About

Rajveer Rawlin received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Tuesday, 1 September 2015

Interesting Charts from the World of Economics and Financial Markets-1


1) The first chart comes from Bloomberg which captures the entire set of events around China’s stock market crash:


2) The second chart is from Craig Hemke at goldseek.com highlighting a death candle on the long term S and P 500 chart that typically forms during major market tops as was the case in 2000 and 2008:


3) The third chart is from Adam Hamilton at Zealllc.com that suggests the recent spike up in the #Vix is a warning that the Fed’s grip on the markets may be reducing:

4) The last chart is from Clive Maund at clivemaund.com that shows the massive 7 year rising wedge in the S and P 500 breaking, suggesting further downside ahead:


You can see some more interesting charts here.


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Cash - 40%
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My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.