The chart of the week is from Lance Roberts via seeking alpha and shows seasonal variations in S & P 500 performance since 1928. The period between August and October is the weakest period often generating
negative returns:
negative returns:
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Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
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Market Insight
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Toast (NYSE:TOST) Rating Lowered to Hold at Wall Street Zen - Toast (NYSE:TOST – Get Free Report) was downgraded by equities research analysts at Wall Street Zen from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research no...1 hour ago
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Today’s NYT Mini Crossword Clues And Answers For Saturday, July 5th - Looking for help with today's NYT Mini Crossword puzzle? Here are some hints and answers for the puzzle.2 hours ago
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OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Says Democrats Lost The Plot As They No Longer Support Innovation Or Entrepreneurship: 'Now I Am Politically Homeless' - OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said he's now "politically homeless" after accusing Democrats of abandoning innovation and entrepreneurship. read more2 hours ago
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Is ChatGPT Epistemic? - QUESTION: You said that the German Nazi Party was raising money selling bonds in the United States before they invaded Poland in 1939. When I asked AI, if ...3 hours ago
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As The Global Food Crisis Escalates, The Price Of Ground Beef In The U.S. Is Up 16.2% Over The Past 12 Months - Americans still love hamburgers and French fries, but they sure are a lot more expensive than they once were. In fact, as you will see below, the price ...11 hours ago
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To Make America Great Again, Start Here - *Our status quo is so thoroughly corrupt that it's no longer even seen as corruption, it's just BAU--business as usual. * *It's a big ask, but let's depol...14 hours ago
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Weekend Report – July 4th-6th - Weekly report covering Gold, Equities, Crude, Dollar. A look at trade opportunities and covering the model portfolio. The post Weekend Report – July 4th-...16 hours ago
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Podcast links: mapping the world - Fridays are all about podcast links here at Abnormal Returns. You can check out last week’s links including a look at the...17 hours ago
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MiB: Kate Moore, Citi Wealth CIO - This week, I speak with Kate Moore, chief investment officer at Citi Wealth. We discuss her extensive and diverse career, which saw her as Head of ...19 hours ago
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Debt Rattle Fourth of July 2025 - Salvador Dali Figure at a window 1925 • House Republicans Pass Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ (ZH) • US Halts All Military Shipments To Ukraine – The Eco...21 hours ago
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Halftime Huddle — Moneyball is on Fire in 2025, but What’s Next? - We’ve officially reached the halfway point of 2025 — and so far, most of my predictions have been hitting the mark dead-on… So in today’s (brief) weekly ...
1 day ago -
Golden Cross Alert: Regional Banks Set to Rally 20% as Rates Fall - Today’s Stock of the Day: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) is starting to wake up, and traders should be payin...1 day ago
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Corn crop yields between 1866 and 1951 : On the value of hybrids - It’s summer and crops are well under way—a nice time for the FRED Blog to look back at the history of corn in this country. Our FRED graph above shows the ...1 day ago
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Trade more markets - we have added 303 cross instruments - We are excited to announce the expansion of our list of trading instruments. It includes a wide selection of cross-currency pairs, as well as crosses on p...2 days ago
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Daily Market Brief - Subscriber content. To subscribe to the Daily Market Brief please visit Market Services on NorthmanTrader.com. The Daily Market Brief is an in-depth market...2 days ago
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Hurst Cycles Analysis Update for the S&P 500 | David Hickson - The S&P 500 formed a subtle 80-day cycle trough around June 23, 2025, and is expected to rise toward a 20-week cycle peak in mid-July 2025 with moderate up...
4 days ago -
Inflation’s 5.31-Year Cycle Is Bottoming - [image: 5.31-year cycle in cpi] The FOMC in June elected not to cut its interest rate target, even though inflation data are coming in lower than feared....1 week ago
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Colossal's Dire Wolves Mark a Biotech Milestone - The biotechnology industry reached a watershed moment in 2025 with the successful birth of Colossal Biosciences' dire wolves.1 week ago
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The (Uncertain) Payoff from Alternative Investments: Many a slip between the cup and the lip? - It is true that most investing lessons are directed at those who invest only in stocks and bonds, and mostly with long-only strategies. It is also true...
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Bitcoin’s 200-Day MA Breakout: Trading Crypto in Uncertain Times - As Bitcoin breaks through critical resistance levels, seasoned traders are eyeing both opportunities and warning signs in today’s volatile crypto landsca...2 months ago
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EV Supply Chain Play: Why Solid Power (SLDP) Could Be a Hidden Gem in Battery Tech - The electric vehicle (EV) revolution is shifting into high gear, and battery technology is at the center of it all. While traditional lithium-ion batteries...4 months ago
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Climate Change Profiteers Reveal The Democrat Party As A Satanic Death Cult Of Morons - By Barry Ferguson12/10/24The Democrat Party in the US has devolved into a satanic death cult of morons. They not only want to destroy themselves but the re...6 months ago
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Regency Silver (RSMX.V) – Stock Pick of the Month November 2024 - Our pick for this month is one that picks all of the criteria I like. Before I begin, let me talk about the company. Let me show you what I call my 5 ps of...8 months ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!1 year ago
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Weekend Update - Trendline rejection (3/8/24) - SPX was rejected by the blue trendline Friday. The trendline had been sucessfully tested four times and held since November, until now. SPX has unable ...
1 year ago -
Mungerisms: Timeless Wisdom from Charlie Munger on Life and Business - "Mungerisms" are succinct expressions of wisdom and insights coined by Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett's longtim...1 year ago
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It’s Crunch Time for The Daily Doom and Doom Time for The Great Recession Blog - The Great Recession Blog is officially done for good, and my writing continues on TheDailyDoom.com. This site will eventually be completely terminated. If ...1 year ago
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Innovative Industrial Properties Stock a Great Way to Play Pot Sector - *IIPR Stock Represents a Long-Term Opportunity* Marijuana stocks briefly attracted investors' attention following the 2022 mid-term elections, when Maryl...2 years ago
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2008 analogue - The 2008 analogue tape looks very interesting from where we stand. Let's anchor it to the next two Fed meetings -- since that's all that matters -- and i...
2 years ago -
Back to trade with Bar Replay - It is often said that one should not be sad about the past, but sometimes it can be nice to return to it. Who would like to buy Tesla for $1 and experience...2 years ago
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After This Holiday Rally, You Better Know When To Walk Away - This week’s investor insight will make you think twice about the current stock and bond rally as we head into the end of the year. We get a lot of questi...2 years ago
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How Africa Can Escape Chronic Food Insecurity Amid Climate Change - The toll of extreme weather events on crops underscores the region’s challenges and need for policies to save lives and protect livelihoods.2 years ago
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12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market - 12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market [image: Bear Market Rules Survival Guide] I grew up in the 1970s-1980s when th...2 years ago
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Growth Companies – Getting What You Want - What do the growth companies in your field have in common? How are they doing so well and what can you learn from them? Growth companies usually make a pro...3 years ago
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Blog Post Title - What goes into a blog post? Helpful, industry-specific content that: 1) gives readers a useful takeaway, and 2) shows you’re an industry expert. Use your c...3 years ago
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Foot Locker Crushed Q2 Earnings Expectations Sending Stock Higher - Plus, AstraZeneca said its antibody therapy reduced the risk of developing COVID-19 symptoms by 77%, The Topps Co’s SPAC merger is off, and Elon Musk annou...3 years ago
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Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - July 10th - The market has continued its rally to higher highs and it doesn't seem like it wants to stop. We now have a new ATH at 4371 which are NASDAQ levels s...
3 years ago -
The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It - Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.4 years ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!4 years ago
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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning November 09 - Indicator Weekly Level / Change Implication for S & P 500 Implication for Nifty* S & P 500 3509, 7.32% Bullish Bullish Nifty 12264, 5.34% Neutral ** Bullis...4 years ago
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Fully Automated Trend Trading w/ Stocks Or Options - There’s a lot of research to support the usage of trend indicators as simple risk reduction elements that can be layered onto an existing strategy. Howev...4 years ago
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2020 Top Investment Picks – Q3 Update - At the beginning of the year, I put together a list of Top Investment Picks for 2020 from the investment community and track them on this website. This is ...4 years ago
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The last of 12326 - February 22nd 2012..... First post... https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/2012/02/can-anyone-fly-plane.html -- This post will be the last under the o...
4 years ago -
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Ultramarathoner Runs Over 200 Miles in Backyard, Wins Golden Toilet Paper Roll - Strange times indeed. In the land “BC,” before coronavirus, people ran long distances in foot races, and toilet paper wasn’t coveted. Things have changed. ...5 years ago
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March report "How Revolutions, Wars and Plagues are Harbingers of 'Great Changes' in Societies and in Economics" published. http://bit.ly/2y4LJZQ - March report "How Revolutions, Wars and Plagues are Harbingers of 'Great Changes' in Societies and in Economics" published.https://t.co/k29bzcK3DY — Marc ...5 years ago
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Weekend Report - Weekend Report Provided by the OEW Group December 21, 2019 Last Monday started with a sharp rally on positive trade news. After closing at 3169 the previou...5 years ago
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Financial Markets Will Move To Asia - Chicago, they invented the Soybean futures contracts. But now, China uses more soybeans than ... *READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE ON THE NEW WEBSITE: JIM ROGE...
5 years ago -
GW Pharmaceuticals (GWPH) Signals Bearish Continuation To $100 -
GW Pharmaceuticals $GWPH has been retreating sharply, and might have further downside towards $100.
G...
5 years ago -
Meet Hert Capital and How He Uses Stocktwits - On Stocktwits, HertCapital has been known for quite some time. But for those reading who haven’t had a chance to follow him, we asked him a few questions...5 years ago
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The Earnings Mirage: Why Corporate Profits are Overstated and What it Means for Investors - I just published a new long-form piece through OSAM Research Partners entitled “The Earnings Mirage: Why Corporate Profits are Overstated and What it Means...6 years ago
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Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 - To access this post, you must purchase Premium Plan or Premium Plan - Annual. The post Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 appeared first on Elliottwa...6 years ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...6 years ago
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Weekly Videos - This week’s video will be posted on the new home for Short Takes. If all goes well, it will appear sometime between 6:00 and 8:00 pm ET.7 years ago
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Gold’s silent comeback and the middle class rebound - The middle class has been stuck in a rut – psychologically if not economically – for years, and they’re not afraid to admit it. Last year’s upset victory...
7 years ago -
Kafka For The Twenty First Century - I've been spending a slightly frustrating day trying to update my payment details at google. To log in to my admin console I need to log in using my G Sui...
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The Progressive Case for Abolishing the Corporate Income Tax - Reform of the corporate income tax is shaping up to be one of the big issues facing Congress in 2017. Republicans are pushing for big cuts in the corpora...8 years ago
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Gold Unleashed by Fed - Gold's next major upleg was likely unleashed by a very-dovish FOMC this week, which now has its hands tied on hiking rates or being hawkish due to the US e...8 years ago
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From false moves… - One of my favorite sayings came from my trader friend Brian Shannon, who said from false moves come fast moves. I always pay attention to […] The post Fr...11 years ago
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Why Mitt Romney Will Be The Next President - News Flash: Despite how it may look, what with Occupy Wall Street protests and Tea Party rallies, the country’s populous is not as polarized as it might se...13 years ago
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August 24th Blogger Sentiment Poll - There are more bulls than bears in this week's poll. Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave L...15 years ago
Forex Insight
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Ondo Finance to acquire SEC-regulated Oasis Pro in attempt to expand tokenized securities - Read more on https://www.fxstreet.com6 hours ago
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Premium Watchlist Recap: U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI (June 2025) - The U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI for June gave traders a key read ahead of the all-important NFP report. How did our USD watchlist setups for this top-tier...9 hours ago
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Markets weekly outlook - RBA and RBNZ rate decisions, July 9th Trump deadline and BRICS Meeting - A week ahead preview: RBA (cut expected) and RBNZ (hold expected) rate decisions, July 9th Trump deadline and BRICS Meeting. Discover the weekly asset and ...10 hours ago
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Upward Revision to Q2 GDP Aids the US Dollar’s Feeble Recovery - The second estimate of US GDP growth in Q2 saw an upward revision from 2.8% to 3%. However, US resilience has come under pressure, particularly in the labo...10 months ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...6 years ago
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook - EUR/USD's decline attempt was contained at 1.0494, above 1.0493 support and rebounded. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of ...8 years ago
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Loonie and Aussie Share Downward Bond - In yesterday’s post (Tide is Turning for the Aussie), I explained how a prevailing sense of uncertainty in the markets has manifested itself in the form of...14 years ago
India Market Insight
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The Venus Code: Decoding Stock Market Trends with Financial Astrology - In the gleaming, high-tech citadels of modern finance, trading is a science of nanoseconds. Algorithms execute millions of trades based on quantitative m...3 hours ago
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Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial - [image: Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial] Emkay Global Financial recommended reduce rating on Persistent Systems with a...1 year ago
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Rupee falls 29 paise to close at 82.68 against US dollar - During the day, the rupee touched a high of 82.45 and a low of 82.68 against the greenback. On Friday, the rupee had settled at 82.39 against the dollar.
2 years ago -
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JUST NIFTY BLOG 10-01-2020 - Bulk Deals FII DII Stats Date # of Deals Total Volume (In Millions) 01-01-1970 0 0.00 Click here to see all Bulk Deals Date Category Buy Amount (Rs. Cror...5 years ago
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Gold Top down analysis. - - Updating blog after a long Gap. Longest in the last 8 years. May not be able to update regularly for 2 more months to come. - Gold bulls co...
6 years ago -
Vist Note on Federal Bank - We recently met the senior management of Federal Bank which is one of the old private sector banks with a distribution network of 1252 branches (48% Kerala...7 years ago
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Bank Nifty does Price Time Squaring and gave big move - As discussed in Last Analysis Bank Nifty gave the big move as we were expecting near turn date and also made low of 24706 near our target of 24700 and bo...7 years ago
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Midcap & Smallcap Index Corrects, Lets Come Back To Fundamentals Again - Midcap Index had made a high of 18511 on 16th May 2017, fell almost 7% and is currently trading at 17230. Smallcap Index made all time high of 7679 on 11th...8 years ago
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Market outlook for 28/10/2016 - *Nifty closed flat at 8615.25* while Future closed at 8655.25, premium of 40.00 points. *Bank Nifty closed up 31.00 points (0.16%) at 19514.60* while Futur...
8 years ago -
Option Open Interest for 27-10-2016 - Inference The index opened flat and went down to touch the lows at 8550, but support level buying saw the index close flat at 8615.25. The broader market w...
8 years ago -
NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 22-8-16 - *Nifty (8667)* we said ‘it is quite possible that the Nifty may open again in the green but I would be cautious in the upper regions’ the Nifty opened in ...8 years ago
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ITC To Resume Cigarette Manufacturing - ITC manufactures a range of cigarette brands, including India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Navy Cut, Capstan, Bristol, Flake, Silk Cut, which are manufactur...9 years ago
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