Some interesting moves in the commodity markets off late. The precious market complex is still languishing near its recent lows while crude oil is near its recent highs. This weeks report focuses on key developments in global commodity markets from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Commodities About
Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.
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Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...

Showing posts with label commodities. Show all posts
Showing posts with label commodities. Show all posts
Wednesday, 12 September 2018
Mid Week Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
commodities,
crude,
gold,
nickel,
oil,
silver
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 22 August 2018
Mid Week Market Insight
The contagion in Turkey appears to be spreading to Brazil, with the Brazilian Real hitting new lows. The US economy continues to hum along with rate hikes on track despite emerging market woes and the strong dollar. The US markets continue to trade near record highs despite developing divergences. These and other stories from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Economy
Emerging Markets Crisis
Stock Markets
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 8 August 2018
Mid Week Market Insight
The Turkish economy and Lira in complete free fall as bond yields eclipse 20%. Chinese stocks continue to post declines and a hard Brexit looks increasingly likely. These and other stories from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Mid Week Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 1 August 2018
Some Interesting Market Divergences
The recent up move in the market has come on waning market momentum and declining market breadth. Also the very narrow leadership shown by the FANG stocks is now developing cracks. With valuations still in the stratosphere and tightening by the FED still not priced in, these divergences are worth considering. Here are these and other stories from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Some Developing Market Divergences
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
divergence,
economy,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Saturday, 28 July 2018
Mid Week Market Insight
A bit of curve steepening going into next weeks fed meeting. Momentum clearly outpacing value and that ever expanding ECB balance sheet. These and other stories from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Mid Week Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Thursday, 19 July 2018
Mid Week Market Insight
The Chinese yuan continues its sell off taking other emerging currencies with it. More curve flattening amidst insanely high valuations. These and other stories from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Mid Week Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 11 July 2018
Mid Week Market Insight
Trump fires yet another salvo in the trade war with China, which should guarantee a recession down the line given all the curve flattening of late. Turkish bonds, lira and stock market still in free fall. A massive collapse in base metals like copper adding to the recessionary case down the line.These and other stories from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Midweek Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 4 July 2018
Mid Week Market Insight
More trouble in emerging market land. Massive curve flattening across the globe. China free fall continues. These and other stories from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Midweek Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 27 June 2018
Mid Week Market Insight
China in absolute free fall and the collapse in the yuan is putting pressure on risk assets across the globe. While growth seems to be holding up in the US it is collapsing everywhere else and just a matter of time before the malaise spreads to the US. The emerging market currency rout continues. This and other stories from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Mid Week Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 20 June 2018
Mid Week Market Insight
Emerging markets still looking pretty wobbly. A global trade war has begun in earnest. Valuations are still at peak levels. China looks flat out disastrous. Here's all this and more from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Mid Week Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 30 May 2018
Mid Week Market Insight
The dollar continues to surge as the euro plunges in response to the crisis in Italy, which has sent Italian bond yields skyrocketing. A flight to quality in US bonds as a risk off trade emerges. Here are these and other stories from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Midweek Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 23 May 2018
Mid Week Market Insight
The dollar continues to surge and emerging market currencies like the Lira and the PESO are weakening. Italian credit spreads continue to widen and a broad risk off trade is emerging. Here is your mid week market insight on these topics from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Midweek Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 16 May 2018
Mid Week Market Insight
Global risk are piling up off late. Whether it be surging US bond yields or the surging dollar that has arisen out of a collapsing Euro following the Italian elections, risks to global asset classes are on the rise. The prospects for a waterfall decline similar to 1987 are fast rising. Here is your mid week market insight on these topics from some of the best asset managers, market commentators, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Mid Week Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 9 May 2018
Daily Market Insight
Here is your daily market insight from some of the best asset managers, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Daily Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday, 2 May 2018
Daily Market Insight
Here is your daily market insight from some of the best asset managers, financial analysts and CMT's of today:
Daily Market Insight
Labels:
asset class,
bonds,
commodities,
fed,
forex,
spx,
stocks
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Thursday, 2 November 2017
Daily Market Insight
Here is your daily insight from global financial markets. Today's post is an aggregate of interesting news and views form the Stock, FOREX, Commodity markets and the Economy:
Midweek Market Insight
Midweek Market Insight
Labels:
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
fundamental analysis,
stocks,
technical analysis
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Tuesday, 31 October 2017
Daily Market Insight
Here is your daily insight from global financial markets. Today's post is an aggregate of interesting news and views form the Stock, FOREX, Commodity markets and the Economy:
Midweek Market Insight
Midweek Market Insight
Labels:
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
fundamental analysis,
stocks,
technical analysis
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Thursday, 26 October 2017
Daily Market Insight
Here is your daily insight from global financial markets. Today's post is an aggregate of interesting news and views form the Stock, FOREX, Commodity markets and the Economy:
Midweek Market Insight
Midweek Market Insight
Labels:
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
fundamental analysis,
stocks,
technical analysis
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Tuesday, 24 October 2017
Daily Market Insight
Here is your daily insight from global financial markets. Today's post is an aggregate of interesting news and views form the Stock, FOREX, Commodity markets and the Economy:
Labels:
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
fundamental analysis,
stocks,
technical analysis
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Thursday, 12 October 2017
Daily Market Insight
Here is your daily insight from global financial markets. Today's post is an aggregate of interesting news and views form the Stock, FOREX, Commodity markets and the Economy:
Midweek Market Insight
Midweek Market Insight
Labels:
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
fundamental analysis,
stocks,
technical analysis
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
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Market Insight
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My Favorite Books
- The Intelligent Investor
- Liars Poker
- One up on Wall Street
- Beating the Street
- Remniscience of a stock operator
Trading Ideas
Forex Insight
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US Dollar finds support amid Fed uncertainty, renewed trade optimism - Read more on https://www.fxstreet.com7 minutes ago
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Maximize Your Winners By Building Your Self-Confidence - Why do traders have a hard time maximizing their trading winners? Here are a couple of tips to help you increase your confidence enough to press your tra...27 minutes ago
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Markets Today: UK Retail Sales Gets Summer Boost, Trade Deal Optimism Wanes & FTSE 100 Steady - Markets Today: UK retail sales get summer boost, trade deal optimism wanes, and FTSE 100 holds steady. Asian stocks pull back due to Fed rate cut uncertain...2 hours ago
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Upward Revision to Q2 GDP Aids the US Dollar’s Feeble Recovery - The second estimate of US GDP growth in Q2 saw an upward revision from 2.8% to 3%. However, US resilience has come under pressure, particularly in the labo...10 months ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...6 years ago
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook - EUR/USD's decline attempt was contained at 1.0494, above 1.0493 support and rebounded. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of ...8 years ago
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Loonie and Aussie Share Downward Bond - In yesterday’s post (Tide is Turning for the Aussie), I explained how a prevailing sense of uncertainty in the markets has manifested itself in the form of...14 years ago
Economic Calendar
GMT-4 | Event | Actual | Consensus | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thursday, Jul 24 | |||||
19:01 | UK | GfK Consumer Confidence | -19 | -20 | |
Friday, Jul 25 | |||||
02:00 | UK | Retail Sales (MoM) | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
02:00 | UK | Retail Sales (YoY) | 1.7% | 1.8% | Revised from -1.3% |
02:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM) | 0.6% | 1.2% | Revised from -2.8% |
02:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) | 1.8% | 2.0% | Revised from -1.3% |
08:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation | 0.1% | ||
08:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders ex Defense | |||
08:30 | US | Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft | 0.2% | ||
08:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders | -10.8% | ||
13:00 | US | Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count | 421 |
India Market Insight
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Nifty Cracks Below 25,108: The IT Sector’s Weight and a Looming Weekly Showdown - A Bullish Mirage: Why the FIIs’ ₹223 Crore “Buy” Is a Deceptive Warning Signal On the surface, today’s data from the Nifty Index Futures market looked li...16 hours ago
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Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial - [image: Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial] Emkay Global Financial recommended reduce rating on Persistent Systems with a...1 year ago
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Rupee falls 29 paise to close at 82.68 against US dollar - During the day, the rupee touched a high of 82.45 and a low of 82.68 against the greenback. On Friday, the rupee had settled at 82.39 against the dollar.2 years ago
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JUST NIFTY BLOG 10-01-2020 - Bulk Deals FII DII Stats Date # of Deals Total Volume (In Millions) 01-01-1970 0 0.00 Click here to see all Bulk Deals Date Category Buy Amount (Rs. Cror...5 years ago
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Gold Top down analysis. - - Updating blog after a long Gap. Longest in the last 8 years. May not be able to update regularly for 2 more months to come. - Gold bulls co...6 years ago
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Vist Note on Federal Bank - We recently met the senior management of Federal Bank which is one of the old private sector banks with a distribution network of 1252 branches (48% Kerala...7 years ago
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Bank Nifty does Price Time Squaring and gave big move - As discussed in Last Analysis Bank Nifty gave the big move as we were expecting near turn date and also made low of 24706 near our target of 24700 and bo...7 years ago
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Midcap & Smallcap Index Corrects, Lets Come Back To Fundamentals Again - Midcap Index had made a high of 18511 on 16th May 2017, fell almost 7% and is currently trading at 17230. Smallcap Index made all time high of 7679 on 11th...8 years ago
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Market outlook for 28/10/2016 - *Nifty closed flat at 8615.25* while Future closed at 8655.25, premium of 40.00 points. *Bank Nifty closed up 31.00 points (0.16%) at 19514.60* while Futur...8 years ago
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Option Open Interest for 27-10-2016 - Inference The index opened flat and went down to touch the lows at 8550, but support level buying saw the index close flat at 8615.25. The broader market w...8 years ago
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NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 22-8-16 - *Nifty (8667)* we said ‘it is quite possible that the Nifty may open again in the green but I would be cautious in the upper regions’ the Nifty opened in ...8 years ago
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ITC To Resume Cigarette Manufacturing - ITC manufactures a range of cigarette brands, including India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Navy Cut, Capstan, Bristol, Flake, Silk Cut, which are manufactur...9 years ago
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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)
Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.