About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Time Series Analysis with GRETL

This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...

Showing posts with label china crash. Show all posts
Showing posts with label china crash. Show all posts

Monday, 8 May 2017

The Case for a Sell in May and Go Away

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Thursday, 7 January 2016

Interesting Market News and Views from Global Financial Markets-13

1) What’s really important about China’s stock market disaster, and what’s not

What’s really important about China’s stock market disaster, and what’s not | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.washingtonpost.com - Today, 9:45 AM
What you need to know about the latest decline in China.

2) Gold near 7-week high as stocks retreat | Intra...

Gold near 7-week high as stocks retreat | Intra... | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.scoop.it - Today, 9:44 AM
Gold traded near a seven-week high on Thursday as investors channelled money into the safe-haven metal amid a global stock market rout, worries over the Chinese economy and heightened geopolitical tensions.




3) Fears for world economy wreak carnage on stocks and oil


Fears for world economy wreak carnage on stocks and oil | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.dailymail.co.uk - Today, 9:39 AM
World stock markets tumbled and oil plumbed new lows Thursday as investors feared for the global economy on signs of a dramatic slowdown in powerhouse China....

4) Loonie sinks to lowest level in 12 years as Canadian oil price drops to record low

Loonie sinks to lowest level in 12 years as Canadian oil price drops to record low | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.cbc.ca - Today, 9:39 AM
The Canadian dollar hit its lowest level in more than 12 years as the main Canadian oil blend dropped to a record low price and stock markets tumbled.

5) Chinese stock market plunges again: For how much longer can China hold back the tide?

Chinese stock market plunges again: For how much longer can China hold back the tide? | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.telegraph.co.uk - Today, 9:39 AM
China used new rules to suspend stock market trading overnight after another
set of disappointing factory production figures. But for how much longer can
it keep up the pretence?

6) George Soros warns China market meltdown ominously echoes 2008

George Soros warns China market meltdown ominously echoes 2008 | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.dailymail.co.uk - Today, 9:43 AM
For the second time this week, trading was halted in Shanghai sending investors into a tailspin after the CSI 300 slipped a staggering 7 per cent just 30 minutes into the day on Thursday.
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Tuesday, 3 November 2015

Interesting Market News and Views from Global Financial Markets-5

1) As China's Stock Market Crashed, These Hedge Funds Rose 70% - Bloomberg


As China's Stock Market Crashed, These Hedge Funds Rose 70% - Bloomberg | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.bloomberg.com - November 2, 3:32 PM
China’s summer market selloff wasn’t a total rout if you were one of the country’s top-performing hedge funds that gained an average 70 percent as almost 1,300 other funds were wiped out."

2) Europe in Deflation: Got (cheap) Milk? - The Market Oracle


Europe in Deflation: Got (cheap) Milk? - The Market Oracle | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.marketoracle.co.uk - November 2, 3:30 PM
Europe in Deflation: Got (cheap) Milk? :: The Market Oracle :: Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting Free Website"

3) S&P 500 Earnings On Track For First Fall Since 2009 - Investor's Business Daily


S&P 500 Earnings On Track For First Fall Since 2009 - Investor's Business Daily | stock market | Scoop.it

From news.investors.com -November 2, 3:29 PM
S&P 500 companies appear set for their first year-over-year earnings decline since 2009, led by energy woes and a sluggish global economy."






4) Wall Street's October stock-market performance was scary good - MarketWatch


Wall Street's October stock-market performance was scary good - MarketWatch | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.marketwatch.com - November 2, 3:29 PM
What a difference a couple months can make. Shrugging off global-growth fears that dogged the market back in August, Wall Street managed to log one of its best monthly gains in years."

5)The global stock market crash, explained


The global stock market crash, explained | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.vox.com - November 2, 3:29 PM
Why investors in Europe, China, and the United States all got spooked on Monday."

6) Memo to Bulls: Stock Market Crash Looming in 2016 - Profit Confidential


Memo to Bulls: Stock Market Crash Looming in 2016 - Profit Confidential | stock market | Scoop.it

From www.profitconfidential.com - November 2, 3:27 PM
The bulls are starting break open the champagne, but the chance of a stock market crash in 2016 is growing."





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Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.