About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

Friday, 16 September 2016

Daily Forex Insight

Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx. They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day. Today's commentary looks at the dollar and the Pound:

Thursday, 15 September 2016

Chart of the Week - Vix Futures CFTC Data

The chart of the week is courtesy the volatility surfer via seeking alpha and shows CFTC data on the Vix futures. Shorts on the Vix are at 10 year highs suggesting a high level of complacency in the market. This after the Vix has not made a new low on each of the recent new highs in the S and P 500 the last 2 years. Is volatility about to surge yet again in a seasonally week period for risk assets?

Wednesday, 14 September 2016

Daily Forex Insight

Economic Calendar

GMT-4		Event	Actual	Consensus
Tuesday, Jun 17
09:15	US	Industrial Production (MoM)	-0.2%	0.1%	Revised from 0.0%
10:00	US	NAHB Housing Market Index	32	36
10:00	US	Business Inventories	0.0%	0.0%
n/a	NZ	GDT Price Index
13:00	US	5-year TIPS Auction	1.650%
16:30	US	API Weekly Crude Oil Stock		-0.60M
17:00	NZ	Westpac Consumer Survey
18:45	NZ	Current Account - GDP Ratio
18:45	NZ	Current Account (QoQ)		$-2.200B
21:00	AU	Westpac Leading Index (MoM)

Economic Calendar >> Add to your site

My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.