About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

Wednesday, 24 February 2016

Good and Great Analysts

There are many market analysts out there today offering all sorts of views and analysis. Only a handful of them are consistently good. Only a fraction of these are great. So what differentiates a good analyst from a great one? Have a look at this terrific infographic put together by Quandl.

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Economic Calendar

GMT-4		Event	Actual	Consensus
Sunday, Jul 13
18:30	NZ	Business NZ PSI	47.3		Revised from 44.0
18:45	NZ	Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM)	0.5%		Revised from -0.2%
18:45	NZ	Electronic Card Retail Sales (YoY)	-0.4%		Revised from 0.9%
Monday, Jul 14
02:30	CH	Producer and Import Prices (MoM)		0.2%
02:30	CH	Producer and Import Prices (YoY)
08:30	CA	Wholesale Sales (MoM)		-0.4%
11:30	US	3-Month Bill Auction
11:30	US	6-Month Bill Auction

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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.