About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

Tuesday, 27 September 2016

Indicator Watch - How to Use the RSI in Trading

Technical indicators are widely used in trading to determine market direction over different time frames. One of the widely followed technical indicators is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Here is a useful video from MarketGurukul.com that shows you how to use the RSI in identifying entry and exit levels in trading:

Daily Forex Insight

Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx. They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day. Today's commentary looks at a possible dollar rally ahead:

Monday, 26 September 2016

Chart of the Week - Technicals of Key Indices

The chart of the week is courtesy Marty Chenard at stocktiming.com and takes a technical look at some key indices. While most indices are above key resistance levels going back to 2014 the broadest of them all the Nyse composite index (NYA) is still below key resistance levels. Will the NYA join the other indices or the other indices begin to roll over will be worth watching in the upcoming months.

stock market indices 1

My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.