About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

Wednesday, 24 February 2016

Good and Great Analysts

There are many market analysts out there today offering all sorts of views and analysis. Only a handful of them are consistently good. Only a fraction of these are great. So what differentiates a good analyst from a great one? Have a look at this terrific infographic put together by Quandl.

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Economic Calendar

GMT-4		Event	Actual	Consensus
Friday, May 16
15:30	US	CFTC Gold NC Net Positions	$161.2K
15:30	US	CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions	$-122.2K
15:30	AU	CFTC AUD NC Net Positions	$-49.3K
16:00	US	Total Net TIC Flows	$254.3B		Revised from $284.7B
16:00	US	Net Long-Term TIC Flows	$161.8B	$44.2B	Revised from $112.0B
18:00	US	Fed's Barkin speech
21:40	US	Fed's Daly speech
Sunday, May 18
17:20	US	Fed's Williams speech
18:30	NZ	Business NZ PSI
18:45	NZ	Producer Price Index - Output (QoQ)		0.1%

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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.