The chart of the week is courtesy Bob Hoye via SafeHaven and looks at spikes in the 3 month LIBOR rate vs S and P 500 performance. Any sustained spikes in LIBOR in excess of 25 basis points in the last year has often resulted in significant stock market pull backs as seen in August 2015 and February 2016. There is usually a lag of about 2 months for the sell off to occur. We had a recent LIBOR spike about 2 months ago and should see a stock market pull back soon. More importantly LIBOR has entered a clear uptrend this past year and that is problematic for risk assets long term:
About
Ahead of the Curve provides you with analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.
Featured post
Time Series Analysis with GRETL
This video shows key time-series analyses techniques such as ARIMA, Granger Causality, Co-integration, and VECM performed via GRETL. Key dia...
Showing posts with label bear market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bear market. Show all posts
Thursday 8 September 2016
Chart of the Week - Libor Spikes Vs S & P 500
Labels:
bear market,
correction,
libor,
sp500,
stock market,
stock market crash
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday 22 June 2016
Gold Rush Coming?
Is a gold rush coming much like in 2000 and have gold bears got it wrong this time around, Here is an interesting take from our partners at the The WallStreet Window:
Proof that the Gold Bears are Wrong – Mike Swanson
I am bullish on gold and I own gold and mining stocks, because gold is in a bull market. I have been trying to do my best to tell people this, but many people simply do not believe it. Gold and the mining stocks went through a very brutal bear market for five years and that makes it hard for people to believe that any of the rallies are real.What is more there are several “experts” that keep calling for gold to fall to $1,000 or even $250 an ounce that are scaring people out of gold. If you read this post you will see why these gold bears are wrong and know the one thing you need to know now that proves that gold is in a new bull market.
Then you will know that you do not have to be afraid and that you can take action. This is why people are looking at it.
What people are seeing is a rally up to $1,300 in gold this year and a pullback of that level happening right now.That pullback is making gold bears call for a crash again and scaring people out of gold and I know because I am getting lots of emails from people scared or trying to jump out of mining stocks in hopes of buying in at a much lower price.
This rally in gold has brought an over 100% gain for most mining stocks and has made the mining stock sector the best performing sector in the entire stock market so far this year. Those in mining stocks this year are killing the stock market. And yet people are scared of a giant gold drop. Here is what I see:
When you step back and look at the big picture of gold it is obvious that gold was in a bear market for a few years. You know that, but what is important is that during bear markets the 150 and 200-day moving averages slope down and act as resistance. But in January gold smashed through these moving averages and now those moving averages are turning up to act as support. I use classic stage analysis to identify whether a market is in a bull or bear market and it is obvious that gold is in a bull market now:
There are four stages to a financial market cycle in a stock or an entire financial market. As you know you can have a bull market. Before a bull market starts though you usually have a stage one basing phase in which a market simply goes sideways and builds a base. Then it breaks out and begins a full blown stage two bull market that typically lasts for several years. Then there is a stage three topping phase and then a stage four bear market.
There are various technical indicators you can use to determine when these stages are coming to an end so you can make the proper adjustments. That's a topic a little too big to get into now, but we can look at the basics right now. I can quickly show you one important indicator to watch to identify the trend the market is in. That's the long-term 150-day moving average, which is simply a line plotted on a chart using the average price number of the past 150-days.
In a bull market this line slopes up on a chart and the price of the market tends to stay above it, so it acts as a nice price support level in a bull market to make for a good entry point timing mechanism.
In a bear market this line slopes down on a chart and the price of the market tends to stay below it and it acts as resistance. So you can use this moving average to quickly identify the trend of a market. Then you can know if you should be bullish on a market or not.
Of course I have been pointing this out for the past several months and it has not stopped the gold bears from predicting more gold crashes and has not stopped people from trying to jump in and out of gold every time there is a little weakness so let me show you one more thing that is even more important. There is a huge powerful trend that happens in gold bull markets and that is that the mining stocks tend to lead the price of gold higher.
In bear markets the opposite happens. When there is a gold bear market the mining stocks tend to fall much more than the price of gold does. At big tops in gold and silver the mining stocks often stop going up. So when silver prices made a final top in 2011 the mining stocks simply sat there as silver went higher.
And now this year the mining stocks are leading gold up. When gold has a temporary pullback they just come off their highs a little bit and then go up more. Now you can chart out whether the mining stocks are doing better than gold or worse by using the simple HUI divided by the price of gold ratio.
Take a look at it:
As you can see the mining stocks lagged gold for years and a few months ago just started a new huge powerful trend of leading gold higher and outperforming gold.This is a huge predictor of gains to come for both mining stocks and gold and proves that the gold bears are simply wrong and mistaken.
For more on this visit our partner Michael Swanson on his website www.wallstreetwindow.com.
Labels:
bear market,
bull market,
gold,
gold miners,
hui
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday 6 April 2016
Chart of the Day - CSFB Fear Gauge
The chart of the day comes courtesy of ETFdaily news. It shows that while the market has been rallying off late and the Vix has been hitting lows near the 13 level, the CSFB fear gauge has surged to a record high. This shows that institutional investors have been buying out of the money put hedges in large amounts and are not believers in this rally:
Labels:
bear market,
chart of the day,
CSFB fear gauge,
investing,
stock market,
trading,
vix
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Chart of the Day - Bear Market Probability
The chart of the day is courtesy of Econmatters that shows bear market probabilities for the US stock market S & P 500 Index. The chart shows that despite the recent rally, the probability of a bear market is still pretty high:
Labels:
bear market,
investing,
sp500,
stock market,
trading
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Thursday 10 December 2015
Interesting Market News and Views from Global Financial Markets-10
From seekingalpha .com - Today, 1:01 PM
The 2016 Index for the S&P 500 will be 1,958.83, a loss of -5.8%.2015 P/E was 19.5X in our current survey (12/1/15) and last survey it was 17.3X, an increase of 12.7%.S&P 500 has gone from 91 (19%) co"
2) 4 Harbingers Of Stock Market Doom That Foreshadowed The 2008 Crash Are Flashing Red Again
So many of the exact same patterns that we witnessed just before the stock market crash of 2008 are playing out once again right before our eyes. Most of the time, a stock market crash doesn't just come out of nowhere."
From www .wsj .com - Today, 12:21 PM
ETFs, after a spectacular run of popularity, are suddenly scaring regulators and some investors. We spell out the dangers—real and perceived."
Is another bear market on its way? History’s lesson suggests there are four key ingredients and none are currently flashing red"
5) Globalization doesn't mean all stock markets are the same
Comment: It's not just about where you invest – but about the character of other investors in that market, writes Richard Evans"
From www .wsj .com - Today, 12:17 PM
Junk bonds are headed for their first annual loss since the credit crisis, reflecting concerns that a six-year U.S. economic expansion and stock-market boom are on borrowed time."
Labels:
bear market,
commodity crash,
etf,
junk bond crash,
p/e,
sp500,
stock market,
stock market outlook
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Wednesday 28 October 2015
Interesting Market News and Views from Global Financial Markets-4
Tech stocks power the rally on strong earnings from Microsoft, Amazon.com, Alphabet."
There are multiple signs pointing to a bear market in 2015. That's why we've compiled a list of the 10 worst drops in bear market history."
A combination of solid earnings (especially in tech) — as well as a fresh interest rat"
Stocks, emerging market FX, and oil are well off their lows."
A tech share rally drove U.S. stocks up sharply for a second day on Friday as earnings from companies including Microsoft beat analysts' expectations, while healthcare shares rebounded from recent losses."
Make no mistake about it – while we can talk about daily market movement and the news du jour, the reality is we live in a very small sample. The biggest macro"
Interesting Market News & Views
https://t.co/8DPVZZJ2sI pic.twitter.com/eBfKzbkViH
— samuelR (@RajveerRawlin) October 28, 2015
Labels:
bear market,
deflation,
nasdaq,
rally,
sp500
I have over 27 years of experience tracking capital markets across the globe, I write about financial markets and teach MBA students financial markets and investing
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
World Indices
Live World Indices are powered by Investing.com
Market Insight
-
-
Canfor (TSE:CFP) Shares Pass Above 200 Day Moving Average of $15.17 - Canfor Co. (TSE:CFP – Get Free Report) shares crossed above its two hundred day moving average during trading on Friday . The stock has a two hundred day m...1 hour ago
-
The Weltall From ‘Xenogears’ Is Getting A New And Very High-End Toy - In an interesting move, Square Enix has announced a new, high-end toy of the Weltall from the classic role-playing game Xenogears.1 hour ago
-
Marjorie Taylor Greene Slams Lack Of Results From Biden Administration's $42B Broadband Program In Georgia: Elon Musk Calls It 'Staggeringly Bad Waste Of Money' - Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene on Friday slammed the Biden administration for lack of outcome to investments under its Broadband Equity Access and D...1 hour ago
-
Financial Sense Interviews Martin Armstrong: War Cycle, Trump vs. Harris, and Stagflation - Click on the media player above to listen to my latest interview with Financial Sense. Following Ukraine’s recent drone attack on Russia’s capital, tensi...3 hours ago
-
Three Stocks: Constellation Energy, CrowdStrike, and Intel - Constellation Energy Corporation Shares of Constellation (CEG) finished the week on top of the S&P 500 performance leader board after a 20%-plus rally on...11 hours ago
-
S&P 500 PE Ratio - *Current S&P 500 PE Ratio:* 29.77 -0.15 (-0.49%) 4:00 PM EDT, Fri Sep 2011 hours ago
-
Fed up with Fed Talk? Fact-checking Central Banking Fairy Tales! - The big story on Wednesday, September 18, was that the Federal Reserve’s open market committee finally got around to “cutting rates”, and doing so b...11 hours ago
-
Friday links: a penchant for simplicity - Finance - Investors are no longer enamored with Renaissance Technologies' public investment vehicles. (ft.com) - Are rate cuts going to help bo...16 hours ago
-
Run to This Overlooked Tech Stock? (GRMN Rating) - Garmin stock (NYSE: GRMN) is riding the fitness tracking mega trend. Here's how it looks in Green Zone Power Ratings now. The post Run to This Overlooked...16 hours ago
-
MiB: Victor Khosla, Strategic Value Partners - This week, we speak with Victor Khosla, Founder and CIO of Strategic Value Partners. Before establishing SVP in 2001, Victor served as President of...18 hours ago
-
Daily Market Brief - Subscriber content. To subscribe to the Daily Market Brief please visit Market Services on NorthmanTrader.com. The Daily Market Brief is an in-depth market...20 hours ago
-
Debt Rattle September 20 2024 - Paul Gauguin Haymaking in Brittany 1889 • The ‘War Party’ Makes Its Plans (Patrick Lawrence) • Russia Slams NATO’s ‘Reckless’ Rejection of Putin’s Red ...23 hours ago
-
Trucking Data Show A Recession - [image: Cass Truckload Linehaul Index] The folks at Cass Information Systems spend their time gathering a lot of data about how much money gets spent on ...1 day ago
-
Is There A Secret Ulterior Motive Behind The “Emergency Move” That The Federal Reserve Just Made? - We aren’t supposed to question anything that the Federal Reserve does. We are just supposed to quietly accept their decisions and move on. Sadly, most ...1 day ago
-
S&P 500 Projection Chart from 2009 to 2025 | Jeff Hirsch - We are revising our 15-Year Projection chart. This was first drawn in 2011 when our book Super Boom: Why the Dow Jones Will Hit 38,820 and How You Can Prof...1 day ago
-
-
Midweek Update – Sept 19th - Midweek update covering Gold, Silver, Equities (Stocks), Crude Oil, $USD The post Midweek Update – Sept 19th appeared first on The Financial Tap.1 day ago
-
Women’s labor force participation by age - Women have increased their representation in the labor force over time. In this post, we discuss how this process has differed by age group. The FRED graph...1 day ago
-
Palantir Joins the S&P 500: Is It Time to Buy Before the AI Surge? - Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is set to join the S&P 500 index on September 23, 2024, alongside Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) and Erie Indemnity Co. (E...4 days ago
-
Tesla Stock Analysis: 5 Bullish Signals for Swing Trading $TSLA [Sept 2024] - Could Tesla (TSLA) be gearing up for a major bullish run? Veteran analyst Rick Pedicelli breaks down five critical technical factors that suggest a poten...1 week ago
-
Does Anyone Else Smell a Market Crash in the Air? - *Markets are manipulated, yes, but they're still structures of tightly bound, self-organizing complexity which lend themselves to sudden non-linear collaps...1 week ago
-
Introducing CFD Commodity Trading at Dukascopy Japan - Following METI/MAFF approval of the new commodity license for Dukascopy Japan K.K., the company is pleased to expand the list of tradeable instruments wi...2 weeks ago
-
Google Study Reveals How Social Media Memetic Engineering Has Altered The Human Brain For The Worse - A fascinating Google study of how Generation Z consumes online news provides us an insight into how living online has altered the way humans think. Years o...5 weeks ago
-
The Phrase ‘Better Red Than Expert’ Totally Explains The Current US Regime - By Barry Ferguson07/10/24It should be clear that our world today is caught in a battle between good versus evil. The ‘good’ is the populace and the ‘evil’ ...2 months ago
-
If You Find Deer or Elk Antlers on the Ground, Leave Them There, Say Some States - Even though elk do shed their antlers naturally, collecting them brings up a number of ethical issues.4 months ago
-
Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!4 months ago
-
Weekend Update - Trendline rejection (3/8/24) - SPX was rejected by the blue trendline Friday. The trendline had been sucessfully tested four times and held since November, until now. SPX has unable ...6 months ago
-
Mungerisms: Timeless Wisdom from Charlie Munger on Life and Business - "Mungerisms" are succinct expressions of wisdom and insights coined by Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett's longtim...9 months ago
-
It’s Crunch Time for The Daily Doom and Doom Time for The Great Recession Blog - The Great Recession Blog is officially done for good, and my writing continues on TheDailyDoom.com. This site will eventually be completely terminated. If ...1 year ago
-
Innovative Industrial Properties Stock a Great Way to Play Pot Sector - *IIPR Stock Represents a Long-Term Opportunity* Marijuana stocks briefly attracted investors' attention following the 2022 mid-term elections, when Maryl...1 year ago
-
2008 analogue - The 2008 analogue tape looks very interesting from where we stand. Let's anchor it to the next two Fed meetings -- since that's all that matters -- and i...1 year ago
-
Back to trade with Bar Replay - It is often said that one should not be sad about the past, but sometimes it can be nice to return to it. Who would like to buy Tesla for $1 and experience...1 year ago
-
After This Holiday Rally, You Better Know When To Walk Away - This week’s investor insight will make you think twice about the current stock and bond rally as we head into the end of the year. We get a lot of questi...1 year ago
-
How Africa Can Escape Chronic Food Insecurity Amid Climate Change - The toll of extreme weather events on crops underscores the region’s challenges and need for policies to save lives and protect livelihoods.2 years ago
-
12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market - 12 Bear Market Rules To Live By – Survive & Thrive In The Next Bear Market [image: Bear Market Rules Survival Guide] I grew up in the 1970s-1980s when th...2 years ago
-
Growth Companies – Getting What You Want - What do the growth companies in your field have in common? How are they doing so well and what can you learn from them? Growth companies usually make a pro...2 years ago
-
-
Blog Post Title - What goes into a blog post? Helpful, industry-specific content that: 1) gives readers a useful takeaway, and 2) shows you’re an industry expert. Use your c...2 years ago
-
Foot Locker Crushed Q2 Earnings Expectations Sending Stock Higher - Plus, AstraZeneca said its antibody therapy reduced the risk of developing COVID-19 symptoms by 77%, The Topps Co’s SPAC merger is off, and Elon Musk annou...3 years ago
-
Elliott Wave Stock Market Update - July 10th - The market has continued its rally to higher highs and it doesn't seem like it wants to stop. We now have a new ATH at 4371 which are NASDAQ levels s...3 years ago
-
The Psychology of QE is Far More Important Than the Amount of It - Let's discuss what QE really does vs the psychology of QE.3 years ago
-
Hello world! - Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start writing!3 years ago
-
Trading: Opportunities Are Dispersed - Opportunities are dispersed. You might have an... *READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE ON THE NEW WEBSITE: JIM ROGERS TALKS MARKETS * *Jim Rogers is a legendary i...3 years ago
-
Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning November 09 - Indicator Weekly Level / Change Implication for S & P 500 Implication for Nifty* S & P 500 3509, 7.32% Bullish Bullish Nifty 12264, 5.34% Neutral ** Bullis...3 years ago
-
November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any nation than the lowness of interest"?" published. https://bit.ly/2y4LJZQ - November report "Is it True, as David Hume (1711 – 1776) postulated that, "Nothing is esteemed a more certain sign of the flourishing conditions of any n...3 years ago
-
Fully Automated Trend Trading w/ Stocks Or Options - There’s a lot of research to support the usage of trend indicators as simple risk reduction elements that can be layered onto an existing strategy. Howev...3 years ago
-
2020 Top Investment Picks – Q3 Update - At the beginning of the year, I put together a list of Top Investment Picks for 2020 from the investment community and track them on this website. This is ...3 years ago
-
Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes - I just published a new long-form piece through OSAM entitled “Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes.” In th...4 years ago
-
The last of 12326 - February 22nd 2012..... First post... https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/2012/02/can-anyone-fly-plane.html -- This post will be the last under the o...4 years ago
-
-
Ultramarathoner Runs Over 200 Miles in Backyard, Wins Golden Toilet Paper Roll - Strange times indeed. In the land “BC,” before coronavirus, people ran long distances in foot races, and toilet paper wasn’t coveted. Things have changed. ...4 years ago
-
One Year Later - A year ago today I lost my father and my best friend, everyone here lost their mentor and a friend. Dad and I spent the last 7 years of his life living tog...4 years ago
-
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Retreating Towards Key Support Around $25.60-$27 -
AMD has failed to clear the 2018 high around $34.20. It is retreating, and has broken an August/September sup...
4 years ago -
Advanced Search is Now on Stocktwits - Advanced Search Is Now on Stocktwits Come rain or shine, the Stocktwits community shares over 200,000 messages per day. That includes charts, news, trade i...5 years ago
-
Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 - To access this post, you must purchase Premium Plan or Premium Plan - Annual. The post Nightly Algo Report – December 6, 2018 appeared first on Elliottwa...5 years ago
-
Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
-
A look at the bull market ahead - My latest missive on the near-term stock market outlook can be seen at Financial Sense web site. You can see it by clicking on the following link: https:/...6 years ago
-
Weekly Videos - This week’s video will be posted on the new home for Short Takes. If all goes well, it will appear sometime between 6:00 and 8:00 pm ET.6 years ago
-
Gold Miners near a buy zone - Gold cleared a several month long consolidation a few weeks ago as it cleared $1300, and has since been consolidating as it drifts back to […] The post G...7 years ago
-
Current Account Deficits and Safe Assets - The International Monetary Fund has issued its External Sector Report for 2017, and among its key findings: “Global current account imbalances were broadly...7 years ago
-
Kafka For The Twenty First Century - I've been spending a slightly frustrating day trying to update my payment details at google. To log in to my admin console I need to log in using my G Sui...7 years ago
-
Gold Unleashed by Fed - Gold's next major upleg was likely unleashed by a very-dovish FOMC this week, which now has its hands tied on hiking rates or being hawkish due to the US e...7 years ago
-
Why Mitt Romney Will Be The Next President - News Flash: Despite how it may look, what with Occupy Wall Street protests and Tea Party rallies, the country’s populous is not as polarized as it might se...12 years ago
-
August 24th Blogger Sentiment Poll - There are more bulls than bears in this week's poll. Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (N) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Elliot Wave L...15 years ago
My Favorite Books
- The Intelligent Investor
- Liars Poker
- One up on Wall Street
- Beating the Street
- Remniscience of a stock operator
Trading Ideas
Forex Insight
-
Bitcoin ETF options set to go live following SEC approval of BlackRock's application - Read more on https://www.fxstreet.com7 hours ago
-
Global Market Weekly Recap: September 16 – 20, 2024 - It was a hectic week in the global financial markets, as the FOMC decision took center stage while crude oil made some big moves of its own.10 hours ago
-
USD/CAD eyes Canadian retail sales - The Canadian dollar is steady on Friday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3573 at the time of writing, up 0.12% today. On the data calendar...21 hours ago
-
Upward Revision to Q2 GDP Aids the US Dollar’s Feeble Recovery - The second estimate of US GDP growth in Q2 saw an upward revision from 2.8% to 3%. However, US resilience has come under pressure, particularly in the labo...3 weeks ago
-
Don’t be Fooled by the Pullback in the Dollar Because…. - Don’t be fooled by the pullback in the U.S. dollar today because the greenback could still strengthen further before the end of the year. Nearly all of the...5 years ago
-
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook - EUR/USD's decline attempt was contained at 1.0494, above 1.0493 support and rebounded. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of ...7 years ago
-
Loonie and Aussie Share Downward Bond - In yesterday’s post (Tide is Turning for the Aussie), I explained how a prevailing sense of uncertainty in the markets has manifested itself in the form of...13 years ago
Economic Calendar
India Market Insight
-
Master Gann Price Time Squaring: Your Key to Capturing Stock Market Gains - In the world of trading, few methods have attracted as much intrigue as Gann’s Price Time Squaring formula. Developed by William Delbert Gann, a legendar...3 hours ago
-
Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial - [image: Reduce Persistent Systems; target of Rs 3700: Emkay Global Financial] Emkay Global Financial recommended reduce rating on Persistent Systems with a...4 months ago
-
Rupee falls 29 paise to close at 82.68 against US dollar - During the day, the rupee touched a high of 82.45 and a low of 82.68 against the greenback. On Friday, the rupee had settled at 82.39 against the dollar.1 year ago
-
-
ES Hourly cloud and 4 Hour chart - - ES Hour moving towards the hourly cloud which may act as resistance. - 4 Hour chart shows a possible bullish candle which may give new high's ...3 years ago
-
JUST NIFTY BLOG 10-01-2020 - Bulk Deals FII DII Stats Date # of Deals Total Volume (In Millions) 01-01-1970 0 0.00 Click here to see all Bulk Deals Date Category Buy Amount (Rs. Cror...4 years ago
-
Vist Note on Federal Bank - We recently met the senior management of Federal Bank which is one of the old private sector banks with a distribution network of 1252 branches (48% Kerala...6 years ago
-
Nifty Bulls bounces ferociously holding 9930,EOD Analysis - FII's bought 4.8 K contract of Index Future worth 262 cores ,9.7 K Long contract were added by FII's and 4.8 K Short contracts were added by FII's. Net Ope...6 years ago
-
Midcap & Smallcap Index Corrects, Lets Come Back To Fundamentals Again - Midcap Index had made a high of 18511 on 16th May 2017, fell almost 7% and is currently trading at 17230. Smallcap Index made all time high of 7679 on 11th...7 years ago
-
Market outlook for 30/10/2016 - *Nifty closed up 22.75 points (0.26%) at 8638.00* while Future closed at 8667.40, premium of 29.40 points. *Bank Nifty closed up 41.35 points (0.21%) at 19...7 years ago
-
Option Open Interest for 28-10-2016 - Inference The index opened flat to positive and after making an initial low around 8581 saw some short covering to close at 8638.00, gain of 22.75 points. ...7 years ago
-
Market Review for 23rd August 2016 - *Nifty (8629)* we said ‘technically trend is still intact but there exists selling pressure near 8746 and support around 8600 zones’ the Nifty unfolded as...8 years ago
-
ITC To Resume Cigarette Manufacturing - ITC manufactures a range of cigarette brands, including India Kings, Classic, Gold Flake, Navy Cut, Capstan, Bristol, Flake, Silk Cut, which are manufactur...8 years ago
-
My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)
Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%
My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.