About
Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.
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Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...

Showing posts with label stock market news. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stock market news. Show all posts
Tuesday, 15 March 2016
Dollar Strength to Return?
Labels:
dollar,
fed,
gold,
oil,
sp500,
stock market,
stock market news,
stocks,
volatility
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 21 October 2015
Interesting Market News and Views from global financial markets-3
A fund that aims to mirror Warren Buffett’s investment style has beaten the
FTSE since Black Monday, but the vast majority of active funds have lagged
behind"
Wall Street is forever on the lookout for ever more exotic indicators of impending doom for the stock market, and the latest measure to catch eyeballs is the CBOE Skew index .SKEWX which recently flashed panic signals like never before."
During the August 2015 stock market crash, markets around the world dropped significantly. What was the cause? The media blames China, but were they?"
Stock market crashes in 1987, under a selling avalanche of over half a billion shares, as traders recalled the Great Crash of 1929."
From www.fool.com - October 19, 3:57 PM
You may not want the stock market to fall, but it's only a matter of time."
The world is grievously underestimating the danger of deflation."
Here are some more interesting market news and views.
Labels:
deflation,
investing,
skew,
stock market,
stock market crash,
stock market news,
trading
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
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Market Insight
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‘Betty La Fea’ S2: Ana María Orozco, Jorge Enrique Abello Talk What To Expect - Prime Video's record-shattering sequel of the hit Colombian telenovela, returns for its highly anticipated second season, upping the stakes for its leading...1 hour ago
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Social Security Could Go Broke By 2032 — $18,000 Cuts Loom As 90-Year-Old Program Nears Breaking Point - Social Security faces insolvency by 2032, threatening 24% benefit cuts of up to $18,400 a year unless Congress enacts urgent reforms. read more1 hour ago
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The Alaska Summit – And Here We Go Into September - We are watching the initial dog & pony show where Trump parks nuclear-capable jets on both sides of the red carpet and then has a B-52 flyover. Meanwhile, ...4 hours ago
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Why Orbi Mesh WiFi and Nighthawk Routers Have Become Smart Home Staples - Orbi Mesh WiFi uses multiple nodes to reach every inch of a home and Nighthawk Routers ups the ante for draining tasks like 4k streaming and online gaming.7 hours ago
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S&P 500 PE Ratio - *Current S&P 500 PE Ratio:* 29.88 -0.07 (-0.24%) 4:00 PM EDT, Fri Aug 159 hours ago
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Boiled Frogs: AI Slop, Phishing, Deep-Fakes and Spam, Spam, Spam - *We're frogs in a pot that's being heated so gradually that we no longer notice the sewage is extinguishing the utility of the Web. * *Let's take "Show me...10 hours ago
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Fed Shock: Powell Walking into A Trap? - We’re now coming down to the wire — with just a few weeks left before Jerome Powell’s Fed officials decide whether or not we’ll see a rate cut in Septemb...11 hours ago
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Friday links: making correct decisions - Markets - Why is the bond market so chill? (ft.com) - Money is pouring into Ethereum ETFs. (sherwood.news) - Tech, growth stocks, and large caps...12 hours ago
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Is It Finally Time to Buy the Dip on Intel (INTC) Stock? - Intel (INTC) has had significant trouble getting its feet off the ground in recent years. The stock fell early in the 2020s as its dominance started fadi...13 hours ago
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MiB: Deven Parekh, Insight Partners on PE/VC - This week, I speak with Deven Parekh, Managing Director at Insight Partners, a growth equity investment fund based in New York City. Since joining In...14 hours ago
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National Bank of Canada FI Sells 21,426 Shares of Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE:TOL) - National Bank of Canada FI trimmed its stake in shares of Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE:TOL – Free Report) by 36.9% in the first quarter, according to the compa...17 hours ago
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Debt Rattle August 15 2025 - Joseph Mallord William Turner The Tenth Plague of Egypt 1802 • Without Zelensky, Peace Has A Chance (Tara Reade) • Kremlin Reveals Details Of Putin-Tru...19 hours ago
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SP500 Now Really Overvalued Versus M2 - [image: sp500 to m2 ratio] Most of the time analysts speak of the stock market getting overvalued in relation to earnings, dividends, book value, or some...1 day ago
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Putin-Trump Meeting to Be Followed by Market Panic Cycle | Martin Armstrong - The Putin-Trump meeting on Friday, August 15th, in Alaska preludes Martin Armstrong's forecasted Panic Cycle. The Dow Jones Industrial Average Weekly Tim...1 day ago
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Inflation Is Out Of Control (Again), And We Are Getting Slammed By Double-Digit Price Increases In Every Direction - Well, that was quite a shock. We just got confirmation that inflation is starting to accelerate once again. That is really bad news, because the cost o...1 day ago
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Measuring output in the nonprofit sector - The FRED Blog has discussed the growing economic footprint of the US nonprofit sector. Today, we dig deeper into this topic by answering two related questi...1 day ago
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Market Dashboard - Subscriber access. To subscribe please visit Market Services on NorthmanTrader.com. Whereas the Daily Market Brief goes into depth on macro and technical c...2 days ago
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Dukascopy Bank Announces Updated Terms and Conditions for MCA Accounts - Dukascopy Bank has released revised Terms and Conditions for all Multi Currency Account (MCA), effective [Date]. The comprehensive updates reflect the co...5 days ago
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Aug 9th Weekly Report - Weekly report covering Gold, Equities, Crude, Dollar. A look at trade opportunities and covering the model portfolio. The post Aug 9th Weekly Report appe...6 days ago
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The Imitation Game: Defending against AI's Dark Side! - A few weeks ago, I started receiving a stream of message about an Instagram post that I was allegedly starring in, where after offering my views on Pal...1 week ago
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Bitcoin’s 200-Day MA Breakout: Trading Crypto in Uncertain Times - As Bitcoin breaks through critical resistance levels, seasoned traders are eyeing both opportunities and warning signs in today’s volatile crypto landsca...3 months ago
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EV Supply Chain Play: Why Solid Power (SLDP) Could Be a Hidden Gem in Battery Tech - The electric vehicle (EV) revolution is shifting into high gear, and battery technology is at the center of it all. While traditional lithium-ion batteries...5 months ago
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Climate Change Profiteers Reveal The Democrat Party As A Satanic Death Cult Of Morons - By Barry Ferguson12/10/24The Democrat Party in the US has devolved into a satanic death cult of morons. They not only want to destroy themselves but the re...8 months ago
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Regency Silver (RSMX.V) – Stock Pick of the Month November 2024 - Our pick for this month is one that picks all of the criteria I like. Before I begin, let me talk about the company. Let me show you what I call my 5 ps of...9 months ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!1 year ago
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Weekend Update - Trendline rejection (3/8/24) - SPX was rejected by the blue trendline Friday. The trendline had been sucessfully tested four times and held since November, until now. SPX has unable ...1 year ago
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Mungerisms: Timeless Wisdom from Charlie Munger on Life and Business - "Mungerisms" are succinct expressions of wisdom and insights coined by Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett's longtim...1 year ago
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It’s Crunch Time for The Daily Doom and Doom Time for The Great Recession Blog - The Great Recession Blog is officially done for good, and my writing continues on TheDailyDoom.com. This site will eventually be completely terminated. If ...2 years ago
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Innovative Industrial Properties Stock a Great Way to Play Pot Sector - *IIPR Stock Represents a Long-Term Opportunity* Marijuana stocks briefly attracted investors' attention following the 2022 mid-term elections, when Maryl...2 years ago
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2008 analogue - The 2008 analogue tape looks very interesting from where we stand. Let's anchor it to the next two Fed meetings -- since that's all that matters -- and i...2 years ago
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Back to trade with Bar Replay - It is often said that one should not be sad about the past, but sometimes it can be nice to return to it. Who would like to buy Tesla for $1 and experience...2 years ago
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After This Holiday Rally, You Better Know When To Walk Away - This week’s investor insight will make you think twice about the current stock and bond rally as we head into the end of the year. We get a lot of questi...2 years ago
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How Africa Can Escape Chronic Food Insecurity Amid Climate Change - The toll of extreme weather events on crops underscores the region’s challenges and need for policies to save lives and protect livelihoods.2 years ago
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12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market - 12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market [image: Bear Market Rules Survival Guide] I grew up in the 1970s-1980s when th...3 years ago
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Growth Companies – Getting What You Want - What do the growth companies in your field have in common? How are they doing so well and what can you learn from them? Growth companies usually make a pro...3 years ago
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Blog Post Title - What goes into a blog post? Helpful, industry-specific content that: 1) gives readers a useful takeaway, and 2) shows you’re an industry expert. Use your c...3 years ago
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Foot Locker Crushed Q2 Earnings Expectations Sending Stock Higher - Plus, AstraZeneca said its antibody therapy reduced the risk of developing COVID-19 symptoms by 77%, The Topps Co’s SPAC merger is off, and Elon Musk annou...3 years ago
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Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - July 10th - The market has continued its rally to higher highs and it doesn't seem like it wants to stop. We now have a new ATH at 4371 which are NASDAQ levels s...4 years ago
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The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It - Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.4 years ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!4 years ago
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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning November 09 - Indicator Weekly Level / Change Implication for S & P 500 Implication for Nifty* S & P 500 3509, 7.32% Bullish Bullish Nifty 12264, 5.34% Neutral ** Bullis...4 years ago
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Fully Automated Trend Trading w/ Stocks Or Options - There’s a lot of research to support the usage of trend indicators as simple risk reduction elements that can be layered onto an existing strategy. Howev...4 years ago
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2020 Top Investment Picks – Q3 Update - At the beginning of the year, I put together a list of Top Investment Picks for 2020 from the investment community and track them on this website. This is ...4 years ago
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The last of 12326 - February 22nd 2012..... First post... https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/2012/02/can-anyone-fly-plane.html -- This post will be the last under the o...4 years ago
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Ultramarathoner Runs Over 200 Miles in Backyard, Wins Golden Toilet Paper Roll - Strange times indeed. In the land “BC,” before coronavirus, people ran long distances in foot races, and toilet paper wasn’t coveted. Things have changed. ...5 years ago
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March report "How Revolutions, Wars and Plagues are Harbingers of 'Great Changes' in Societies and in Economics" published. http://bit.ly/2y4LJZQ - March report "How Revolutions, Wars and Plagues are Harbingers of 'Great Changes' in Societies and in Economics" published.https://t.co/k29bzcK3DY — Marc ...5 years ago
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Weekend Report - Weekend Report Provided by the OEW Group December 21, 2019 Last Monday started with a sharp rally on positive trade news. After closing at 3169 the previou...5 years ago
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Financial Markets Will Move To Asia - Chicago, they invented the Soybean futures contracts. But now, China uses more soybeans than ... *READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE ON THE NEW WEBSITE: JIM ROGE...5 years ago
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GW Pharmaceuticals (GWPH) Signals Bearish Continuation To $100 -
GW Pharmaceuticals $GWPH has been retreating sharply, and might have further downside towards $100.
G...
5 years ago -
Meet Hert Capital and How He Uses Stocktwits - On Stocktwits, HertCapital has been known for quite some time. But for those reading who haven’t had a chance to follow him, we asked him a few questions...5 years ago
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The Earnings Mirage: Why Corporate Profits are Overstated and What it Means for Investors - I just published a new long-form piece through OSAM Research Partners entitled “The Earnings Mirage: Why Corporate Profits are Overstated and What it Means...6 years ago
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Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 - To access this post, you must purchase Premium Plan or Premium Plan - Annual. The post Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 appeared first on Elliottwa...6 years ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...6 years ago
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Weekly Videos - This week’s video will be posted on the new home for Short Takes. If all goes well, it will appear sometime between 6:00 and 8:00 pm ET.7 years ago
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Gold’s silent comeback and the middle class rebound - The middle class has been stuck in a rut – psychologically if not economically – for years, and they’re not afraid to admit it. Last year’s upset victory...7 years ago
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Kafka For The Twenty First Century - I've been spending a slightly frustrating day trying to update my payment details at google. To log in to my admin console I need to log in using my G Sui...8 years ago
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The Progressive Case for Abolishing the Corporate Income Tax - Reform of the corporate income tax is shaping up to be one of the big issues facing Congress in 2017. Republicans are pushing for big cuts in the corpora...8 years ago
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Gold Unleashed by Fed - Gold's next major upleg was likely unleashed by a very-dovish FOMC this week, which now has its hands tied on hiking rates or being hawkish due to the US e...8 years ago
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From false moves… - One of my favorite sayings came from my trader friend Brian Shannon, who said from false moves come fast moves. I always pay attention to […] The post Fr...11 years ago
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Why Mitt Romney Will Be The Next President - News Flash: Despite how it may look, what with Occupy Wall Street protests and Tea Party rallies, the country’s populous is not as polarized as it might se...13 years ago
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August 24th Blogger Sentiment Poll - There are more bulls than bears in this week's poll. Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave L...15 years ago
My Favorite Books
- The Intelligent Investor
- Liars Poker
- One up on Wall Street
- Beating the Street
- Remniscience of a stock operator
Trading Ideas
Forex Insight
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Trump and Putin joint press conference ends with no deal - Read more on https://www.fxstreet.com5 hours ago
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FX Weekly Recap: August 11 – 15, 2025 - GBP surged while Swiss franc drops amid Trump’s tariffs. Data & the Fed signaled September cuts to bring bearish sentiment onto USD into the weekend.7 hours ago
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Markets Weekly Outlook – Jackson Hole, NZ Rate Decisions and UK/EU Inflation data - A week ahead preview: US PPI data has moved the September rate cut narrative, with the Jackson Hole Symposium approaching and central bank meetings for NZ ...11 hours ago
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Upward Revision to Q2 GDP Aids the US Dollar’s Feeble Recovery - The second estimate of US GDP growth in Q2 saw an upward revision from 2.8% to 3%. However, US resilience has come under pressure, particularly in the labo...11 months ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...6 years ago
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook - EUR/USD's decline attempt was contained at 1.0494, above 1.0493 support and rebounded. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of ...8 years ago
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Loonie and Aussie Share Downward Bond - In yesterday’s post (Tide is Turning for the Aussie), I explained how a prevailing sense of uncertainty in the markets has manifested itself in the form of...14 years ago
Economic Calendar
GMT-4 | Event | Actual | Consensus | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Friday, Aug 15 | |||||
15:30 | US | CFTC Gold NC Net Positions | $229.5K | ||
15:30 | US | CFTC Oil NC Net Positions | 116.7K | ||
15:30 | AU | CFTC AUD NC Net Positions | $-87.9K | ||
16:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | $150.8B | Revised from $259.4B | |
16:00 | US | Total Net TIC Flows | $77.8B | Revised from $311.1B | |
Sunday, Aug 17 | |||||
18:30 | NZ | Business NZ PSI | |||
19:01 | UK | Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) | |||
19:01 | UK | Rightmove House Price Index (YoY) | |||
Monday, Aug 18 | |||||
02:30 | CH | Industrial Production (YoY) | |||
08:15 | CA | Housing Starts s.a (YoY) | 259.0K |
India Market Insight
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The Stone’s Regret: Why Short-Term Pain Leads to Long-Term Gain - The Sculptor’s Choice In a village nestled between emerald hills, a master sculptor hunted for stone. The jungle yielded two candidates: Stone A: Pristin...19 hours ago
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Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial - [image: Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial] Emkay Global Financial recommended reduce rating on Persistent Systems with a...1 year ago
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Rupee falls 29 paise to close at 82.68 against US dollar - During the day, the rupee touched a high of 82.45 and a low of 82.68 against the greenback. On Friday, the rupee had settled at 82.39 against the dollar.2 years ago
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JUST NIFTY BLOG 10-01-2020 - Bulk Deals FII DII Stats Date # of Deals Total Volume (In Millions) 01-01-1970 0 0.00 Click here to see all Bulk Deals Date Category Buy Amount (Rs. Cror...5 years ago
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Gold Top down analysis. - - Updating blog after a long Gap. Longest in the last 8 years. May not be able to update regularly for 2 more months to come. - Gold bulls co...6 years ago
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Vist Note on Federal Bank - We recently met the senior management of Federal Bank which is one of the old private sector banks with a distribution network of 1252 branches (48% Kerala...7 years ago
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Bank Nifty does Price Time Squaring and gave big move - As discussed in Last Analysis Bank Nifty gave the big move as we were expecting near turn date and also made low of 24706 near our target of 24700 and bo...7 years ago
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Midcap & Smallcap Index Corrects, Lets Come Back To Fundamentals Again - Midcap Index had made a high of 18511 on 16th May 2017, fell almost 7% and is currently trading at 17230. Smallcap Index made all time high of 7679 on 11th...8 years ago
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Market outlook for 28/10/2016 - *Nifty closed flat at 8615.25* while Future closed at 8655.25, premium of 40.00 points. *Bank Nifty closed up 31.00 points (0.16%) at 19514.60* while Futur...8 years ago
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Option Open Interest for 27-10-2016 - Inference The index opened flat and went down to touch the lows at 8550, but support level buying saw the index close flat at 8615.25. The broader market w...8 years ago
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NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 22-8-16 - *Nifty (8667)* we said ‘it is quite possible that the Nifty may open again in the green but I would be cautious in the upper regions’ the Nifty opened in ...8 years ago
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ITC To Resume Cigarette Manufacturing - ITC manufactures a range of cigarette brands, including India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Navy Cut, Capstan, Bristol, Flake, Silk Cut, which are manufactur...9 years ago
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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)
Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.