Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
2473, 0.54%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nifty
|
9915, 0.28%
|
Neutral
**
|
Neutral
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
3238, 0.48%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Gold
|
1255, 2.23%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
WTIC
Crude
|
45.77, -1.65%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Copper
|
2.72, 1.17%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
964, 8.56%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Euro
|
1.1661, 1.69%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Yen
|
111.13, -1.23%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Dow
Transports
|
9471, -2.79%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
High
Yield (ETF)
|
37.32, 0.35%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
US
10 year Bond Yield
|
2.23%, -3.75%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
728, 22.48%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US
Vix
|
9.36, -1.58%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Skew
|
135
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
2441, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
2427, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2314, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
9720, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
9628, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
8905, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India
Vix
|
11.09, -0.78%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
64.46, 0.31%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
10
|
11
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
3
|
3
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The
S and P 500 and the Nifty made new highs last week. Indicators are bullish.
The
market is in unchartered territory. Time to tighten those stops.
|
||
On
the Horizon
|
Russia
– Rate decision, UK - GDP, Australia – CPI, Euro Zone – PMI, German IFO business
index, Rate decision, U.S –Oil inventories, Existing and new home sales, Consumer
confidence, Durable goods, FOMC rate decision, GDP, Canada – GDP
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, investing.com
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The S and
P 500 and the Nifty made new highs last week. Signals are bullish for the
upcoming week. Past and future FED rate hikes are yet to be priced in and sentiment
indicators are back in complacency mode. Transports and the Yen are flashing
warning signs. Market internals are flashing major warning signs of a large
decline ahead. The critical levels to watch are 2485 (up) and 2460 (down) on
the S & P and 10000 (up) and 9850 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach
of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You
can check out last week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.