Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change / Significance
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
1880, -3.10%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Nifty
|
7489, -0.98%
|
Neutral**
|
Bearish
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
2764, 0.95%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Gold
|
1174, 4.98%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
WTIC
Crude
|
31.00, -8.12%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Copper
|
2.09, 1.38%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
297, -6.31%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Euro
|
1.121, 3.45%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Yen
|
116.89, -3.42%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Dow
Transports
|
6943, 0.52%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
High
Yield (ETF)
|
32.30, -2.23%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
US
10 year Bond Yield
|
1.85%, -4.30%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
-560, 22.80%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US
Vix
|
23.38, 15.74%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
1920, Below
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
1991, Below
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2041, Below
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
7497, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
7668, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
8058, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
India
Vix
|
18.11, 5.08%
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
67.88, 0.0%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
7
|
6
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
9
|
10
|
|
Outlook
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
|
Observation
|
The
Sand P 500 and the Nifty fell last week on what looks like another failed QE
from Japan. Indicators are bearish. Looking for a retest of the prior lows.
|
||
On
the Horizon
|
China
- Loan data, Euro zone – German Italian & Euro zone GDP, U.S – Retail
sales, U. Michigan confidence data
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, FXCM
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The US
market and Nifty fell last week. Signals are bearish for the upcoming week.
The markets are in crash mode and are likely to continue major breakdowns in
2016, looking for a retest of the recent lows. The critical levels to
watch are 1900 (up) and 1860 (down) on the S & P and 7500 (up) and 7400
(down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger the
next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s report for a comparison. You can also check out snapshots of
the S and P 500 and Nifty Indices. Love your thoughts and feedback.