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Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Showing posts with label bear flag. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bear flag. Show all posts

Thursday, 24 September 2015

Bear Flag Break Downs in Several Key Global Stock Market Indices With Crash Implications

Several key global indices are in the middle of massive bear flag breakdowns:
a) First the S and P 500 index shows a massive bear flag breaking down, with the flag forming below the cloud. Highly bearish implying a target below 1800:

b) Secondly the German Dax with a similar bear flag break down below the cloud targeting levels below 8700:

c) Thirdly the UK FTSE index is currently breaking down from a bear flag below the cloud targeting levels below 5500:

d) Fourth the Brazilian Bovespa is in the middle of a massive break down from a bear flag pattern yet again below the cloud with targets below 42,000:

e) Lastly the Indian #stock market Nifty Index has completed a bear flag and a break down underway has targets below 7200:

Not a coincidence then that bear flag break downs are taking place across the board across key international stock markets with significant downside implications. With these break downs forming below the cloud a crash like scenario could result in the upcoming days.
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My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.