About

Ahead of the Curve provides analysis and insight into today's global financial markets. The latest news and views from global stock, bond, commodity, and FOREX markets are discussed. Rajveer Rawlin is a PhD and received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher, having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests include capital markets, banking, investment analysis, and portfolio management, and he has over 20 years of experience in the above areas, covering the US and Indian markets. He has several publications in the above areas. He currently teaches business and management students at CHRIST University. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

Wednesday, 8 February 2017

Daily Forex Insight

Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx. They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day. Today's commentary looks at the value in trading quiet markets:

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Economic Calendar

GMT-4		Event	Actual	Consensus
Sunday, May 04
24h	UK	Early May
21:00	AU	TD-MI Inflation Gauge (MoM)	0.6%
21:30	AU	ANZ Job Advertisements	0.5%
Monday, May 05
02:30	CH	Consumer Price Index (MoM)	0.0%	0.2%
02:30	CH	Consumer Price Index (YoY)	0.0%
09:45	US	S&P Global Services PMI		51.4
09:45	US	S&P Global Composite PMI		51.2
10:00	US	ISM Services Employment Index
10:00	US	ISM Services Prices Paid
10:00	US	ISM Services PMI		50.6

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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.