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Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed.
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Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
Showing posts with label inflation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label inflation. Show all posts
Sunday, 2 July 2017
Tuesday, 23 August 2016
Chart of the Week - S & P 500 real sales growth
The chart of the week is via multpl.com and tracks real sales growth of the S & P 500 companies. Real sales growth as measured by the annual change in sales adjusted for inflation entered negative territory in 2015 and continues to remain so. The last time this occurred was in 2009. Will there be a similar price adjustment to reflect the declining fundamentals?
Tuesday, 12 July 2016
Chart of the Week - Historical Inflation View
The chart of the week is courtesy MarketWatch and shows inflation levels over time. We have been in a dis-inflationary phase for over 20 years now and could soon enter a deflationary spiral as record levels of quantitative easing (QE) have failed to spark an upthrust in inflation:
Tuesday, 13 October 2015
Interesting Market News and Views from global financial markets-2
There is just something about this time of year that seems to be conducive to financial panic."
Traders will look for further confirmation Tuesday that the stock market has found its footing, ahead of the first major bank earnings."
3) The Stock Market Is Poised for a Huge Selloff -- Don't Be Fooled by the Recent ... - TheStreet.com
The stock market's recent rally was in the context of a bear market and offers investors the perfect exit before the coming collapse.. S&P 500 Index(^GSPC)"
4) Are We Too Obsessed About Deflation? - Bloomberg
Madhur Jha, senior global economist at Standard Chartered, discusses the impact of global inflation and deflation. She speaks to Bloomberg's Caroline Hyde on "Countdown." (Source: Bloomberg)"
5) Deflation in Wholesale Price Index to decline:India Ratings - Moneycontrol.com
A reversal in the base effect will lead to lower deflation in the wholesale price index (WPI) and a rise in the consumer price index (CPI) in September says India Ratings"
6) QE Causes Deflation, Not Inflation
RT @DA_Stockman: QE Causes Deflation, Not Inflationhttp://t.co/Fytko0GlfO
Interesting Market News and Views
http://t.co/z8SoLSOiMW pic.twitter.com/cEU7a7sC6o
— samuelR (@RajveerRawlin) October 14, 2015
Wednesday, 10 June 2015
Some Great Reads from the World of Economics and Financial Markets
VELOCITY of Money Below Great Depression Levels
Forecaster Martin Armstrong writes on how the velocity of money today is below levels that were observed in the Great Depression (#greatdep).
Forecaster Martin Armstrong writes on how the velocity of money today is below levels that were observed in the Great Depression (#greatdep).
Tara Clarke at Money Morning analyses Nobel Laureate and Yale professor of economics Robert Shiller's views.
Craig Erlam at MarketPulse discusses the rational for a #stimulus in China following soft inflation figures.
Michael Snyder at the Economic Collapse Blog provides an insight on countries with and without Central Banks.
Dr. Pipslow at BabyPips.com offers some key pointers on trading large Forex positions.
Barry Ritholtz at The Big Picture writes about the improving labour market in the US.
San at Nifty charts and patterns provides a technical update on India's benchmark stock market #Nifty Index.
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Market Insight
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As Americans Celebrate, The World Is Plunging Into An Abyss Of War, Famine, Natural Disasters And Pestilence - Sticking our heads in the sand and pretending that everything is okay isn’t going to do anyone any good. Chaos has been erupting all over the globe, and...3 hours ago
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S&P 500 PE Ratio - *Current S&P 500 PE Ratio:* 30.82 +0.35 (1.15%) 4:00 PM EST, Tue Dec 243 hours ago
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2025 US Stock Market Outlook │ Larry Williams - My outlook on the expected conditions of the US stock market for 2025 uses the metaphor 'Clint Eastwood Market,' representing a mix of good, bad, and ugly ...
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Tuesday links: all-day drama - Strategy - On the parallels between reckless driving and reckless trading. (safalniveshak.com) - How nostalgia can affect our investment decisi...7 hours ago
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Transcript: Dana Mattioli on Amazon’s Everything War - The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Dana Mattioli on Amazon’s Everything War, is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, includin...11 hours ago
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Northern Graphite (CVE:NGC) Trading Up 26.9% – Should You Buy? - Northern Graphite Co. (CVE:NGC – Get Free Report) rose 26.9% during mid-day trading on Tuesday . The stock traded as high as C$0.17 and last traded at C$0....11 hours ago
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Debt Rattle Christmas Eve 2024 - Giuseppe Arcimboldo Four elements – Air 1566 • Musk Derangement Syndrome (AmG) • Musk Makes Startling AI Prediction (RT) • Elon Musk Is Winning The War...14 hours ago
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Interviews over the Past Year – 2024 - 2024 Syria’s Collapse Signals an Alarming Fate for the Middle East w/ Martin Armstrong – Interview with Man in America (12/10/24) Extinction of Democrati...19 hours ago
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A Christmas Gift from Marcus Aurelius - *"Whenever you want to cheer yourself up, consider the good qualities of your companions." * *We turn to Marcus Aurelius for the realistic wisdom of stoic...1 day ago
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Santa Claus Rally … or Return of the Grinch? - It’s time to get on the fast track to stock profits — with the five things you need to make money this week … in just five minutes. Let’s get started! Sa...
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Are financial conditions tight or loose? : Calculating and graphing z-scores - Credit spreads are the difference between the performance of corporate-issued debt and the spot Treasury curve. Analysts look at these spreads to gain insi...1 day ago
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Wait It Out - Weekly report covering Gold, Equities, Crude, Dollar. A look at trade opportunities and covering the model portfolio. The post Wait It Out appeared first...2 days ago
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Daily Market Brief - Subscriber content. To subscribe to the Daily Market Brief please visit Market Services on NorthmanTrader.com. The Daily Market Brief is an in-depth market...4 days ago
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Amy Lass Launches Lass Law: A New Chapter for California’s Premier Divorce Attorney - California divorce attorney Amy Lass has officially launched her own law firm, Lass Law — and is now accepting new clients.4 days ago
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Market closures during X-mas and New Year - Please beware of low liquidity and market closures throughout the Christmas and New Year period and particularly on 25 December. The detailed market clos...5 days ago
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For the fun of it: An Open House for my Spring 2025 Classes - I am a teacher at heart, and every year, for more than two decades, I have invited people to join me in the classes that I teach at the Stern School of Bus...
1 week ago -
Climate Change Profiteers Reveal The Democrat Party As A Satanic Death Cult Of Morons - By Barry Ferguson12/10/24The Democrat Party in the US has devolved into a satanic death cult of morons. They not only want to destroy themselves but the re...2 weeks ago
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What can you learn from last weeks winners - The secret to making money in the market is your ability to make sense of these moves from last week. Each of these stocks was up 20% plus last week. W...2 weeks ago
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Regency Silver (RSMX.V) – Stock Pick of the Month November 2024 - Our pick for this month is one that picks all of the criteria I like. Before I begin, let me talk about the company. Let me show you what I call my 5 ps of...1 month ago
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Three Stocks: ServiceNow, IBM and UPS - United Parcel Service UPS (UPS) turned in a +5% performance today following the company’s earnings report. The shipping company showed strong results for...2 months ago
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Unlocking Explosive Gains: Mastering the 20-Day EMA Pullback After a Strong Thrust - Missed the initial breakout? Don’t worry – there’s still a chance to catch that rocket! Today, we’re diving deep into a powerful strategy that could be y...2 months ago
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Can NVDA’s Share Buybacks and AI Innovation Drive the Next Rally? - NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has undoubtedly been one of the hottest large-cap stocks this year, surging over 150% year-to-date and more than 195% in the past...2 months ago
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The Great Unwinding of Stock Listings - [image: total nyse and nasdaq issues traded] The drop in the number of publicly traded U.S. companies is continuing. I last reported on that here back i...2 months ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!7 months ago
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Weekend Update - Trendline rejection (3/8/24) - SPX was rejected by the blue trendline Friday. The trendline had been sucessfully tested four times and held since November, until now. SPX has unable ...
9 months ago -
Mungerisms: Timeless Wisdom from Charlie Munger on Life and Business - "Mungerisms" are succinct expressions of wisdom and insights coined by Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett's longtim...1 year ago
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It’s Crunch Time for The Daily Doom and Doom Time for The Great Recession Blog - The Great Recession Blog is officially done for good, and my writing continues on TheDailyDoom.com. This site will eventually be completely terminated. If ...1 year ago
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Innovative Industrial Properties Stock a Great Way to Play Pot Sector - *IIPR Stock Represents a Long-Term Opportunity* Marijuana stocks briefly attracted investors' attention following the 2022 mid-term elections, when Maryl...1 year ago
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2008 analogue - The 2008 analogue tape looks very interesting from where we stand. Let's anchor it to the next two Fed meetings -- since that's all that matters -- and i...
1 year ago -
Back to trade with Bar Replay - It is often said that one should not be sad about the past, but sometimes it can be nice to return to it. Who would like to buy Tesla for $1 and experience...2 years ago
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After This Holiday Rally, You Better Know When To Walk Away - This week’s investor insight will make you think twice about the current stock and bond rally as we head into the end of the year. We get a lot of questi...2 years ago
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How Africa Can Escape Chronic Food Insecurity Amid Climate Change - The toll of extreme weather events on crops underscores the region’s challenges and need for policies to save lives and protect livelihoods.2 years ago
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12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market - 12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market [image: Bear Market Rules Survival Guide] I grew up in the 1970s-1980s when th...2 years ago
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Growth Companies – Getting What You Want - What do the growth companies in your field have in common? How are they doing so well and what can you learn from them? Growth companies usually make a pro...2 years ago
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Blog Post Title - What goes into a blog post? Helpful, industry-specific content that: 1) gives readers a useful takeaway, and 2) shows you’re an industry expert. Use your c...3 years ago
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Foot Locker Crushed Q2 Earnings Expectations Sending Stock Higher - Plus, AstraZeneca said its antibody therapy reduced the risk of developing COVID-19 symptoms by 77%, The Topps Co’s SPAC merger is off, and Elon Musk annou...3 years ago
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Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - July 10th - The market has continued its rally to higher highs and it doesn't seem like it wants to stop. We now have a new ATH at 4371 which are NASDAQ levels s...
3 years ago -
The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It - Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.3 years ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!3 years ago
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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning November 09 - Indicator Weekly Level / Change Implication for S & P 500 Implication for Nifty* S & P 500 3509, 7.32% Bullish Bullish Nifty 12264, 5.34% Neutral ** Bullis...4 years ago
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Fully Automated Trend Trading w/ Stocks Or Options - There’s a lot of research to support the usage of trend indicators as simple risk reduction elements that can be layered onto an existing strategy. Howev...4 years ago
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2020 Top Investment Picks – Q3 Update - At the beginning of the year, I put together a list of Top Investment Picks for 2020 from the investment community and track them on this website. This is ...4 years ago
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The last of 12326 - February 22nd 2012..... First post... https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/2012/02/can-anyone-fly-plane.html -- This post will be the last under the o...
4 years ago -
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Ultramarathoner Runs Over 200 Miles in Backyard, Wins Golden Toilet Paper Roll - Strange times indeed. In the land “BC,” before coronavirus, people ran long distances in foot races, and toilet paper wasn’t coveted. Things have changed. ...4 years ago
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March report "How Revolutions, Wars and Plagues are Harbingers of 'Great Changes' in Societies and in Economics" published. http://bit.ly/2y4LJZQ - March report "How Revolutions, Wars and Plagues are Harbingers of 'Great Changes' in Societies and in Economics" published.https://t.co/k29bzcK3DY — Marc ...4 years ago
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Weekend Report - Weekend Report Provided by the OEW Group December 21, 2019 Last Monday started with a sharp rally on positive trade news. After closing at 3169 the previou...5 years ago
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Financial Markets Will Move To Asia - Chicago, they invented the Soybean futures contracts. But now, China uses more soybeans than ... *READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE ON THE NEW WEBSITE: JIM ROGE...
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GW Pharmaceuticals (GWPH) Signals Bearish Continuation To $100 -
GW Pharmaceuticals $GWPH has been retreating sharply, and might have further downside towards $100.
G...
5 years ago -
Meet Hert Capital and How He Uses Stocktwits - On Stocktwits, HertCapital has been known for quite some time. But for those reading who haven’t had a chance to follow him, we asked him a few questions...5 years ago
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The Earnings Mirage: Why Corporate Profits are Overstated and What it Means for Investors - I just published a new long-form piece through OSAM Research Partners entitled “The Earnings Mirage: Why Corporate Profits are Overstated and What it Means...5 years ago
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Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 - To access this post, you must purchase Premium Plan or Premium Plan - Annual. The post Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 appeared first on Elliottwa...6 years ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...6 years ago
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Weekly Videos - This week’s video will be posted on the new home for Short Takes. If all goes well, it will appear sometime between 6:00 and 8:00 pm ET.6 years ago
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Gold’s silent comeback and the middle class rebound - The middle class has been stuck in a rut – psychologically if not economically – for years, and they’re not afraid to admit it. Last year’s upset victory...
7 years ago -
Current Account Deficits and Safe Assets - The International Monetary Fund has issued its External Sector Report for 2017, and among its key findings: “Global current account imbalances were broadly...7 years ago
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Kafka For The Twenty First Century - I've been spending a slightly frustrating day trying to update my payment details at google. To log in to my admin console I need to log in using my G Sui...
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Gold Unleashed by Fed - Gold's next major upleg was likely unleashed by a very-dovish FOMC this week, which now has its hands tied on hiking rates or being hawkish due to the US e...8 years ago
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From false moves… - One of my favorite sayings came from my trader friend Brian Shannon, who said from false moves come fast moves. I always pay attention to […] The post Fr...11 years ago
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Why Mitt Romney Will Be The Next President - News Flash: Despite how it may look, what with Occupy Wall Street protests and Tea Party rallies, the country’s populous is not as polarized as it might se...12 years ago
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August 24th Blogger Sentiment Poll - There are more bulls than bears in this week's poll. Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave L...15 years ago
Forex Insight
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Chart Art: AUD/CAD Testing Key Break Below 0.9000 Handle - Is the Aussie ready to extend its losses against the Loonie? Or will buyers step in around these major inflection points? Check out these key levels!5 hours ago
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Why are cryptocurrencies up today? Santa rally narrative picks up pace - Read more on https://www.fxstreet.com5 hours ago
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USD/JPY calm as BoJ Core CPI rises - The Japanese yen is showing limited movement on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 157.33, up 0.11% on the day at the time of wr...7 hours ago
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Upward Revision to Q2 GDP Aids the US Dollar’s Feeble Recovery - The second estimate of US GDP growth in Q2 saw an upward revision from 2.8% to 3%. However, US resilience has come under pressure, particularly in the labo...3 months ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...6 years ago
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook - EUR/USD's decline attempt was contained at 1.0494, above 1.0493 support and rebounded. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of ...7 years ago
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Loonie and Aussie Share Downward Bond - In yesterday’s post (Tide is Turning for the Aussie), I explained how a prevailing sense of uncertainty in the markets has manifested itself in the form of...13 years ago
India Market Insight
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Mastering Focus: Top Strategies to Eliminate Distractions for Home-Based Traders - Trading from home has become an increasingly popular choice, offering flexibility and the convenience of managing work from a personal space. However, it...15 hours ago
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Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial - [image: Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial] Emkay Global Financial recommended reduce rating on Persistent Systems with a...8 months ago
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Rupee falls 29 paise to close at 82.68 against US dollar - During the day, the rupee touched a high of 82.45 and a low of 82.68 against the greenback. On Friday, the rupee had settled at 82.39 against the dollar.
1 year ago -
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JUST NIFTY BLOG 10-01-2020 - Bulk Deals FII DII Stats Date # of Deals Total Volume (In Millions) 01-01-1970 0 0.00 Click here to see all Bulk Deals Date Category Buy Amount (Rs. Cror...4 years ago
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Gold Top down analysis. - - Updating blog after a long Gap. Longest in the last 8 years. May not be able to update regularly for 2 more months to come. - Gold bulls co...
6 years ago -
Vist Note on Federal Bank - We recently met the senior management of Federal Bank which is one of the old private sector banks with a distribution network of 1252 branches (48% Kerala...6 years ago
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Bank Nifty does Price Time Squaring and gave big move - As discussed in Last Analysis Bank Nifty gave the big move as we were expecting near turn date and also made low of 24706 near our target of 24700 and bo...7 years ago
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Midcap & Smallcap Index Corrects, Lets Come Back To Fundamentals Again - Midcap Index had made a high of 18511 on 16th May 2017, fell almost 7% and is currently trading at 17230. Smallcap Index made all time high of 7679 on 11th...7 years ago
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Market outlook for 28/10/2016 - *Nifty closed flat at 8615.25* while Future closed at 8655.25, premium of 40.00 points. *Bank Nifty closed up 31.00 points (0.16%) at 19514.60* while Futur...
8 years ago -
Option Open Interest for 27-10-2016 - Inference The index opened flat and went down to touch the lows at 8550, but support level buying saw the index close flat at 8615.25. The broader market w...
8 years ago -
NIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 22-8-16 - *Nifty (8667)* we said ‘it is quite possible that the Nifty may open again in the green but I would be cautious in the upper regions’ the Nifty opened in ...8 years ago
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ITC To Resume Cigarette Manufacturing - ITC manufactures a range of cigarette brands, including India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Navy Cut, Capstan, Bristol, Flake, Silk Cut, which are manufactur...8 years ago
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