Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning November 04

Indicator	Weekly Level / Change	Implication for S & P 500	Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500	3067, 1.47%	Bullish	Bullish
Nifty	11891, 2.65%	Neutral **	Bullish
China Shanghai Index	2958, 0.11%	Neutral	Neutral
Gold	1517, 0.75%	Bullish	Bullish
WTIC Crude	56.17, -0.86%	Bearish	Bearish
Copper	2.66, -0.49%	Neutral	Neutral
Baltic Dry Index	1697, -5.77%	Bearish	Bearish
Euro	1.1167, 0.79%	Bullish	Bullish
Dollar/Yen	108.19, -0.43%	Neutral	Neutral
Dow Transports	10739, -1.08%	Bearish	Bearish
High Yield (Bond)	108.24, -0.57%	Bearish	Bearish
US 10 year Bond Yield	1.71%, -5.03%	Bullish	Bullish
Nyse Summation Index	707, 10.40%	Bullish	Neutral
US Vix	12.30, -2.77%	Bullish	Bullish
Skew	127	Neutral	Neutral
20 DMA, S and P 500	2993, Above	Bullish	Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500	2971, Above	Bullish	Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500	2888, Above	Bullish	Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty	11503, Above	Neutral	Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty	11244, Above	Neutral	Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty	11324, Above	Neutral	Bullish
India Vix	15.73, 2.73%	Neutral	Bearish
Dollar/Rupee	70.76, -0.08%	Neutral	Neutral
Overall	S & P 500	Nifty
Bullish Indications	9	8
Bearish Indications	4	6
Outlook	Bullish	Bullish
Observation	The S and P 500 and the Nifty rallied last week. Indicators are bullish for the week. The markets are on the verge of a great depression style collapse. Watch those stops.
On the Horizon	UK – BOE rate decision
*Nifty	India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data	Courtesy Stock charts, investing.com
**Neutral	Changes less than 0.5% are considered neutral

The S and P 500 and the Nifty rallied last week. Indicators are bullish for the upcoming week. QE forever from the FED is about to trigger the deflationary collapse of the century and we are likely making another major top in global equity markets that will probably fail at resistance near 3065 on the Sand P 500. The market is looking like the short of a life time with non-conformations from the transports, other global indices and commodities and a massive drop in the S and P 500 looks imminent. The trend is about to change from bullish to bearish and the markets are about to get smashed by a strong dollar. Looking for significant under performance in the Nifty going forward on rapidly deteriorating macros. A 5 year deflationary wave is about to start in key asset classes like the Euro, stocks and commodities amidst a number of bearish divergences and Hindenburg omens. We are on the verge of a multi-year great depression. The markets are still trading well over 3 standard deviations above their long term averages from which corrections usually result. Tail risk has been very high off late as the yield curve inverts. The critical levels to watch for the week are 3075 (up) and 3055 (down) on the S & P 500 and 12000 (up) and 11800 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.

Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning October 28

Indicator	Weekly Level / Change	Implication for S & P 500	Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500	3023, 1.22%	Bullish	Bullish
Nifty	11584, -0.67%	Neutral **	Bearish
China Shanghai Index	2955, 0.57%	Bullish	Bullish
Gold	1507, 0.87%	Bullish	Bullish
WTIC Crude	56.66, 5.36%	Bullish	Bullish
Copper	2.68, 1.82%	Bullish	Bullish
Baltic Dry Index	1801, -2.91%	Bearish	Bearish
Euro	1.1080, -0.81%	Bearish	Bearish
Dollar/Yen	108.66, 0.21%	Neutral	Neutral
Dow Transports	10856, 3.31%	Bullish	Bullish
High Yield (Bond)	108.86, 0.36%	Neutral	Neutral
US 10 year Bond Yield	1.80%, 2.62%	Bearish	Bearish
Nyse Summation Index	640, 27.95%	Bullish	Neutral
US Vix	12.65, -11.23%	Bullish	Bullish
Skew	126	Neutral	Neutral
20 DMA, S and P 500	2965, Above	Bullish	Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500	2957, Above	Bullish	Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500	2877, Above	Bullish	Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty	11433, Above	Neutral	Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty	11178, Above	Neutral	Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty	11303, Above	Neutral	Bullish
India Vix	15.32, -3.85%	Neutral	Bullish
Dollar/Rupee	70.82, -0.38%	Neutral	Neutral
Overall	S & P 500	Nifty
Bullish Indications	11	11
Bearish Indications	3	4
Outlook	Bullish	Bullish
Observation	The S and P 500 rallied and the Nifty fell last week. Indicators are bullish for the week. The markets are on the verge of a great depression style collapse. Watch those stops.
On the Horizon	Eurozone – German employment data, CPI, US – FOMC rate decision, Employment data, CPI, Japan – BOJ rate decision
*Nifty	India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
Raw Data	Courtesy Stock charts, investing.com
**Neutral	Changes less than 0.5% are considered neutral

The S and P 500 rallied and the Nifty fell last week. Indicators are bullish for the upcoming week. QE forever from the FED is about to trigger the deflationary collapse of the century and we are likely making another major top in global equity markets that will probably fail at resistance near 3065 on the Sand P 500. The market is establishing a major top with non-conformations from the transports, other global indices and commodities and a massive drop in the S and P 500 looks imminent. The trend is about to change from bullish to bearish and the markets are about to get smashed by a strong dollar. Looking for significant under performance in the Nifty going forward on rapidly deteriorating macros. A 5 year deflationary wave is about to start in key asset classes like the Euro, stocks and commodities amidst a number of bearish divergences and Hindenburg omens. We are on the verge of a multi-year great depression. The markets are still trading well over 3 standard deviations above their long term averages from which corrections usually result. Tail risk has been very high off late as the yield curve inverts. The critical levels to watch for the week are 3035 (up) and 3010 (down) on the S & P 500 and 11650 (up) and 11500 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s report for a comparison. My apologies for missing last weeks post. Love your thoughts and feedback.