This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key diagnostic tests are also covered:
About
Featured post
Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
Tuesday 3 August 2021
Time Series Analysis with GRETL
Sunday 1 August 2021
Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning August 02
Indicator |
Weekly
Level / Change |
Implication
for S
& P 500 |
Implication
for Nifty* |
S
& P 500 |
4395,
-0.37% |
Neutral |
Neutral |
Nifty |
15763,
-0.59% |
Neutral
** |
Bearish |
China
Shanghai Index |
3397,
-4.31% |
Bearish |
Bearish |
Gold |
1817,
0.84% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
WTIC
Crude |
73.72,
2.29% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
Copper |
4.48,
1.63% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
Baltic
Dry Index |
3292,
2.91% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
Euro |
1.1871,
0.85% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
Dollar/Yen |
109.72,
-0.74% |
Bearish |
Bearish |
Dow
Transports |
14461,
-2.00% |
Bearish |
Bearish |
High
Yield (Bond ETF) |
109.77,
-0.10% |
Neutral |
Neutral |
US
10 year Bond Yield |
1.23%,
-4.44% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
NYSE
Summation Index |
131,
-18.42% |
Bearish |
Neutral |
US
Vix |
18.24,
6.05% |
Bearish |
Bearish |
Skew |
154 |
Bearish |
Bearish |
20
DMA, S & P 500 |
4366,
Above |
Bullish |
Neutral |
50
DMA, S & P 500 |
4284,
Above |
Bullish |
Neutral |
200
DMA, S & P 500 |
3938,
Above |
Bullish |
Neutral |
20
DMA, Nifty |
15788,
Below |
Neutral |
Bearish |
50
DMA, Nifty |
15697,
Above |
Neutral |
Bullish |
200
DMA, Nifty |
14390,
Above |
Neutral |
Bullish |
S
& P 500 P/E |
34.28 |
Bearish |
Neutral |
Nifty
P/E |
27.01 |
Neutral |
Bearish |
India
Vix |
12.80,
8.84% |
Neutral |
Bearish |
Dollar/Rupee |
74.34,
-0.11% |
Neutral |
Neutral |
Overall |
S
& P 500 |
Nifty |
|
Bullish
Indications |
9 |
7 |
|
Bearish
Indications |
7 |
9 |
|
Outlook |
Bullish |
Bearish |
|
Observation |
The S and P and the Nifty fell last week. Indicators are mixed
for the week. The
markets are beginning a correction. Watch those stops. |
||
On
the Horizon |
UK – BOE rate decision, USA – Employment
data, India - RBI rate decision |
||
*Nifty |
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index |
||
Raw
Data |
Courtesy
Stock charts, investing.com, multpl.com, NSE |
||
**Neutral |
Changes
less than 0.5% are considered neutral |
The S and P and the
Nifty fell last week. Indicators are mixed for the week. Deflation is in the
air. Markets are failing at new highs amid loads of divergences and a big move
beckons in a seasonally weak period for risk assets. Earnings revisions have been
very good but it is already in the price. Typical late-cycle FED put
stuff is leading to a taper tantrum and an imminent
top. Tail risk has skyrocketed with the Skew/Vix ratio
recently touching double digits. The market is about to begin an epic
correction. Deflationary busts often begin after inflationary scares (the
market is calling the Fed’s bluff) and long bonds are telegraphing just
that. Transports, the Dollar, market breadth, and the skew are
flashing major warning signs. The epic correction signal is alive
and well with retail, hedge funds, and speculators all in, despite the recent
melt-up, suggesting a major top is imminent. The moment of
reckoning is very near. Technicals are about to track fundamentals
and turn bearish. The market is yet to price in one of the worst earnings
decline periods in stock market history. With extremely high valuations, a
crash is on the menu. Extremely low volatility suggests complacency and
downside ahead.
We
rallied 46% right after the great depressions (1930’s) first collapse and we
have rallied over 100% in our most recent rally of the lows in the last 12
month period. After extreme euphoria for the indices, a highly probable selloff
to the 3900 area is emerging on the S and P, and 13000 should arrive on the
Nifty in the next few months. The FED is repeating the Japan experiment and the
3 lost decades in Japan (1989-2019) are set to repeat across the globe. SPX 1800
and lower in a year and we stay there till 2030, scary? The markets are very
close to an epic meltdown and the SPX is headed way lower.
The
markets are overvalued, overbought and out of touch with economic realities.
Long term, the epic meltdown is set to continue resulting in a 5 year plus bear
market with lot lower levels that may be as low as 800 on the S and P. QE
forever from the FED is about to trigger the deflationary collapse of the
century as we make a major top in global equity markets. The market is looking
like the short of a lifetime with topping action in the transports, other
global indices, and commodities. High valuations continue.
The
recent global virus epidemic (black swan) has dented global GDP significantly
and will usher in a depression much faster than most think. The trend is about
to change from bullish to bearish and the markets are about to get smashed by a
rebounding dollar. Looking for significant underperformance in the Nifty going
forward on rapidly deteriorating macros. A 5-year deflationary wave has started
in key asset classes like the Euro, stocks, and commodities amidst several
bearish divergences and overstretched valuations.
We are
entering a multi-year great depression. The markets are still trading well over
3 standard deviations above their long-term averages from which corrections
usually result. Tail risk has been very high of late, as interest rates are
about to plunge yet again reflecting a major recession. The critical levels
to watch for the week are 4410 (up) and 4380 (down) on the S & P
500 and 15850 (up) and 15700 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of
the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above
markets. High beta / P/E is about to get torched soon
(despite the bullish consensus emerging). You can check out last week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts
and feedback.
Sunday 25 July 2021
Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning July 26
Indicator |
Weekly
Level / Change |
Implication
for S
& P 500 |
Implication
for Nifty* |
S
& P 500 |
4412,
1.96% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
Nifty |
15856,
-0.42% |
Neutral
** |
Neutral |
China
Shanghai Index |
3550,
0.31% |
Neutral |
Neutral |
Gold |
1802,-0.72% |
Bearish |
Bearish |
WTIC
Crude |
72.17,
0.50% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
Copper |
4.46,
2.83% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
Baltic
Dry Index |
3199,
5.26% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
Euro |
1.1773,
-0.27% |
Neutral |
Neutral |
Dollar/Yen |
110.56,
0.44% |
Neutral |
Neutral |
Dow
Transports |
14756,
1.82% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
High
Yield (Bond ETF) |
109.88,
0.28% |
Neutral |
Neutral |
US
10 year Bond Yield |
1.29%,
-1.08% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
NYSE
Summation Index |
160,
-56.02% |
Bearish |
Neutral |
US
Vix |
17.20,
-6.78% |
Bullish |
Bullish |
Skew |
159 |
Bearish |
Bearish |
20
DMA, S & P 500 |
4338,
Above |
Bullish |
Neutral |
50
DMA, S & P 500 |
4257,
Above |
Bullish |
Neutral |
200
DMA, S & P 500 |
3915,
Above |
Bullish |
Neutral |
20
DMA, Nifty |
15788,
Above |
Neutral |
Bullish |
50
DMA, Nifty |
15613,
Above |
Neutral |
Bullish |
200
DMA, Nifty |
14287,
Above |
Neutral |
Bullish |
S
& P 500 P/E |
34.41 |
Bearish |
Neutral |
Nifty
P/E |
28.28 |
Neutral |
Bearish |
India
Vix |
11.76,
0.49% |
Neutral |
Neutral |
Dollar/Rupee |
74.43,
-0.24% |
Neutral |
Neutral |
Overall |
S
& P 500 |
Nifty |
|
Bullish
Indications |
10 |
10 |
|
Bearish
Indications |
4 |
3 |
|
Outlook |
Bullish |
Bullish |
|
Observation |
The S and P rallied and the Nifty fell last week.
Indicators are bullish for the week. The
markets are beginning a correction. Watch those stops. |
||
On
the Horizon |
Eurozone – German employment data, German GDP, CPI, USA - FOMC rate
decision, GDP |
||
*Nifty |
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index |
||
Raw
Data |
Courtesy
Stock charts, investing.com, multpl.com, NSE |
||
**Neutral |
Changes
less than 0.5% are considered neutral |
The S and P rallied
and the Nifty fell last week. Indicators are bullish for the week. Deflation is in the
air. Another new high amid loads of divergences. Earnings revisions have been
very good but it is already in the price. Typical late-cycle FED put
stuff is leading to a taper tantrum and an imminent
top. Tail risk has skyrocketed with the Skew/Vix ratio
recently touching double digits. The market is about to begin an epic
correction. Deflationary busts often begin after inflationary scares (the
market is calling the Fed’s bluff) and long bonds are telegraphing just that. Transports,
the Dollar, market breadth, and the skew are flashing major
warning signs. The epic correction signal is alive and well with retail,
hedge funds, and speculators all in, despite the recent melt-up, suggesting a major
top is imminent. The moment of reckoning is very
near. Technicals are about to track fundamentals and turn bearish.
The market is yet to price in one of the worst earnings decline periods in
stock market history. With extremely high valuations, a crash is on the menu.
Extremely low volatility suggests complacency and downside ahead.
We
rallied 46% right after the great depressions (1930’s) first collapse and we
have rallied over 100% in our most recent rally of the lows in the last 12
month period. After extreme euphoria for the indices, a highly probable selloff
to the 3900 area is emerging on the S and P, and 13000 should arrive on the
Nifty in the next few months. The FED is repeating the Japan experiment and the
3 lost decades in Japan (1989-2019) are set to repeat across the globe. SPX 1800
and lower in a year and we stay there till 2030, scary? The markets are very
close to an epic meltdown and the SPX is headed way lower.
The
markets are overvalued, overbought and out of touch with economic realities.
Long term, the epic meltdown is set to continue resulting in a 5 year plus bear
market with lot lower levels long-term that may be as low as 800 on the S and P. QE
forever from the FED is about to trigger the deflationary collapse of the
century as we make a major top in global equity markets. The market is looking
like the short of a lifetime with topping action in the transports, other
global indices, and commodities. High valuations continue.
The
recent global virus epidemic (black swan), has dented global GDP significantly
and will usher in a depression much faster than most think. The trend is about
to change from bullish to bearish and the markets are about to get smashed by a
rebounding dollar. Looking for significant underperformance in the Nifty going
forward on rapidly deteriorating macros. A 5-year deflationary wave has started
in key asset classes like the Euro, stocks, and commodities amidst several
bearish divergences and overstretched valuations.
We are
entering a multi-year great depression. The markets are still trading well over
3 standard deviations above their long-term averages from which corrections
usually result. Tail risk has been very high of late, as interest rates are
about to plunge yet again reflecting a major recession. The critical levels to
watch for the week are 4425 (up) and 4400 (down) on the S & P 500
and 15950 (up) and 15800 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the
above levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. High
beta / P/E is about to get torched soon (despite the bullish
consensus emerging). You can check out last week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts
and feedback.
World Indices
Live World Indices are powered by Investing.com
Market Insight
-
-
‘I Want That Sweet Baby’: AI-Generated Kids Draw Predators On TikTok And Instagram - Images of AI children on TikTok and Instagram are becoming magnets for many with a sexual interest in minors. But content of fake people falls into a troub...32 minutes ago
-
Scilex Holding (NASDAQ:SCLX) Insider Buys $69,771.24 in Stock - Scilex Holding (NASDAQ:SCLX – Get Free Report) insider Jaisim Shah bought 83,061 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Thursday, May 16th. The stock w...38 minutes ago
-
The New Normal: What’s Next as Investors Turn Bullish Again - Find out why "higher for longer" is the new normal for bullish investors and why the market shows little sign of slowing down from here. The post The New...1 hour ago
-
Debt Rattle May 20 2024 - Wassily Kandinsky Moscow II 1916 • Iranian President Confirmed Dead In Helicopter Crash (RT) • The Trump Trial Could Be Over Sooner Than You Think – Un...1 hour ago
-
Elon Musk Wants Giga Texas Roof To Spell Out 'TESLA' Amid Solar Panels, Bright Enough To Be Seen At Night From Airliners Flying Into Austin - The rear portion of the factory extension, meanwhile, will be a "super dense, water-cooled supercomputer cluster," Musk added. read more2 hours ago
-
Iran’s President and Foreign Minister die in Helicopter Crash | No Accident? - Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian have died in a helicopter crash. Major strategic mistake of cramming the top g...3 hours ago
-
Correlations Explained - It is crucial to understand correlations as EVERYTHING fluctuates! There is absolutely nothing that remains constant. You MUST understand that correlations...6 hours ago
-
Maybe We're Closer to "You'll Own Nothing" Than We Realize - *Maybe we should rephrase the slogan to "you'll appear to own things you don't actually control and be happy." * *The World Economic Forum's catchphrase y...8 hours ago
-
If Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi Is Dead, That Could Push The Middle East To The Brink Of All-Out War - Did we just witness a moment that will permanently alter history? As I write this article, the entire world is waiting for confirmation that Iranian Pre...12 hours ago
-
The Grass is Green - Weekly report covering Gold, Equities, Crude, Dollar. A look at trade opportunities and covering the model portfolio. The post The Grass is Green appeare...13 hours ago
-
Sunday links: it’s never too late - Markets - Bull markets are only easy in retrospect. (downtownjoshbrown.com) - Last year's stock market performance doesn't tell you much after this...20 hours ago
-
10 Sunday Reads - Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • How the ‘Harvard of Trading’ Ruined Thousands of Young People’...1 day ago
-
Precious Metals And Mining Stocks Are Making Early Bull Breakaway Moves (What To Do) - On Friday, the price of gold closed at an all-time high, and the price of silver ended the day at $31.26 an ounce. It went up over 4.50% that day. Both are...1 day ago
-
S&P 500 PE Ratio - *Current S&P 500 PE Ratio:* 27.56 +0.03 (0.12%) 4:00 PM EDT, Fri May 172 days ago
-
Forget Tesla... Forget GameStop... Focus on This Instead - Forget Tesla... Forget GameStop... Focus on This Instead The Dow Jones Industrial Average Looks “Ready to Run” The market’s headlines can be misleading, bu...2 days ago
-
A String of Up Fridays - [image: djia behavior on fridays] Trading on Fridays is different from trading on other days of the week. For a trader to be a buyer on Friday, that tra...2 days ago
-
Ice cream is a seasonal product, right? - We have published this post in mid-May, which seems like the time people would start indulging in ice cream. It’s not quite “I scream for ice cream” time, ...3 days ago
-
Daily Market Brief - Subscriber content. To subscribe to the Daily Market Brief please visit Market Services on NorthmanTrader.com. The Daily Market Brief is an in-depth market...4 days ago
-
-
DOGE's Bullish Signal Amidst Crypto Market Volatility - With a market cap of over $20 billion, Dogecoin (DOGE), the world’s leading meme cryptocurrency, appears poised to replicate the bullish “golden cross” tec...6 days ago
-
If You Find Deer or Elk Antlers on the Ground, Leave Them There, Say Some States - Even though elk do shed their antlers naturally, collecting them brings up a number of ethical issues.6 days ago
-
Navigating Market Bottoms: A 5-Step Checklist for Mastering Stock Entries - As volatility ripples through the markets, every investor is asking the same question: is it time to buy, or is caution still warranted? In this insightf...2 weeks ago
-
The Bank has published its annual report for the year 2023 - 2023 has been a fifth succeeding good year for Dukascopy Bank SA. The Bank’s net profit of 2023 was CHF 1.3 million. All subsidiaries of Dukascopy ...2 weeks ago
-
Weekend Update - Trendline rejection (3/8/24) - SPX was rejected by the blue trendline Friday. The trendline had been sucessfully tested four times and held since November, until now. SPX has unable ...2 months ago
-
Catastrophic Risk: Investing and Business Implications - In the context of valuing companies, and sharing those valuations, I do get suggestions from readers on companies that I should value next. While I d...3 months ago
-
Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!3 months ago
-
Teaching Johns Hopkins A Privilege Lesson - by Not Sure01/12/24Johns Hopkins Hospital Chief Diversity Officer Sherita Hill Golden sent a letter out essentially implying that all people who don’t look...4 months ago
-
Mungerisms: Timeless Wisdom from Charlie Munger on Life and Business - "Mungerisms" are succinct expressions of wisdom and insights coined by Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett's longtim...5 months ago
-
It’s Crunch Time for The Daily Doom and Doom Time for The Great Recession Blog - The Great Recession Blog is officially done for good, and it remains to be seen if all my writing continues on TheDailyDoom.com. If my writing on economi...10 months ago
-
Innovative Industrial Properties Stock a Great Way to Play Pot Sector - *IIPR Stock Represents a Long-Term Opportunity* Marijuana stocks briefly attracted investors' attention following the 2022 mid-term elections, when Maryl...1 year ago
-
2008 analogue - The 2008 analogue tape looks very interesting from where we stand. Let's anchor it to the next two Fed meetings -- since that's all that matters -- and i...1 year ago
-
Back to trade with Bar Replay - It is often said that one should not be sad about the past, but sometimes it can be nice to return to it. Who would like to buy Tesla for $1 and experience...1 year ago
-
After This Holiday Rally, You Better Know When To Walk Away - This week’s investor insight will make you think twice about the current stock and bond rally as we head into the end of the year. We get a lot of questi...1 year ago
-
How Africa Can Escape Chronic Food Insecurity Amid Climate Change - The toll of extreme weather events on crops underscores the region’s challenges and need for policies to save lives and protect livelihoods.1 year ago
-
12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market - 12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market [image: Bear Market Rules Survival Guide] I grew up in the 1970s-1980s when th...1 year ago
-
Growth Companies – Getting What You Want - What do the growth companies in your field have in common? How are they doing so well and what can you learn from them? Growth companies usually make a pro...1 year ago
-
-
Blog Post Title - What goes into a blog post? Helpful, industry-specific content that: 1) gives readers a useful takeaway, and 2) shows you’re an industry expert. Use your c...2 years ago
-
Foot Locker Crushed Q2 Earnings Expectations Sending Stock Higher - Plus, AstraZeneca said its antibody therapy reduced the risk of developing COVID-19 symptoms by 77%, The Topps Co’s SPAC merger is off, and Elon Musk annou...2 years ago
-
Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - July 10th - The market has continued its rally to higher highs and it doesn't seem like it wants to stop. We now have a new ATH at 4371 which are NASDAQ levels s...2 years ago
-
The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It - Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.3 years ago
-
Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!3 years ago
-
Trading: Opportunities Are Dispersed - Opportunities are dispersed. You might have an... *READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE ON THE NEW WEBSITE: JIM ROGERS TALKS MARKETS * *Jim Rogers is a legendary i...3 years ago
-
Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning November 09 - Indicator Weekly Level / Change Implication for S & P 500 Implication for Nifty* S & P 500 3509, 7.32% Bullish Bullish Nifty 12264, 5.34% Neutral ** Bullis...3 years ago
-
November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any nation than the lowness of interest"?" published. https://bit.ly/2y4LJZQ - November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any n...3 years ago
-
Fully Automated Trend Trading w/ Stocks Or Options - There’s a lot of research to support the usage of trend indicators as simple risk reduction elements that can be layered onto an existing strategy. Howev...3 years ago
-
2020 Top Investment Picks – Q3 Update - At the beginning of the year, I put together a list of Top Investment Picks for 2020 from the investment community and track them on this website. This is ...3 years ago
-
Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes - I just published a new long-form piece through OSAM entitled “Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes.” In th...3 years ago
-
The last of 12326 - February 22nd 2012..... First post... https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/2012/02/can-anyone-fly-plane.html -- This post will be the last under the o...3 years ago
-
-
Ultramarathoner Runs Over 200 Miles in Backyard, Wins Golden Toilet Paper Roll - Strange times indeed. In the land “BC,” before coronavirus, people ran long distances in foot races, and toilet paper wasn’t coveted. Things have changed. ...4 years ago
-
One Year Later - A year ago today I lost my father and my best friend, everyone here lost their mentor and a friend. Dad and I spent the last 7 years of his life living tog...4 years ago
-
-
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Retreating Towards Key Support Around $25.60-$27 -
AMD has failed to clear the 2018 high around $34.20. It is retreating, and has broken an August/September sup...
4 years ago -
Advanced Search is Now on Stocktwits - Advanced Search Is Now on Stocktwits Come rain or shine, the Stocktwits community shares over 200,000 messages per day. That includes charts, news, trade i...4 years ago
-
Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 - To access this post, you must purchase Premium Plan or Premium Plan - Annual. The post Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 appeared first on Elliottwa...5 years ago
-
Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
-
A look at the bull market ahead - My latest missive on the near-term stock market outlook can be seen at Financial Sense web site. You can see it by clicking on the following link: https:/...6 years ago
-
Weekly Videos - This week’s video will be posted on the new home for Short Takes. If all goes well, it will appear sometime between 6:00 and 8:00 pm ET.6 years ago
-
Gold Miners near a buy zone - Gold cleared a several month long consolidation a few weeks ago as it cleared $1300, and has since been consolidating as it drifts back to […] The post G...6 years ago
-
Current Account Deficits and Safe Assets - The International Monetary Fund has issued its External Sector Report for 2017, and among its key findings: “Global current account imbalances were broadly...6 years ago
-
Kafka For The Twenty First Century - I've been spending a slightly frustrating day trying to update my payment details at google. To log in to my admin console I need to log in using my G Sui...7 years ago
-
Gold Unleashed by Fed - Gold's next major upleg was likely unleashed by a very-dovish FOMC this week, which now has its hands tied on hiking rates or being hawkish due to the US e...7 years ago
-
August 24th Blogger Sentiment Poll - There are more bulls than bears in this week's poll. Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave L...14 years ago
My Favorite Books
- The Intelligent Investor
- Liars Poker
- One up on Wall Street
- Beating the Street
- Remniscience of a stock operator
Trading Ideas
Forex Insight
-
Binance effect fades, less than 20% tokens are profitable six months after listing - Read more on https://www.fxstreet.com56 minutes ago
-
Aussie, Kiwi Dollar Outlook: AUD, NZD Price Setups Ahead of the RBNZ - AUD/USD bullish potential remains, and AUD/NZD bounces off a zone of support ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s rate announcement and RBA minutes2 hours ago
-
FX Watch: GBP/USD to Extend Its Uptrend After the U.K. CPI Release? - GBP/USD is poised to make new May highs! Can headlines around this week’s U.K. CPI release propel the pair to new monthly highs?4 hours ago
-
Euro edges lower despite positive inflation report - The euro has posted slight losses on Friday. EUR/USD is down 0.28%, trading at 1.0837 in the North American session at the time of writing. Eurozone CPI st...2 days ago
-
Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
-
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook - EUR/USD's decline attempt was contained at 1.0494, above 1.0493 support and rebounded. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of ...7 years ago
-
Loonie and Aussie Share Downward Bond - In yesterday’s post (Tide is Turning for the Aussie), I explained how a prevailing sense of uncertainty in the markets has manifested itself in the form of...12 years ago
Economic Calendar
India Market Insight
-
The Enigmatic 273 in Gann’s Square of 9: A Deep Dive into Time Cycles - In the realm of financial markets and trading, William D. Gann stands as a towering figure known for his innovative and highly effective trading methods....1 day ago
-
Tata Elxsi Q4 net profit, revenue decline QoQ; firm declares dividend of Rs 70 per share - [image: Tata Elxsi Q4 net profit, revenue decline QoQ; firm declares dividend of Rs 70 per share] The net profit was down 4.6 percent quarter-on-quarter co...3 weeks ago
-
Rupee falls 29 paise to close at 82.68 against US dollar - During the day, the rupee touched a high of 82.45 and a low of 82.68 against the greenback. On Friday, the rupee had settled at 82.39 against the dollar.11 months ago
-
-
ES Hourly cloud and 4 Hour chart - - ES Hour moving towards the hourly cloud which may act as resistance. - 4 Hour chart shows a possible bullish candle which may give new high's ...2 years ago
-
JUST NIFTY BLOG 10-01-2020 - Bulk Deals FII DII Stats Date # of Deals Total Volume (In Millions) 01-01-1970 0 0.00 Click here to see all Bulk Deals Date Category Buy Amount (Rs. Cror...4 years ago
-
Vist Note on Federal Bank - We recently met the senior management of Federal Bank which is one of the old private sector banks with a distribution network of 1252 branches (48% Kerala...6 years ago
-
Nifty Bulls bounces ferociously holding 9930,EOD Analysis - FII's bought 4.8 K contract of Index Future worth 262 cores ,9.7 K Long contract were added by FII's and 4.8 K Short contracts were added by FII's. Net Ope...6 years ago
-
Midcap & Smallcap Index Corrects, Lets Come Back To Fundamentals Again - Midcap Index had made a high of 18511 on 16th May 2017, fell almost 7% and is currently trading at 17230. Smallcap Index made all time high of 7679 on 11th...6 years ago
-
Market outlook for 30/10/2016 - *Nifty closed up 22.75 points (0.26%) at 8638.00* while Future closed at 8667.40, premium of 29.40 points. *Bank Nifty closed up 41.35 points (0.21%) at 19...7 years ago
-
Option Open Interest for 28-10-2016 - Inference The index opened flat to positive and after making an initial low around 8581 saw some short covering to close at 8638.00, gain of 22.75 points. ...7 years ago
-
Market Review for 23rd August 2016 - *Nifty (8629)* we said ‘technically trend is still intact but there exists selling pressure near 8746 and support around 8600 zones’ the Nifty unfolded as...7 years ago
-
ITC To Resume Cigarette Manufacturing - ITC manufactures a range of cigarette brands, including India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Navy Cut, Capstan, Bristol, Flake, Silk Cut, which are manufactur...8 years ago
-
My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.