Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx.
They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other
key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day.
Today's commentary looks at the weakening dollar following the recent trade war posturing:
Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed.
Featured post
Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
Tuesday, 31 January 2017
Monday, 30 January 2017
Daily Forex Insight
Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx.
They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other
key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day.
Today's commentary looks at the upcoming week which is loaded with economic news flow. The FED, BOJ, BOE, US payrolls and India's union budget are set to take center stage:
Saturday, 28 January 2017
Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning January 30
Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
2295, 1.03%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nifty
|
8641, 3.50%
|
Neutral**
|
Bullish
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
3159, 1.15%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Gold
|
1188, -1.37%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
WTIC
Crude
|
53.17, -0.09%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Copper
|
2.69, 2.46%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
827, -10.59%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Euro
|
1.070, -0.03%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dollar/Yen
|
115.08, 0.44%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dow
Transports
|
9444, 2.38%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
High
Yield (ETF)
|
37.00, 0.68%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
US
10 year Bond Yield
|
2.48%, 0.57%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
682, 8.73%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US
Vix
|
10.58, -8.32%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
2272, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
2245, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2156, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
8355, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
8201, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
8327, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India
Vix
|
16.00, 1.36%
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
68.09, -0.00%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
10
|
10
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
3
|
4
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The
S and P 500 and the Nifty rallied last week. Indicators are bullish.
The
Trump bounce is largely over. Time to watch those stops.
|
||
On
the Horizon
|
China
- PMI, Japan – Rate decision, New Zealand - Employment data, Euro zone – CPI,
German employment data, CPI, UK – Rate decision, Canada – GDP, U.S – Personal
consumption data, ISM data, Consumer confidence, FOMC rate decision, Employment
data, India - Union budget 2017
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, dailyfx.com
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The S and P 500 the Nifty moved up last week. Signals are bullish for the upcoming week. Possible FED rate hikes are yet to be priced in and sentiment indicators are back in complacent mode. Bond yields are surging back up. The critical levels to watch are 2310 (up) and 2290 (down) on the S & P and 8700 (up) and 8600 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.
Thursday, 26 January 2017
Daily Forex Insight
Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx.
They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other
key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day.
Today's commentary looks at the upcoming US GDP report:
Wednesday, 25 January 2017
Daily Forex Insight
Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx. They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day. Today's commentary looks at equities, valuations and volatility:
Tuesday, 24 January 2017
Daily Forex Insight
Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx. They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day. Today's commentary looks at the Pound and the S & P 500:
Monday, 23 January 2017
Daily Forex Insight
Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx.
They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other
key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day.
Today's commentary looks at the Dollar and the S & P 500:
Sunday, 22 January 2017
Daily Forex Insight
Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx.
They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other
key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day.
Today's commentary looks at global trade policy taking center stage following president Trump taking office:
Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning January 23
|
Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
|
S
& P 500
|
2271, -0.15%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
|
Nifty
|
8349, -0.61%
|
Neutral**
|
Bearish
|
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
3123, 0.33%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
|
Gold
|
1205, 0.73%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
WTIC
Crude
|
53.22, 1.62%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Copper
|
2.62, -2.42%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
925, 1.65%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Euro
|
1.070, 0.55%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Dollar/Yen
|
114.52, 0.02%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
|
Dow
Transports
|
9225, 0.24%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
|
High
Yield (ETF)
|
36.75, -0.08%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
|
US
10 year Bond Yield
|
2.47%, 3.66%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
628, -2.58%
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
|
US
Vix
|
11.54, 2.76%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
2265, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
2233, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2150, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
8254, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
8170, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
8310, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
|
India
Vix
|
15.79, 9.79%
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
68.09, -0.08%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
7
|
7
|
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
4
|
5
|
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
|
Observation
|
The
S and P 500 was unchanged and the Nifty fell last week. Indicators are bullish.
The
Trump bounce is largely over. Time to watch those stops.
|
||
|
On
the Horizon
|
Australia
– CPI, New Zealand – CPI, Japan – CPI,
U.K
– GDP,
US
– Durable Goods, Trade balance, GDP
|
||
|
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
|
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, dailyfx.com
|
||
|
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The S and
P 500 was unchanged and the Nifty fell last week. Signals are bullish for the
upcoming week. Possible FED rate hikes are yet to be priced in and sentiment
indicators are back in complacent mode. Bond yields are surging back up. The
critical levels to watch are 2280 (up) and 2260 (down) on the S & P and 8400
(up) and 8300 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels
could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last
week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.
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