Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Is a Recession Imminent?

Definition of a Recession: The textbook definition of a recession is two quarters of negative GDP growth. Some examples of recessions in...

Thursday, 7 January 2016

Interesting Market News and Views from Global Financial Markets-13

1) What’s really important about China’s stock market disaster, and what’s not

What you need to know about the latest decline in China.

2) Gold near 7-week high as stocks retreat | Intra...

Gold traded near a seven-week high on Thursday as investors channelled money into the safe-haven metal amid a global stock market rout, worries over the Chinese economy and heightened geopolitical tensions.

3) Fears for world economy wreak carnage on stocks and oil

World stock markets tumbled and oil plumbed new lows Thursday as investors feared for the global economy on signs of a dramatic slowdown in powerhouse China....

4) Loonie sinks to lowest level in 12 years as Canadian oil price drops to record low

The Canadian dollar hit its lowest level in more than 12 years as the main Canadian oil blend dropped to a record low price and stock markets tumbled.

5) Chinese stock market plunges again: For how much longer can China hold back the tide?

China used new rules to suspend stock market trading overnight after another
set of disappointing factory production figures. But for how much longer can
it keep up the pretence?

6) George Soros warns China market meltdown ominously echoes 2008

For the second time this week, trading was halted in Shanghai sending investors into a tailspin after the CSI 300 slipped a staggering 7 per cent just 30 minutes into the day on Thursday.

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Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.