Indian Market Volatility Surging Relative to US Market Volatility

Indian market volatility has been surging off late relative to US market volatility much like in November 2016 when the last meaningful correction of 10% occurred. With the market close to record highs could complacency kill the cat yet again? Possible triggers - over valuation (p/e > 25), over bullish technicals, a slowing economy, you name it.

Chart of the Week - Libor Spikes Vs S & P 500

The chart of the week is courtesy Bob Hoye via SafeHaven and looks at spikes in the 3 month LIBOR rate vs S and P 500 performance. Any sustained spikes in LIBOR in excess of 25 basis points in the last year has often resulted in significant stock market pull backs as seen in August 2015 and February 2016. There is usually a lag of about 2 months for the sell off to occur. We had a recent LIBOR spike about 2 months ago and should see a stock market pull back soon. More importantly LIBOR has entered a clear uptrend this past year and that is problematic for risk assets long term:

Chart of the Day - Time Taken to Reach Prior Highs

The chart of the day is courtesy Mark Hulbert via Marketwatch.com and shows the time taken for the Dow Jones Industrial Average to reach prior highs since the early 1900's. The current market has spent more than a year in trying to reach its prior high and has taken over 410 days to reach recent new highs, eclipsing the 379 days it took in the bull market correction of the 1990's making further new highs more and more elusive: