Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning May1

Indicator	Weekly Level / Change	Implication for S & P 500	Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500	2384, 1.51%	Bullish	Bullish
Nifty	9304, 2.02%	Neutral **	Bullish
China Shanghai Index	3155, -0.58%	Bearish	Bearish
Gold	1268, -1.61%	Bearish	Bearish
WTIC Crude	49.33, -0.58%	Bearish	Bearish
Copper	2.61, 2.76%	Bullish	Bullish
Baltic Dry Index	1109, -7.20%	Bearish	Bearish
Euro	1.090, 1.60%	Bullish	Bullish
Dollar/Yen	111.44, 2.23%	Bullish	Bullish
Dow Transports	9098, -0.40%	Neutral	Neutral
High Yield (ETF)	37.14, 0.73%	Bullish	Bullish
US 10 year Bond Yield	2.28%, 2.01%	Bearish	Bearish
Nyse Summation Index	620, 26.94%	Bullish	Neutral
US Vix	10.82, -26.04%	Bullish	Bullish
Skew	147	Bearish	Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500	2360, Above	Bullish	Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500	2363, Above	Bullish	Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500	2241, Above	Bullish	Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty	9211, Above	Neutral	Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty	9069, Above	Neutral	Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty	8636, Above	Neutral	Bullish
India Vix	10.86, -4.82%	Neutral	Bullish
Dollar/Rupee	64.23, -0.72%	Neutral	Bullish
Overall	S & P 500	Nifty
Bullish Indications	10	12
Bearish Indications	6	6
Outlook	Bullish	Bullish
Observation	The S and P 500 and the Nifty were up last week. Indicators are bullish. The market is beginning a break down. Time to watch those stops.
On the Horizon	Australia - Rate decision, RBA governor Lowe speech, New Zealand – Employment data, China – PMI, Japan – Kuroda speech, Euro Zone – GDP, German employment data, Canada – Employment data, Bank of Canada governor Poloz speech, U.S – personal consumption data, ISM data, FOMC rate decision, Employment data
*Nifty	India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data	Courtesy Google finance, Stock charts, dailyfx.com
**Neutral	Changes less than 0.5% are considered neutral

The S and P 500 and the Nifty rallied last week. Signals are bullish for the upcoming week. Past and future FED rate hikes are yet to be priced in and sentiment indicators are back in complacency mode. Market internals, the transports and commodities are flashing major warning signs of a large decline ahead. The critical levels to watch are 2395 (up) and 2375 (down) on the S & P and 9400 (up) and 9200 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.