About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

Monday, 24 April 2017

Daily Market Insight

Here is the daily insight from global financial markets. Today's post is an aggregate of interesting news and views form the Stock, FOREX and Commodity markets:

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Economic Calendar

GMT-4		Event	Actual	Consensus
Wednesday, Apr 16
21:30	AU	Unemployment Rate s.a.	4.1%	4.2%	Revised from 4.1%
Thursday, Apr 17
02:00	CH	Exports (MoM)	30,239M		Revised from 24,744M
02:00	CH	Trade Balance	6,350M		Revised from 4,803M
02:00	CH	Imports (MoM)	23,889M		Revised from 19,941M
04:30	UK	BoE Credit Conditions Survey
08:30	US	Building Permits (MoM)		1.450M	Revised from 1.456M
08:30	US	Housing Starts (MoM)		1.420M
08:30	US	Housing Starts Change
08:30	US	Building Permits Change			Revised from -1.2%
08:30	US	Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average

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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.