About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

Showing posts with label indicators. Show all posts

Wednesday, 1 February 2017

Indicator Watch - How to Use the Bollinger Bands in Trading?

Technical indicators are widely used in trading to determine market direction over different time frames. One of the widely followed technical indicators is the Bollinger Band. Here is a useful video from John Bollinger via Metastock that shows you how to use this useful tool in trading:

Tuesday, 27 September 2016

Indicator Watch - How to Use the RSI in Trading

Technical indicators are widely used in trading to determine market direction over different time frames. One of the widely followed technical indicators is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Here is a useful video from MarketGurukul.com that shows you how to use the RSI in identifying entry and exit levels in trading:

Thursday, 22 September 2016

Indicator Watch - How to Use the MACD in Trading?

Technical indicators are widely used in trading to determine market direction over different time frames. One of the widely followed technical indicators is the moving average cross over divergence (MACD). Here is a useful video from the currency strategists at that shows you how to use the MACD in identifying entry and exit levels in trading:

Tuesday, 23 June 2015

The Very Scary Rising Wedge on the US Stock Market S and P 500 Index

This is a chart originally highlighted on Stocktwits.com, the rising wedge on the S and P 500 with eerie parallels to 2000 and 2008. What is worth noting here is the current rising wedge is much bigger than that observed in 2000 or 2008. The consequences could be severe as and when the break occurs and could trigger a major bear market:

My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.