About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

Friday, 24 February 2017

Financial Markets - The Calm before the Storm

Global financial markets took a battering in 2022. Despite this volatility remains quite low despite making higher lows and higher highs throughout the year. The Indian market was an out-performer, but Gann fans are signaling a trend change both for the Index and Indian market volatility. Will complacency kill the cat in 2023?

1 comment:

sandeep capitalstars13 March 2019 at 05:22
Nice article thanks for sharing
Mcx tips
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Economic Calendar

GMT-4		Event	Actual	Consensus
Wednesday, May 07
14:00	US	Fed Interest Rate Decision	4.5%	4.5%
14:00	US	Fed Monetary Policy Statement
14:30	US	FOMC Press Conference
15:00	US	Consumer Credit Change	$10.17B	$9.50B
19:01	UK	RICS Housing Price Balance	-3%
Thursday, May 08
02:00	UK	Halifax House Prices (MoM)		-0.1%
02:00	UK	Halifax House Prices (YoY/3m)		2.6%
07:00	UK	BoE Interest Rate Decision		4.25%
07:00	UK	Monetary Policy Report
07:00	UK	BoE Monetary Policy Report

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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.