About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Time Series Analysis with GRETL

This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...

Thursday, 28 January 2016

Interesting Market News and Views from Global Financial Markets-14

1) India’s markets lose their Modi mojo - FT.com

India’s markets lose their Modi mojo - FT.com | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.ft.com - Today, 8:34 PM
Narendra Modi swept to election victory on a pro-business economic platform on May 16 2014, pushing India’s benchmark Sensex share index to a record high of more than 24,000 points.

2) Fed Sees Weaker Growth and Slow Inflation Rise; U.S. Indices at an On-and-Off Mode

Fed Sees Weaker Growth and Slow Inflation Rise; U.S. Indices at an On-and-Off Mode | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.fxstreet.com - Today, 8:31 PM
The two-day Fed monetary policy meeting that ended on Wednesday was unlikely to stoke much volatility to the greenback, as it wasn’t followed by a press conference as usual.

3) How to Invest in Stocks During 2016's Extreme Volatility

How to Invest in Stocks During 2016's Extreme Volatility | stock market | Scoop.it
From moneymorning.com - Today, 8:31 AM
With global markets experiencing wild swings in 2016, investors want to know how to invest in stocks. Here's our complete guide on how to invest now.





4) Stock Market On Verge Of Crash

Stock Market On Verge Of Crash | stock market | Scoop.it
From www.talkmarkets.com - Today, 8:26 AM
The developing cyclical downtrend in the stock market is on the verge of accelerating into a crash.

5) How The Fed is Suffocating The Economy | Clif Droke | Safehaven.com

How The Fed is Suffocating The Economy | Clif Droke | Safehaven.com | stock market | Scoop.it
From safehaven.com - Today, 8:18 AM
There are two established ways of killing forward momentum and induce economic recession. One is to sharply reverse monetary policy or margin maintenance policy from very loose to very tight.

6) Wednesday links: when markets fall

Wednesday links: when markets fall | stock market | Scoop.it
From abnormalreturns.com - Today, 8:18 AM
Book notes: Meb Faber’s Investing With the House: Hacking the Top Hedge Funds is a good introduction to hedge fund cloning. 
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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.