About

Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Time Series Analysis with GRETL

This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...

Tuesday, 13 October 2015

Interesting Market News and Views from global financial markets-2

1) Stock Market Crash October 2015? 9 of the 16 Largest Crashes in History Have ... - Charisma News


Stock Market Crash October 2015? 9 of the 16 Largest Crashes in History Have ... - Charisma News | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.charismanews.com - October 9, 8:06 PM
There is just something about this time of year that seems to be conducive to financial panic."

2) Street eyes stock market recovery, bank earnings - CNBC


Street eyes stock market recovery, bank earnings - CNBC | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.cnbc.com - Today, 12:16 AM
Traders will look for further confirmation Tuesday that the stock market has found its footing, ahead of the first major bank earnings."

3) The Stock Market Is Poised for a Huge Selloff -- Don't Be Fooled by the Recent ... - TheStreet.com


The Stock Market Is Poised for a Huge Selloff -- Don't Be Fooled by the Recent ... - TheStreet.com | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.thestreet.com - Today, 12:16 AM
The stock market's recent rally was in the context of a bear market and offers investors the perfect exit before the coming collapse.. S&P 500 Index(^GSPC)"

4) Are We Too Obsessed About Deflation? - Bloomberg


Are We Too Obsessed About Deflation? - Bloomberg | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.bloomberg.com - October 12, 11:13 PM
Madhur Jha, senior global economist at Standard Chartered, discusses the impact of global inflation and deflation. She speaks to Bloomberg's Caroline Hyde on "Countdown." (Source: Bloomberg)"



5) Deflation in Wholesale Price Index to decline:India Ratings - Moneycontrol.com


Deflation in Wholesale Price Index to decline:India Ratings - Moneycontrol.com | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.moneycontrol.com -October 12, 11:11 PM
A reversal in the base effect will lead to lower deflation in the wholesale price index (WPI) and a rise in the consumer price index (CPI) in September says India Ratings"



6) QE Causes Deflation, Not Inflation


QE Causes Deflation, Not Inflation | stock market | Scoop.it

From davidstockmanscontracorner.com - October 12, 11:11 PM
RT @DA_Stockman: QE Causes Deflation, Not Inflationhttp://t.co/Fytko0GlfO

Here are some more interesting market news and views.


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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.