About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Time Series Analysis with GRETL

This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...

Showing posts with label megaphone pattern. Show all posts
Showing posts with label megaphone pattern. Show all posts

Friday, 11 September 2020

Broadening Top Megaphone Pattern on the S and P 500

The broadening top megaphone on the S and P 500 is resolving to the downside. 2200 is the lower side of the channel, where we are likely headed long term. Intermediate support comes in at 2770:






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Thursday, 4 February 2016

Interesting Market News and Views from Global Financial Markets-15

1) Dudley's Dovish Declaration Develops into a Deluge of Dollar Disposal

Dudley's Dovish Declaration Develops into a Deluge of Dollar Disposal | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.fxstreet.com - Today, 10:05 PM
It’s been a disastrous day for the world’s reserve currency: the US Dollar Index is trading down by over 1.5% to a new 3-month low near 97.00 and the greenback is falling against every one of her major rivals.

2) Budget to Decide Market Direction: Ramesh Damani - NDTV

Budget to Decide Market Direction: Ramesh Damani - NDTV | stock market | Scoop.it
From profit.ndtv.com - Today, 10:03 PM
Ramesh Damani, member of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), expects the upcoming union budget to decide the fate of stock markets in the medium term.

3) Wednesday Report... Inflection Points Galore | Rambus Chartology | Safehaven.com

Wednesday Report... Inflection Points Galore | Rambus Chartology | Safehaven.com | stock market | Scoop.it
From safehaven.com - Today, 10:02 PM
There is alot of action going on this week in all the different areas of the markets. The PM complex has been rallying, the US dollar tanking today and the stock markets trying to make up their mind which way they want to go ...

4) (DJI), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (ETF:DIA) - The Dow Just Did Something It's Only Done 17 Times In 70 Years

(DJI), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (ETF:DIA) - The Dow Just Did Something It's Only Done 17 Times In 70 Years | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.benzinga.com - February 3, 8:52 PM
The Dow Jones Industrial Average just alternated 1% moves up and down for 4 days in a row – just the 17th such stretch in the last 70 years. The stock ...

5) The Next Generational Bust Is Coming, Stock Market 70% Collapse :: The Market Oracle :: Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting Free Website

The Next Generational Bust Is Coming, Stock Market 70% Collapse :: The Market Oracle :: Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting Free Website | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.marketoracle.co.uk - February 3, 8:51 PM
The Next Generational Bust Is Coming, Stock Market 70% Collapse :: The Market Oracle :: Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting Free Website

6) Short term rally over, not ruling out a 1000 point decline in Nifty | Aditya Trading Solutions | ATS Research | Equity Indices | Nifty | Indian Stock Markets - Aditya Trading Solutions : IndiaNotes...

Short term rally over, not ruling out a 1000 point decline in Nifty | Aditya Trading Solutions | ATS Research | Equity Indices | Nifty | Indian Stock Markets - Aditya Trading Solutions : IndiaNotes... | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.indianotes.com - February 3, 7:29 PM
On 01 Feb'16, market made a high of 7600.45 & on the consecutive days, we have been seeing continuous weakness.
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GMT-4   Event Actual Consensus
Tuesday, Jun 17
09:15 US Capacity Utilization 77.4% 77.7%
09:15 US Industrial Production (MoM) -0.2% 0.1% Revised from 0.0%
10:00 US NAHB Housing Market Index 32 36
10:00 US Business Inventories 0.0% 0.0%
n/a NZ GDT Price Index
13:00 US 5-year TIPS Auction
16:30 US API Weekly Crude Oil Stock -0.60M
17:00 NZ Westpac Consumer Survey
18:45 NZ Current Account - GDP Ratio
18:45 NZ Current Account (QoQ) $-2.200B
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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.