as it cleared $1300, and has since been consolidating as it drifts back to […] The post G...7 years ago
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Current Account Deficits and Safe Assets - The International Monetary Fund has issued its External Sector Report for 2017, and among its key findings: “Global current account imbalances were broadly...7 years ago
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Kafka For The Twenty First Century - I've been spending a slightly frustrating day trying to update my payment details at google. To log in to my admin console I need to log in using my G Sui...
7 years ago -
Gold Unleashed by Fed - Gold's next major upleg was likely unleashed by a very-dovish FOMC this week, which now has its hands tied on hiking rates or being hawkish due to the US e...8 years ago
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Why Mitt Romney Will Be The Next President - News Flash: Despite how it may look, what with Occupy Wall Street protests and Tea Party rallies, the country’s populous is not as polarized as it might se...12 years ago
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August 24th Blogger Sentiment Poll - There are more bulls than bears in this week's poll. Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave L...15 years ago
Forex Insight
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Global Market Weekly Recap: November 18 – 22, 2024 - Global markets rallied despite heightened Russia-Ukraine tensions, with gold and oil gaining on safe-haven flows while bitcoin neared record highs.1 day ago
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Dogecoin Price Forecast: Bulls deploy $355M in DOGE longs amid Gensler exit confirmation - Read more on https://www.fxstreet.com1 day ago
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Markets Weekly Outlook – Inflation Data & Geopolitics to Dominate - Weak PMI data from Europe and the UK raise concerns about global economic outlook and sent the EUR and GBP tumbling. Escalating tensions in Russia-Ukraine ...1 day ago
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Upward Revision to Q2 GDP Aids the US Dollar’s Feeble Recovery - The second estimate of US GDP growth in Q2 saw an upward revision from 2.8% to 3%. However, US resilience has come under pressure, particularly in the labo...2 months ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...6 years ago
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook - EUR/USD's decline attempt was contained at 1.0494, above 1.0493 support and rebounded. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of ...7 years ago
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Loonie and Aussie Share Downward Bond - In yesterday’s post (Tide is Turning for the Aussie), I explained how a prevailing sense of uncertainty in the markets has manifested itself in the form of...13 years ago
India Market Insight
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Maharashtra Election 2024 Results IMPACT on Nifty - Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) displayed a Bullish approach in the Nifty Index Futures market by Buying 25523 contracts worth ₹ 1516 crores, res...13 hours ago
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Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial - [image: Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial] Emkay Global Financial recommended reduce rating on Persistent Systems with a...7 months ago
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Rupee falls 29 paise to close at 82.68 against US dollar - During the day, the rupee touched a high of 82.45 and a low of 82.68 against the greenback. On Friday, the rupee had settled at 82.39 against the dollar.
1 year ago -
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ES Hourly cloud and 4 Hour chart - - ES Hour moving towards the hourly cloud which may act as resistance. - 4 Hour chart shows a possible bullish candle which may give new high's ...
3 years ago -
JUST NIFTY BLOG 10-01-2020 - Bulk Deals FII DII Stats Date # of Deals Total Volume (In Millions) 01-01-1970 0 0.00 Click here to see all Bulk Deals Date Category Buy Amount (Rs. Cror...4 years ago
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Vist Note on Federal Bank - We recently met the senior management of Federal Bank which is one of the old private sector banks with a distribution network of 1252 branches (48% Kerala...6 years ago
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Nifty Bulls bounces ferociously holding 9930,EOD Analysis - FII's bought 4.8 K contract of Index Future worth 262 cores ,9.7 K Long contract were added by FII's and 4.8 K Short contracts were added by FII's. Net Ope...7 years ago
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Midcap & Smallcap Index Corrects, Lets Come Back To Fundamentals Again - Midcap Index had made a high of 18511 on 16th May 2017, fell almost 7% and is currently trading at 17230. Smallcap Index made all time high of 7679 on 11th...7 years ago
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Market outlook for 30/10/2016 - *Nifty closed up 22.75 points (0.26%) at 8638.00* while Future closed at 8667.40, premium of 29.40 points. *Bank Nifty closed up 41.35 points (0.21%) at 19...
8 years ago -
Option Open Interest for 28-10-2016 - Inference The index opened flat to positive and after making an initial low around 8581 saw some short covering to close at 8638.00, gain of 22.75 points. ...
8 years ago -
Market Review for 23rd August 2016 - *Nifty (8629)* we said ‘technically trend is still intact but there exists selling pressure near 8746 and support around 8600 zones’ the Nifty unfolded as...8 years ago
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ITC To Resume Cigarette Manufacturing - ITC manufactures a range of cigarette brands, including India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Navy Cut, Capstan, Bristol, Flake, Silk Cut, which are manufactur...8 years ago
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