About
Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.
Featured post
Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
Thursday 8 June 2017
Comparison of the Environment during Major Market Crashes to the Market Environment Today
Labels:
great depression,
investing,
market crash,
recession,
recession 2008,
stock market,
stock market outlook,
trading
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Daily Market Insight
Here
is your daily insight from global financial markets. Today's post is an
aggregate of interesting news and views form the Stock, FOREX and
Commodity markets and the Economy:
Labels:
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
fundamental analysis,
stocks,
technical analysis
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Tuesday 6 June 2017
Daily Market Insight
Here
is your daily insight from global financial markets. Today's post is an
aggregate of interesting news and views form the Stock, FOREX and
Commodity markets and the Economy:
Labels:
bonds,
commodities,
economy,
forex,
fundamental analysis,
stocks,
technical analysis
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
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Market Insight
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Top 10 Generative AI Terms CIOs Must Master Now - Master essential terms like tokens, parameters, and fine-tuning to communicate more effectively and navigate the evolving world of generative AI.28 minutes ago
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Sony Sues CBS, Alleges Breach Of Contract Related To Iconic Game Shows 'Wheel Of Fortune,' 'Jeopardy!' - A legal dispute between the companies behind popular television game shows "Wheel of Fortune" and "Jeopardy!" has broken out. read more1 hour ago
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Every Time Something Major Happens, It Is An Excuse For Rioting, Looting And Violence - We live at a time when it is expected that chaos will follow virtually every big event. In the aftermath of Hurricane Helene, there was looting. In the...1 hour ago
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Market Talk – October 31, 2024 - ASIA: The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: • NIKKEI 225 decreased 196.14 points or -0.50% to 39,081.25 • Shanghai increased 13.59 points or...3 hours ago
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S&P 500 PE Ratio - *Current S&P 500 PE Ratio:* 29.10 -0.60 (-2.02%) 4:00 PM EDT, Thu Oct 313 hours ago
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Thursday links: a more important innovation - Crypto - Crypto volume is up at Robinhood ($HOOD). (theblock.co) - Microstrategy ($MSTR) plans to keep buying more Bitcoin. (coindesk.com) - Coi...7 hours ago
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Strategic Blueprint LLC Sells 777 Shares of The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) - Strategic Blueprint LLC cut its position in The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS – Free Report) by 6.6% during the 3rd quarter, according to the company in it...8 hours ago
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BRICS Will Not Kill the Dollar—War Will | Martin Armstrong - The BRICS currency was created for geopolitical reasons when the neocons transformed the SWIFT system into an economic weapon and even threatened China wit...10 hours ago
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Population and misfortune : Crow wings, talking lakes, and other (e)erie county data - Happy Halloween! In the past, we’ve covered the cost of candy, costumes and pumpkins. Today we celebrate this holiday by showing how any FRED user can conj...10 hours ago
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Daily Market Brief - Subscriber content. To subscribe to the Daily Market Brief please visit Market Services on NorthmanTrader.com. The Daily Market Brief is an in-depth market...13 hours ago
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Debt Rattle October 31 2024 - Gustave Caillebotte Paris Street, Rainy Day 1877 • On November 5 the Decision Will Be Made between Freedom and Tyranny (PCR) • Trump Rides In Garbage T...14 hours ago
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At the Money: Shareholder Yield - At the Money: Getting More Out of Dividends with Shareholder Yield. Meb Faber, Cambria Investments (October 30, 2024) Dividend investing has a long...1 day ago
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Is Social Media Actually "Media," Or Is It Something Else? - *By placing search/social media in the bucket of newspapers, radio and TV networks, perhaps we've obscured their true nature as "Digital Marketing Mechanis...1 day ago
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The Fed’s Plan Is Playing Out in Homebuilders - The Fed's interest rate cuts are helping certain sectors out more than others. Here's how one homebuilder stocks ETF rates post-cut. The post The Fed’s P...1 day ago
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The Sugar Daddy Effect? Assessing Corporate venture capital, Sovereign funds and Green Energy! - It is a sign of the times that I spent some time thinking about whether the title of my post would offend some people, as sexist or worse. I briefly ...3 days ago
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Election Wait - Weekly report covering Gold, Equities, Crude, Dollar. A look at trade opportunities and covering the model portfolio. The post Election Wait appeared fir...5 days ago
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Three Stocks: ServiceNow, IBM and UPS - United Parcel Service UPS (UPS) turned in a +5% performance today following the company’s earnings report. The shipping company showed strong results for...1 week ago
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DAYLIGHT SAVINGS TIME ENDS IN EU - On Sunday 27th of October daylight saving time ends and clocks in many European countries are turned back one hour. Please be aware that winter time trad...1 week ago
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Unlocking Explosive Gains: Mastering the 20-Day EMA Pullback After a Strong Thrust - Missed the initial breakout? Don’t worry – there’s still a chance to catch that rocket! Today, we’re diving deep into a powerful strategy that could be y...2 weeks ago
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Our Top Stop Pick For October: Fitzroy Minerals (TSXV: FTX) - Our stock pick of the month for October is Fitzroy Minerals. This is a Copper gold explorer with a drill ready high grade Copper/gold project and a distric...2 weeks ago
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Seasoned Traders bootcamp October - - Price: $1500 for non-members - Date: October 26—27, 2024 - Time: Sat, 9:00 AM to 5:00 PM Sun, 9:00 AM to 1:00 PM - Meals: Coffe...3 weeks ago
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Can NVDA’s Share Buybacks and AI Innovation Drive the Next Rally? - NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has undoubtedly been one of the hottest large-cap stocks this year, surging over 150% year-to-date and more than 195% in the past...4 weeks ago
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The Great Unwinding of Stock Listings - [image: total nyse and nasdaq issues traded] The drop in the number of publicly traded U.S. companies is continuing. I last reported on that here back i...5 weeks ago
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The Phrase ‘Better Red Than Expert’ Totally Explains The Current US Regime - By Barry Ferguson07/10/24It should be clear that our world today is caught in a battle between good versus evil. The ‘good’ is the populace and the ‘evil’ ...3 months ago
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If You Find Deer or Elk Antlers on the Ground, Leave Them There, Say Some States - Even though elk do shed their antlers naturally, collecting them brings up a number of ethical issues.5 months ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!5 months ago
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Weekend Update - Trendline rejection (3/8/24) - SPX was rejected by the blue trendline Friday. The trendline had been sucessfully tested four times and held since November, until now. SPX has unable ...7 months ago
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Mungerisms: Timeless Wisdom from Charlie Munger on Life and Business - "Mungerisms" are succinct expressions of wisdom and insights coined by Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett's longtim...11 months ago
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It’s Crunch Time for The Daily Doom and Doom Time for The Great Recession Blog - The Great Recession Blog is officially done for good, and my writing continues on TheDailyDoom.com. This site will eventually be completely terminated. If ...1 year ago
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Innovative Industrial Properties Stock a Great Way to Play Pot Sector - *IIPR Stock Represents a Long-Term Opportunity* Marijuana stocks briefly attracted investors' attention following the 2022 mid-term elections, when Maryl...1 year ago
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2008 analogue - The 2008 analogue tape looks very interesting from where we stand. Let's anchor it to the next two Fed meetings -- since that's all that matters -- and i...1 year ago
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Back to trade with Bar Replay - It is often said that one should not be sad about the past, but sometimes it can be nice to return to it. Who would like to buy Tesla for $1 and experience...1 year ago
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After This Holiday Rally, You Better Know When To Walk Away - This week’s investor insight will make you think twice about the current stock and bond rally as we head into the end of the year. We get a lot of questi...1 year ago
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How Africa Can Escape Chronic Food Insecurity Amid Climate Change - The toll of extreme weather events on crops underscores the region’s challenges and need for policies to save lives and protect livelihoods.2 years ago
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12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market - 12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market [image: Bear Market Rules Survival Guide] I grew up in the 1970s-1980s when th...2 years ago
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Growth Companies – Getting What You Want - What do the growth companies in your field have in common? How are they doing so well and what can you learn from them? Growth companies usually make a pro...2 years ago
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Blog Post Title - What goes into a blog post? Helpful, industry-specific content that: 1) gives readers a useful takeaway, and 2) shows you’re an industry expert. Use your c...3 years ago
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Foot Locker Crushed Q2 Earnings Expectations Sending Stock Higher - Plus, AstraZeneca said its antibody therapy reduced the risk of developing COVID-19 symptoms by 77%, The Topps Co’s SPAC merger is off, and Elon Musk annou...3 years ago
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Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - July 10th - The market has continued its rally to higher highs and it doesn't seem like it wants to stop. We now have a new ATH at 4371 which are NASDAQ levels s...3 years ago
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The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It - Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.3 years ago
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Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!3 years ago
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Trading: Opportunities Are Dispersed - Opportunities are dispersed. You might have an... *READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE ON THE NEW WEBSITE: JIM ROGERS TALKS MARKETS * *Jim Rogers is a legendary i...3 years ago
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Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning November 09 - Indicator Weekly Level / Change Implication for S & P 500 Implication for Nifty* S & P 500 3509, 7.32% Bullish Bullish Nifty 12264, 5.34% Neutral ** Bullis...3 years ago
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November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any nation than the lowness of interest"?" published. https://bit.ly/2y4LJZQ - November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any n...4 years ago
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Fully Automated Trend Trading w/ Stocks Or Options - There’s a lot of research to support the usage of trend indicators as simple risk reduction elements that can be layered onto an existing strategy. Howev...4 years ago
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2020 Top Investment Picks – Q3 Update - At the beginning of the year, I put together a list of Top Investment Picks for 2020 from the investment community and track them on this website. This is ...4 years ago
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Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes - I just published a new long-form piece through OSAM entitled “Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes.” In th...4 years ago
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The last of 12326 - February 22nd 2012..... First post... https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/2012/02/can-anyone-fly-plane.html -- This post will be the last under the o...4 years ago
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Ultramarathoner Runs Over 200 Miles in Backyard, Wins Golden Toilet Paper Roll - Strange times indeed. In the land “BC,” before coronavirus, people ran long distances in foot races, and toilet paper wasn’t coveted. Things have changed. ...4 years ago
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One Year Later - A year ago today I lost my father and my best friend, everyone here lost their mentor and a friend. Dad and I spent the last 7 years of his life living tog...4 years ago
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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Retreating Towards Key Support Around $25.60-$27 -
AMD has failed to clear the 2018 high around $34.20. It is retreating, and has broken an August/September sup...
5 years ago -
Advanced Search is Now on Stocktwits - Advanced Search Is Now on Stocktwits Come rain or shine, the Stocktwits community shares over 200,000 messages per day. That includes charts, news, trade i...5 years ago
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Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 - To access this post, you must purchase Premium Plan or Premium Plan - Annual. The post Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 appeared first on Elliottwa...5 years ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
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A look at the bull market ahead - My latest missive on the near-term stock market outlook can be seen at Financial Sense web site. You can see it by clicking on the following link: https:/...6 years ago
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Weekly Videos - This week’s video will be posted on the new home for Short Takes. If all goes well, it will appear sometime between 6:00 and 8:00 pm ET.6 years ago
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Gold Miners near a buy zone - Gold cleared a several month long consolidation a few weeks ago as it cleared $1300, and has since been consolidating as it drifts back to […] The post G...7 years ago
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Current Account Deficits and Safe Assets - The International Monetary Fund has issued its External Sector Report for 2017, and among its key findings: “Global current account imbalances were broadly...7 years ago
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Kafka For The Twenty First Century - I've been spending a slightly frustrating day trying to update my payment details at google. To log in to my admin console I need to log in using my G Sui...7 years ago
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Gold Unleashed by Fed - Gold's next major upleg was likely unleashed by a very-dovish FOMC this week, which now has its hands tied on hiking rates or being hawkish due to the US e...8 years ago
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Why Mitt Romney Will Be The Next President - News Flash: Despite how it may look, what with Occupy Wall Street protests and Tea Party rallies, the country’s populous is not as polarized as it might se...12 years ago
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August 24th Blogger Sentiment Poll - There are more bulls than bears in this week's poll. Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave L...15 years ago
My Favorite Books
- The Intelligent Investor
- Liars Poker
- One up on Wall Street
- Beating the Street
- Remniscience of a stock operator
Trading Ideas
Forex Insight
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Maker Price Forecast: MKR could stage 40% rally - Read more on https://www.fxstreet.com34 minutes ago
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Aussie dips on soft Australian retail sales - The Australian dollar is in negative territory on Thursday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6558, down 0.20%. On Wednesday, the Aust...6 hours ago
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Bank of Japan Holds Rates, Hints at Potential December Move - The Bank of Japan kept rates unchanged at 0.25% but surprised markets with a more hawkish tone, suggesting increased confidence in the economic outlook.7 hours ago
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Upward Revision to Q2 GDP Aids the US Dollar’s Feeble Recovery - The second estimate of US GDP growth in Q2 saw an upward revision from 2.8% to 3%. However, US resilience has come under pressure, particularly in the labo...2 months ago
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Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook - EUR/USD's decline attempt was contained at 1.0494, above 1.0493 support and rebounded. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of ...7 years ago
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Loonie and Aussie Share Downward Bond - In yesterday’s post (Tide is Turning for the Aussie), I explained how a prevailing sense of uncertainty in the markets has manifested itself in the form of...13 years ago
Economic Calendar
India Market Insight
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Nifty Monthly Expiry Trade Plan for October 31, 2024 - Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) displayed a Bullish approach in the Nifty Index Futures market by Buying 219 contracts worth ₹12.50crores, result...1 day ago
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Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial - [image: Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial] Emkay Global Financial recommended reduce rating on Persistent Systems with a...6 months ago
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Rupee falls 29 paise to close at 82.68 against US dollar - During the day, the rupee touched a high of 82.45 and a low of 82.68 against the greenback. On Friday, the rupee had settled at 82.39 against the dollar.1 year ago
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ES Hourly cloud and 4 Hour chart - - ES Hour moving towards the hourly cloud which may act as resistance. - 4 Hour chart shows a possible bullish candle which may give new high's ...3 years ago
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JUST NIFTY BLOG 10-01-2020 - Bulk Deals FII DII Stats Date # of Deals Total Volume (In Millions) 01-01-1970 0 0.00 Click here to see all Bulk Deals Date Category Buy Amount (Rs. Cror...4 years ago
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Vist Note on Federal Bank - We recently met the senior management of Federal Bank which is one of the old private sector banks with a distribution network of 1252 branches (48% Kerala...6 years ago
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Nifty Bulls bounces ferociously holding 9930,EOD Analysis - FII's bought 4.8 K contract of Index Future worth 262 cores ,9.7 K Long contract were added by FII's and 4.8 K Short contracts were added by FII's. Net Ope...7 years ago
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Midcap & Smallcap Index Corrects, Lets Come Back To Fundamentals Again - Midcap Index had made a high of 18511 on 16th May 2017, fell almost 7% and is currently trading at 17230. Smallcap Index made all time high of 7679 on 11th...7 years ago
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Market outlook for 30/10/2016 - *Nifty closed up 22.75 points (0.26%) at 8638.00* while Future closed at 8667.40, premium of 29.40 points. *Bank Nifty closed up 41.35 points (0.21%) at 19...8 years ago
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Option Open Interest for 28-10-2016 - Inference The index opened flat to positive and after making an initial low around 8581 saw some short covering to close at 8638.00, gain of 22.75 points. ...8 years ago
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Market Review for 23rd August 2016 - *Nifty (8629)* we said ‘technically trend is still intact but there exists selling pressure near 8746 and support around 8600 zones’ the Nifty unfolded as...8 years ago
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ITC To Resume Cigarette Manufacturing - ITC manufactures a range of cigarette brands, including India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Navy Cut, Capstan, Bristol, Flake, Silk Cut, which are manufactur...8 years ago
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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)
Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.