Indicator
|
Weekly Level / Change /
Significance
|
Implication for
S & P 500
|
Implication for Nifty*
|
S & P 500
|
1989, 0.91%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nifty
|
8002, -3.59%
|
Neutral**
|
Bearish
|
China Shanghai Index
|
3232, -7.85%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Gold
|
1133, -2.35%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
WTIC Crude
|
45.31, 12.46%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Copper
|
2.35, 2.18%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Baltic Dry Index
|
903, -9.15%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Euro
|
1.1180, -1.83%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Dollar/Yen
|
121.73, -0.27%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dow Transports
|
7909, 0.46%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
US 10 year Bond Yield
|
2.19%, 6.43%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Nyse Summation Index
|
-612, -55.97%
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
US Vix
|
26.05, -7.06%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
20 DMA, S and P 500
|
2043, Below
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
50 DMA, S and P 500
|
2075, Below
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
200 DMA, S and P 500
|
2075, Below
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
20 DMA, Nifty
|
8327, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
50 DMA, Nifty
|
8403, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
200 DMA, Nifty
|
8447, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
India Vix
|
23.33, 36.31%
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
66.15, -0.09%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S & P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish Indications
|
4
|
4
|
|
Bearish Indications
|
9
|
10
|
|
Outlook
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
|
Observation
|
The Sand P 500 was up from
oversold levels while the Nifty was down hard last week. Indicators are bearish.
The Vix moves are flashing crash
signs. Looking for more downside in
the Nifty and the S and P 500.
|
||
On the Horizon
|
US, Canada and German
employment data, Australia and ECB
rate decisions, US and China PMI data, Euro zone CPI, Australia and Canada GDP
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Index
|
||
Raw Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, Dailyfx
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes
less than 0.5% are considered neutral
|
About
Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.
Featured post
Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
Sunday 30 August 2015
Market Signals for the US S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning August 31
Labels:
baltic dry index,
bearish,
bond yield,
bullish,
china,
copper,
crash,
euro,
gold,
moving average,
national stock exchange,
nifty,
nyse,
oil,
rupee,
S and P 500,
stock signals,
transports,
vix,
yen
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday 26 August 2015
US Stock Market, Lots of Downside Ahead, Major Tops and Bottoms Analysis since 1950
With the recent melt down in global markets, it would be prudent to look back at historical data on the US market to see where we stand. To do this I look at major tops and bottoms in the S & P 500 obtained from weekly historical data from Yahoo Finance since 1950. The first table below shows major tops and bottoms in the S and P 500 relative to the average and standard deviation:
Table 1: S&P 500 Tops/Bottoms, Average & Standard Deviation over Time
Date
|
S & P 500 Top / Bottom
|
Average
|
Standard Deviation
|
November 25, 1968
|
108.37
|
55.37
|
24.92
|
May 18, 1970
|
72.25
|
58.26
|
26.21
|
January 2, 1973
|
119.87
|
62.90
|
28.12
|
September 30, 1974
|
62.34
|
65.38
|
28.78
|
December 22, 1980
|
136.57
|
72.26
|
29.69
|
August 2, 1982
|
103.71
|
74.74
|
31.00
|
August 17, 1987
|
335.9
|
90.93
|
53.55
|
30-Nov-87
|
223.92
|
92.37
|
55.95
|
13-Jul-98
|
1186.75
|
181.77
|
203.72
|
31-Aug-98
|
973.89
|
184.22
|
208.73
|
20-Mar-00
|
1527.46
|
218.64
|
282.52
|
2-Apr-01
|
1128.43
|
242.13
|
324.34
|
14-May-01
|
1291.96
|
244.38
|
327.45
|
10-Sep-01
|
965.8
|
250.33
|
334.93
|
11-Mar-02
|
1166.16
|
258.34
|
343.62
|
30-Sep-02
|
800.58
|
266.00
|
349.94
|
8-Oct-07
|
1561.8
|
346.50
|
427.52
|
2-Mar-09
|
683.38
|
366.81
|
443.71
|
19-Apr-10
|
1217.28
|
379.11
|
448.71
|
28-Jun-10
|
1022.58
|
381.39
|
449.82
|
2-May-11
|
1340.2
|
392.94
|
457.43
|
15-Aug-11
|
1123.53
|
397.09
|
460.40
|
13-Jul-15
|
2126.64
|
474.27
|
543.97
|
As can be seen in the table above on only one major bottom in 1974, the market tested it's long term average since 1950. We have not tested the average since 1974 for well over 40 years. The other interesting observation is that the standard deviation of the market has exceeded it's average since 1998 with the market way above its average. This coincides with the involvement of the FED in the market since 1998 post the Long Term Capital debacle and suggests that the risk in the market has increased significantly. The markets average since 1950 currently stands at about 475.
The next table shows the deviation from the average at major tops and bottoms and the return from highs to lows and lows to highs. The market in its early stages till about 1987 always peaked out at about 2 standard deviations above the average. Since 1987 the market has gotten as high as 5 standard deviations above its long term average. Bottoms tend to occur within 1.5 standard deviations from the average. Every key top at above 2 standard deviations from the mean produced a decline of at least 16%. The current market is the fourth most over extended market in history.
Table 2: No of Standard Deviations from the Average at Major S&P 500 Tops/Bottoms and Subsequent Returns from Tops to Bottoms and Bottoms to Tops
Date
|
No of Standard Deviations from Average
|
% Change
|
November 25, 1968
|
2.13
|
-33%
|
May 18, 1970
|
0.53
|
66%
|
January 2, 1973
|
2.03
|
-48%
|
September 30, 1974
|
-0.11
|
119%
|
December 22, 1980
|
2.17
|
-24%
|
August 2, 1982
|
0.93
|
224%
|
August 17, 1987
|
4.57
|
-33%
|
30-Nov-87
|
2.35
|
430%
|
13-Jul-98
|
4.93
|
-18%
|
31-Aug-98
|
3.78
|
57%
|
20-Mar-00
|
4.63
|
-26%
|
2-Apr-01
|
2.73
|
14%
|
14-May-01
|
3.20
|
-25%
|
10-Sep-01
|
2.14
|
21%
|
11-Mar-02
|
2.64
|
-31%
|
30-Sep-02
|
1.53
|
95%
|
8-Oct-07
|
2.84
|
-56%
|
2-Mar-09
|
0.71
|
78%
|
19-Apr-10
|
1.87
|
-16%
|
28-Jun-10
|
1.43
|
31%
|
2-May-11
|
2.07
|
-16%
|
15-Aug-11
|
1.58
|
89%
|
13-Jul-15
|
3.04
|
?
|
Finally drilling down to tops and bottoms since 2000, the average top to bottom decline since 2000 is 28% while the average bottom to top return since 2000 is 55%.
So the question begs what does it mean for today’s market? We have already started breaking down from over extended levels. The current market average is about 474 and standard deviation is 544. Here are some scenarios below:
Table 3: S&P 500 Possible Scenarios
Market Average (MA)+ Standard Deviation (SD)
|
S & P 500 Level
|
MA
|
474
|
MA + 1 SD
|
1018
|
MA + 2 SD
|
1562
|
MA + 3 SD
|
2106
|
The bottom line is folks we are historically over extended. We could now correct to at least 2 standard deviations above the long term average which is close to the 2008 highs near 1575 or to a standard deviation (#stdev) above the long term average as was the case at the 2008 lows near 1018 or to the long term average near 474 which we haven’t revisited since 1974. Only time will tell.
S and P 500 reversion to the mean ongoing? Analysis of major tops & bottoms http://t.co/Q6Uq65hgaW pic.twitter.com/a15iGR5LCx
— samuelR (@RajveerRawlin) September 7, 2015
Labels:
average,
investing,
market bottom,
market top,
s and p,
standard deviation,
stock market,
stock market crash,
trading
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
World Indices
Live World Indices are powered by Investing.com
Market Insight
-
-
Baidu Launches New $28,000 Robotaxi In Wuhan - Baidu, the tech company sometimes called the "Google of China" has a new robotaxi at half the price, and a plan for profits57 minutes ago
-
Google To Comply With Court Order Banning Protest Anthem That Infuriated China — 'Glory To Hong Kong' To Be Taken Down From YouTube - YouTube, a subsidiary of Alphabet Inc, will be restricting access to 32 video links in Hong Kong, as per a court ruling. The videos contain content that ...1 hour ago
-
Three Stocks: Plug Power, GameStop, and SunPower - Three Stocks: Plug Power, GameStop, and SunPower Plug Power Shares of Plug Power (PLUG) traded higher today on news that the government was throwing the ...5 hours ago
-
Out Of Control Inflation: It Now Takes At Least $177,798 For A Family Of 4 To Live Comfortably In The U.S. - I never imagined that we would ever see a time when it takes $177,798 for a family of four to live comfortably in the United States. Unfortunately, that...6 hours ago
-
Market Talk – May 14, 2024 - ASIA: The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: NIKKEI 225 increased 176.60 points or 0.46% to 38,356.06 Shanghai decreased 2.25 points or -0....6 hours ago
-
S&P 500 PE Ratio - *Current S&P 500 PE Ratio:* 27.27 +0.13 (0.48%) 4:00 PM EDT, Tue May 147 hours ago
-
Precarious: One Misfortune Away from Insolvency - *As a result, a significant percentage of households that are considered middle-class are one misfortune away from insolvency.* *We can summarize the chan...8 hours ago
-
Tuesday links: a curious phenomenon - Diversification - The S&P 500 is now nearly 40% of global market cap. (apolloacademy.com) - International diversification requires a long time hori...8 hours ago
-
WHAT TO EXPECT THIS WEEK FOR STOCKS & GOLD – CHRIS VERMUELN - Many sectors are slowly firming up with defensive plays at the top of the BAN hotlist. Will this trend continue to carry the market into a new uptrend? A b...9 hours ago
-
Johnson Investment Counsel Inc. Grows Holdings in Otis Worldwide Co. (NYSE:OTIS) - Johnson Investment Counsel Inc. increased its stake in shares of Otis Worldwide Co. (NYSE:OTIS – Free Report) by 1.9% in the fourth quarter, HoldingsChanne...10 hours ago
-
S&P 500 Major High on May 23-24 | Allen Reminick - After a high on Tuesday, May 14th the S&P 500 might go sideways to down into Monday, May 20th. The final swing up should occur between May 20th and May 23r...12 hours ago
-
-
Daily Market Brief - Subscriber content. To subscribe to the Daily Market Brief please visit Market Services on NorthmanTrader.com. The Daily Market Brief is an in-depth market...16 hours ago
-
DOGE's Bullish Signal Amidst Crypto Market Volatility - With a market cap of over $20 billion, Dogecoin (DOGE), the world’s leading meme cryptocurrency, appears poised to replicate the bullish “golden cross” tec...17 hours ago
-
A Meme Stock Revival? Don’t Buy GameStop’s 110% Pop - The man who kicked off 2021’s infamous Meme Stock Rally is BACK. A single picture on X caused GameStop shares to soar. Don't fall for it. The post A Meme...17 hours ago
-
Debt Rattle May 14 2024 - Vittorio Matteo Corcos Sogni 1896 • Scott Ritter: The Russians Advance and Ukrainians Can’t Stop Them (Sp.) • One of Russia’s Top Economists is Being A...17 hours ago
-
If You Find Deer or Elk Antlers on the Ground, Leave Them There, Say Some States - Even though elk do shed their antlers naturally, collecting them brings up a number of ethical issues.1 day ago
-
Transcript: Jim O’Shaughnessy, O’Shaughnessy Ventures - The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Jim O’Shaughnessy, O’Shaughnessy Ventures, is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, inclu...1 day ago
-
The population of Federal Reserve Districts : A map from FRED - You may know how many people live in your hometown. You may even have a good idea about the population of your state and the US as a whole. But do you know...1 day ago
-
New Weekly on Deck - Weekly report covering Gold, Equities, Crude, Dollar. A look at trade opportunities and covering the model portfolio. The post New Weekly on Deck appeare...2 days ago
-
Gold Shows an Oil Price Bottom Ahead - [image: gold leads crude oil prices] Gold is valuable, not just as a tradable commodity, but because it knows things about the future which are useful. ...5 days ago
-
Navigating Market Bottoms: A 5-Step Checklist for Mastering Stock Entries - As volatility ripples through the markets, every investor is asking the same question: is it time to buy, or is caution still warranted? In this insightf...1 week ago
-
The Bank has published its annual report for the year 2023 - 2023 has been a fifth succeeding good year for Dukascopy Bank SA. The Bank’s net profit of 2023 was CHF 1.3 million. All subsidiaries of Dukascopy ...2 weeks ago
-
Weekend Update - Trendline rejection (3/8/24) - SPX was rejected by the blue trendline Friday. The trendline had been sucessfully tested four times and held since November, until now. SPX has unable ...2 months ago
-
Catastrophic Risk: Investing and Business Implications - In the context of valuing companies, and sharing those valuations, I do get suggestions from readers on companies that I should value next. While I d...2 months ago
-
Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!3 months ago
-
Teaching Johns Hopkins A Privilege Lesson - by Not Sure01/12/24Johns Hopkins Hospital Chief Diversity Officer Sherita Hill Golden sent a letter out essentially implying that all people who don’t look...4 months ago
-
Mungerisms: Timeless Wisdom from Charlie Munger on Life and Business - "Mungerisms" are succinct expressions of wisdom and insights coined by Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett's longtim...5 months ago
-
It’s Crunch Time for The Daily Doom and Doom Time for The Great Recession Blog - The Great Recession Blog is officially done for good, and it remains to be seen if all my writing continues on TheDailyDoom.com. If my writing on economi...10 months ago
-
Innovative Industrial Properties Stock a Great Way to Play Pot Sector - *IIPR Stock Represents a Long-Term Opportunity* Marijuana stocks briefly attracted investors' attention following the 2022 mid-term elections, when Maryl...1 year ago
-
2008 analogue - The 2008 analogue tape looks very interesting from where we stand. Let's anchor it to the next two Fed meetings -- since that's all that matters -- and i...1 year ago
-
Back to trade with Bar Replay - It is often said that one should not be sad about the past, but sometimes it can be nice to return to it. Who would like to buy Tesla for $1 and experience...1 year ago
-
After This Holiday Rally, You Better Know When To Walk Away - This week’s investor insight will make you think twice about the current stock and bond rally as we head into the end of the year. We get a lot of questi...1 year ago
-
How Africa Can Escape Chronic Food Insecurity Amid Climate Change - The toll of extreme weather events on crops underscores the region’s challenges and need for policies to save lives and protect livelihoods.1 year ago
-
12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market - 12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market [image: Bear Market Rules Survival Guide] I grew up in the 1970s-1980s when th...1 year ago
-
Growth Companies – Getting What You Want - What do the growth companies in your field have in common? How are they doing so well and what can you learn from them? Growth companies usually make a pro...1 year ago
-
-
Blog Post Title - What goes into a blog post? Helpful, industry-specific content that: 1) gives readers a useful takeaway, and 2) shows you’re an industry expert. Use your c...2 years ago
-
Foot Locker Crushed Q2 Earnings Expectations Sending Stock Higher - Plus, AstraZeneca said its antibody therapy reduced the risk of developing COVID-19 symptoms by 77%, The Topps Co’s SPAC merger is off, and Elon Musk annou...2 years ago
-
Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - July 10th - The market has continued its rally to higher highs and it doesn't seem like it wants to stop. We now have a new ATH at 4371 which are NASDAQ levels s...2 years ago
-
The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It - Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.3 years ago
-
Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!3 years ago
-
Trading: Opportunities Are Dispersed - Opportunities are dispersed. You might have an... *READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE ON THE NEW WEBSITE: JIM ROGERS TALKS MARKETS * *Jim Rogers is a legendary i...3 years ago
-
Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning November 09 - Indicator Weekly Level / Change Implication for S & P 500 Implication for Nifty* S & P 500 3509, 7.32% Bullish Bullish Nifty 12264, 5.34% Neutral ** Bullis...3 years ago
-
November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any nation than the lowness of interest"?" published. https://bit.ly/2y4LJZQ - November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any n...3 years ago
-
Fully Automated Trend Trading w/ Stocks Or Options - There’s a lot of research to support the usage of trend indicators as simple risk reduction elements that can be layered onto an existing strategy. Howev...3 years ago
-
2020 Top Investment Picks – Q3 Update - At the beginning of the year, I put together a list of Top Investment Picks for 2020 from the investment community and track them on this website. This is ...3 years ago
-
Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes - I just published a new long-form piece through OSAM entitled “Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes.” In th...3 years ago
-
The last of 12326 - February 22nd 2012..... First post... https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/2012/02/can-anyone-fly-plane.html -- This post will be the last under the o...3 years ago
-
-
Ultramarathoner Runs Over 200 Miles in Backyard, Wins Golden Toilet Paper Roll - Strange times indeed. In the land “BC,” before coronavirus, people ran long distances in foot races, and toilet paper wasn’t coveted. Things have changed. ...4 years ago
-
One Year Later - A year ago today I lost my father and my best friend, everyone here lost their mentor and a friend. Dad and I spent the last 7 years of his life living tog...4 years ago
-
-
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Retreating Towards Key Support Around $25.60-$27 -
AMD has failed to clear the 2018 high around $34.20. It is retreating, and has broken an August/September sup...
4 years ago -
Advanced Search is Now on Stocktwits - Advanced Search Is Now on Stocktwits Come rain or shine, the Stocktwits community shares over 200,000 messages per day. That includes charts, news, trade i...4 years ago
-
Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 - To access this post, you must purchase Premium Plan or Premium Plan - Annual. The post Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 appeared first on Elliottwa...5 years ago
-
Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
-
A look at the bull market ahead - My latest missive on the near-term stock market outlook can be seen at Financial Sense web site. You can see it by clicking on the following link: https:/...6 years ago
-
Weekly Videos - This week’s video will be posted on the new home for Short Takes. If all goes well, it will appear sometime between 6:00 and 8:00 pm ET.6 years ago
-
Gold Miners near a buy zone - Gold cleared a several month long consolidation a few weeks ago as it cleared $1300, and has since been consolidating as it drifts back to […] The post G...6 years ago
-
Current Account Deficits and Safe Assets - The International Monetary Fund has issued its External Sector Report for 2017, and among its key findings: “Global current account imbalances were broadly...6 years ago
-
Kafka For The Twenty First Century - I've been spending a slightly frustrating day trying to update my payment details at google. To log in to my admin console I need to log in using my G Sui...7 years ago
-
Gold Unleashed by Fed - Gold's next major upleg was likely unleashed by a very-dovish FOMC this week, which now has its hands tied on hiking rates or being hawkish due to the US e...7 years ago
-
August 24th Blogger Sentiment Poll - There are more bulls than bears in this week's poll. Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave L...14 years ago
My Favorite Books
- The Intelligent Investor
- Liars Poker
- One up on Wall Street
- Beating the Street
- Remniscience of a stock operator
Trading Ideas
Forex Insight
-
US CPI data expected to show slow progress towards 2% target - Read more on https://www.fxstreet.com11 minutes ago
-
US Inflation Preview: How Will CPI Data Impact Gold, the US Dollar & Yields? - Wednesday's U.S. inflation report has the potential to stir volatility across assets, so traders should prepare for the possibility of treacherous market c...2 hours ago
-
AUD/USD gains ground ahead of wage growth - The Australian dollar has posted gains on Tuesday. AUD/USD is up 0.19%, trading at 0.6620 in the North American session at the time of writing. Australian ...12 hours ago
-
FX Watch: NZD/USD Triangle Breakout Due? - Are we about to see a breakout from this symmetrical triangle soon? Here’s what the upcoming U.S. CPI release might bring for NZD/USD.20 hours ago
-
Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
-
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook - EUR/USD's decline attempt was contained at 1.0494, above 1.0493 support and rebounded. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of ...7 years ago
-
Loonie and Aussie Share Downward Bond - In yesterday’s post (Tide is Turning for the Aussie), I explained how a prevailing sense of uncertainty in the markets has manifested itself in the form of...12 years ago
Economic Calendar
India Market Insight
-
How Mercury’s Transit Shapes Nifty Trends : 15 May 2024 Trade Plan - Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) displayed a bearish approach in the Nifty Index Futures market by shorting 29,666 contracts worth ₹1,658 crores, r...1 hour ago
-
Tata Elxsi Q4 net profit, revenue decline QoQ; firm declares dividend of Rs 70 per share - [image: Tata Elxsi Q4 net profit, revenue decline QoQ; firm declares dividend of Rs 70 per share] The net profit was down 4.6 percent quarter-on-quarter co...3 weeks ago
-
Rupee falls 29 paise to close at 82.68 against US dollar - During the day, the rupee touched a high of 82.45 and a low of 82.68 against the greenback. On Friday, the rupee had settled at 82.39 against the dollar.11 months ago
-
-
ES Hourly cloud and 4 Hour chart - - ES Hour moving towards the hourly cloud which may act as resistance. - 4 Hour chart shows a possible bullish candle which may give new high's ...2 years ago
-
JUST NIFTY BLOG 10-01-2020 - Bulk Deals FII DII Stats Date # of Deals Total Volume (In Millions) 01-01-1970 0 0.00 Click here to see all Bulk Deals Date Category Buy Amount (Rs. Cror...4 years ago
-
Vist Note on Federal Bank - We recently met the senior management of Federal Bank which is one of the old private sector banks with a distribution network of 1252 branches (48% Kerala...6 years ago
-
Nifty Bulls bounces ferociously holding 9930,EOD Analysis - FII's bought 4.8 K contract of Index Future worth 262 cores ,9.7 K Long contract were added by FII's and 4.8 K Short contracts were added by FII's. Net Ope...6 years ago
-
Midcap & Smallcap Index Corrects, Lets Come Back To Fundamentals Again - Midcap Index had made a high of 18511 on 16th May 2017, fell almost 7% and is currently trading at 17230. Smallcap Index made all time high of 7679 on 11th...6 years ago
-
Market outlook for 30/10/2016 - *Nifty closed up 22.75 points (0.26%) at 8638.00* while Future closed at 8667.40, premium of 29.40 points. *Bank Nifty closed up 41.35 points (0.21%) at 19...7 years ago
-
Option Open Interest for 28-10-2016 - Inference The index opened flat to positive and after making an initial low around 8581 saw some short covering to close at 8638.00, gain of 22.75 points. ...7 years ago
-
Market Review for 23rd August 2016 - *Nifty (8629)* we said ‘technically trend is still intact but there exists selling pressure near 8746 and support around 8600 zones’ the Nifty unfolded as...7 years ago
-
ITC To Resume Cigarette Manufacturing - ITC manufactures a range of cigarette brands, including India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Navy Cut, Capstan, Bristol, Flake, Silk Cut, which are manufactur...8 years ago
-
My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)
Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.