About

Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Showing posts with label deflation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label deflation. Show all posts

Wednesday 21 October 2015

Interesting Market News and Views from global financial markets-3

1)Just 1pc of fund managers have beaten the stock market since Black Monday - Telegraph

A fund that aims to mirror Warren Buffett’s investment style has beaten the
FTSE since Black Monday, but the vast majority of active funds have lagged
behind"

2)The skew view - the latest signal of stock-market doom? - Reuters

Wall Street is forever on the lookout for ever more exotic indicators of impending doom for the stock market, and the latest measure to catch eyeballs is the CBOE Skew index .SKEWX which recently flashed panic signals like never before."

3) 38 Images of The 2015 Stock Market Crash

During the August 2015 stock market crash, markets around the world dropped significantly. What was the cause? The media blames China, but were they?"











4) Stock market crash sets new records in 1987 - New York Daily News

Stock market crashes in 1987, under a selling avalanche of over half a billion shares, as traders recalled the Great Crash of 1929."



















5) 3 Reasons Stock Market Corrections Are Inevitable - Motley Fool

You may not want the stock market to fall, but it's only a matter of time."

6) Deflation's least-understood danger is also its most serious

The world is grievously underestimating the danger of deflation."

Here are some more interesting market news and views. 

Tuesday 13 October 2015

Interesting Market News and Views from global financial markets-2

1) Stock Market Crash October 2015? 9 of the 16 Largest Crashes in History Have ... - Charisma News

There is just something about this time of year that seems to be conducive to financial panic."

2) Street eyes stock market recovery, bank earnings - CNBC

Traders will look for further confirmation Tuesday that the stock market has found its footing, ahead of the first major bank earnings."

3) The Stock Market Is Poised for a Huge Selloff -- Don't Be Fooled by the Recent ... - TheStreet.com

The stock market's recent rally was in the context of a bear market and offers investors the perfect exit before the coming collapse.. S&P 500 Index(^GSPC)"

4) Are We Too Obsessed About Deflation? - Bloomberg

Madhur Jha, senior global economist at Standard Chartered, discusses the impact of global inflation and deflation. She speaks to Bloomberg's Caroline Hyde on "Countdown." (Source: Bloomberg)"



5) Deflation in Wholesale Price Index to decline:India Ratings - Moneycontrol.com

A reversal in the base effect will lead to lower deflation in the wholesale price index (WPI) and a rise in the consumer price index (CPI) in September says India Ratings"



6) QE Causes Deflation, Not Inflation

RT @DA_Stockman: QE Causes Deflation, Not Inflationhttp://t.co/Fytko0GlfO

Here are some more interesting market news and views.


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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.