Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
2367, 0.69%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nifty
|
8940, 1.34%
|
Neutral
**
|
Bullish
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
3253, 1.60%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Gold
|
1258, 1.55%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
WTIC
Crude
|
53.99, 0.39%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Copper
|
2.70, -0.41%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
875, 18.08%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Euro
|
1.058, -0.34%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dollar/Yen
|
112.14, -0.63%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Dow
Transports
|
9422, -0.77%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
High
Yield (ETF)
|
37.15, 0.51%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
US
10 year Bond Yield
|
2.31%, -4.45%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
812, 4.32%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US
Vix
|
11.47, -0.17%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
2320, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
2288, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2179, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
8776, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
8451, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
8421, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India
Vix
|
13.40, -0.24%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
66.64, -0.65%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
10
|
11
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
2
|
2
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The
S and P 500 and the Nifty were up last week. Indicators are bullish.
The
market is in melt up mode. Time to watch those stops.
|
||
On
the Horizon
|
Australia
– GDP, China – PMI, Japan –CPI, Euro Zone – German employment data, CPI, Euro
zone CPI, GDP, Switzerland – GDP, U.K – GDP, Canada – GDP, U.S – Durable
goods, Consumer confidence, Trade balance, Personal consumption data, GDP, ISM
data, Yellen speech, Canada – Rate decision, GDP
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, dailyfx.com
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The S and
P 500 and the Nifty moved up last week. Signals are bullish for the upcoming
week. Possible FED rate hikes are yet to be priced in and sentiment indicators
are back in complacent mode. The Vix, transports and the flight to quality bid
emerging in treasuries, the dollar and yen are suggesting that risk reward is shifting
towards the downside. The critical levels to watch are 2380 (up) and 2360
(down) on the S & P and 9000 (up) and 8850 (down) on the Nifty. A
significant breach of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above
markets. You can check out last week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.