Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
2472, -0.02%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Nifty
|
10015, 1.00%
|
Neutral
**
|
Bullish
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
3253, 0.47%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Gold
|
1275, 1.63%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
WTIC
Crude
|
49.71, 8.61%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Copper
|
2.88, 5.60%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
942, -2.28%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Euro
|
1.1752, 0.78%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Yen
|
110.68, -0.40%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dow
Transports
|
9227, -2.58%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
High
Yield (ETF)
|
37.41, 0.24%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
US
10 year Bond Yield
|
2.29%, 2.55%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
751, 3.13%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US
Vix
|
10.29, 9.94%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Skew
|
140
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
2452, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
2435, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2322, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
9839, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
9682, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
8937, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India
Vix
|
11.14, 0.47%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
64.11, -0.55%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
8
|
9
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
4
|
4
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The
S and P 500 and the Nifty made new highs last week. Indicators are bullish.
The
market is topping. Time to tighten those stops.
|
||
On
the Horizon
|
China
– PMI, UK - PMI, Rate decision, Australia – Rate decision, Retail sales, New
Zealand – Employment data, Euro Zone – CPI, PMI, German PMI, German employment
data, U.S –Oil inventories, pending home sales, ISM, employment data, Canada
– employment data, PMI, India – RBI rate decision
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, investing.com
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The S and
P 500 and the Nifty made new highs last week. Signals are bullish for the
upcoming week. Past and future FED rate hikes are yet to be priced in and sentiment
indicators are back in complacency mode. Transports and the Yen are flashing
warning signs. Momentum is waning. The critical levels to watch are 2485 (up)
and 2460 (down) on the S & P and 10100 (up) and 9900 (down) on the Nifty. A
significant breach of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above
markets. You can check out last week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.