Indicator
|
Weekly Level / Change /
Significance
|
Implication for
S & P 500
|
Implication for Nifty*
|
S & P 500
|
2107, -0.88%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Nifty
|
8434, -0.30%
|
Neutral**
|
Neutral
|
China Shanghai Index
|
4612, -0.99%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Gold
|
1191, -1.24%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
WTIC Crude
|
60.23, 0.40%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Copper
|
2.73, -2.04%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Baltic Dry Index
|
589, 0.51%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Euro
|
1.099, -0.231%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dollar/Yen
|
124.13, 2.08%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Dow Transports
|
8300, -2.15%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
US 10 year Bond Yield
|
2.10%, -5.42%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nyse Summation Index
|
175, -36.21%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
US Vix
|
13.84, 14.10%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
20 DMA, S and P 500
|
2112, Below
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
50 DMA, S and P 500
|
2099, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200 DMA, S and P 500
|
2042, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20 DMA, Nifty
|
8301, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50 DMA, Nifty
|
8438, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
200 DMA, Nifty
|
8324, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India Vix
|
16.66, -1.71%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
63.74, 0.40%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S & P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish Indications
|
5
|
6
|
|
Bearish Indications
|
8
|
8
|
|
Outlook
|
Bearish
|
Marginally Bearish
|
|
Observation
|
The Sand P 500 is putting
in a short term top while the Nifty outperformed last week. The summation
index and transports are implying deteriorating market internals. The Vix is
also indicating a topping process in the market.
|
||
On the Horizon
|
Greece, PMI’s from US and
UK, Australia (RBA), India (RBI), ECB and UK rate decisions, US and Canada
employment data.
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Index
|
||
Raw Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes
less than 0.5% are considered neutral
|
Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed.
Featured post
Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
Saturday, 30 May 2015
Stock Market Signals for the US and Indian Stock Markets for the Upcoming Week beginning June 1
Saturday, 23 May 2015
Stock Market Signals for the US and Indian Stock Markets for the Upcoming Week beginning May 25
Indicator
|
Weekly Level / Change /
Significance
|
Implication for
S & P 500
|
Implication for Nifty*
|
S & P 500
|
2126, 0.16%
|
Neutral**
|
Neutral
|
Nifty
|
8459, 2.38%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
China Shanghai Index
|
4658, 8.10%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Gold
|
1205, -1.44%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
WTIC Crude
|
59.99, 0.03%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Copper
|
2.79, -4.68%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Baltic Dry Index
|
592, -6.62%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Euro
|
1.101, -3.91%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Dollar/Yen
|
121.53, 1.82%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Dow Transports
|
8482, -2.29%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
US 10 year Bond Yield
|
2.22%, 3.46%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Nyse Summation Index
|
274, 7.93%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
US Vix
|
12.13, -2.02%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
20 DMA, S and P 500
|
2110, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50 DMA, S and P 500
|
2096, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200 DMA, S and P 500
|
2038, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20 DMA, Nifty
|
8272, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50 DMA, Nifty
|
8471, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
200 DMA, Nifty
|
8309, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India Vix
|
16.95, -14.47%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
63.49, 0.08%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S & P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish Indications
|
7
|
8
|
|
Bearish Indications
|
6
|
7
|
|
Outlook
|
Marginally Bullish
|
Marginally Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The Sand P 500 is at the
top of its trading range close to all time highs while the Nifty outperformed
last week. The 10 yr bond yields and transports are flashing warning signs.
The Vix may be suggesting complacency.
|
||
On the Horizon
|
Greece, EU consumer
confidence, Canadian CB Rate Decision, UK, US and Canadian GDP Estimates
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Index
|
||
Raw Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes
less than 0.5% are considered neutral
|
||
I have added a new indicator this week, the US 10 year bond yield. You can check out last weeks report for a comparison.
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