Showing posts with label volatility. Show all posts
Showing posts with label volatility. Show all posts
Friday, 29 April 2022

Jaws GAP - India Vix vs US Vix

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There is quite a bit of underperformance in Indian market volatility compared to US market volatility since the COVID-19 crash as indicated ...
Thursday, 16 August 2018

Why a Massive Selloff in Risk Assets Could be Just a Few Days Away?

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First market breadth is diverging with the New 52 week high low indicator not confirming the recent retest of highs in the S and P 500: ...
Wednesday, 7 February 2018

The Most Important Crowded Trade of All?

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We have recently witnessed or are about to witness the implosion of a series of crowded trades namely long bitcoin, long Index ETF's a...
Tuesday, 19 December 2017

FED Balance Sheet Vs Emerging Market Volatility Vs Stock Market Capitalization to GDP

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The assets on the FED balance sheet stands at well over 4.4 trillion dollars, this has coincided with record low emerging market volatilit...
Thursday, 23 November 2017

Indian Market Volatility Surging Relative to US Market Volatility

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Indian market volatility has been surging off late relative to US market volatility much like in November 2016 when the last meaningful co...
Wednesday, 4 October 2017

Emerging Parallels to the Fall of 2007 - Hallmark of a Brand New Crisis

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The fall of 2017 is increasingly looking like the fall of 2007 when risky assets topped out: [ View the story "Emerging Parallels t...
Monday, 8 May 2017

The Case for a Sell in May and Go Away

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[ View the story "A Strong Case for the Sell in May and Go Away" on Storify ]
Thursday, 15 September 2016

Chart of the Week - Vix Futures CFTC Data

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The chart of the week is courtesy the volatility surfer via seeking alpha and shows CFTC data on the Vix futures. Shorts on the Vix are at ...
Tuesday, 15 March 2016

Dollar Strength to Return?

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Yet another FED day has come and gone, the dollar has been trending down and is approaching oversold levels and could trigger a risk off ...
Friday, 1 January 2016

Predictions for 2016

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Here are my predictions for 2016: 1) 2016 is finally the year when the Euro breaches parity to the Dollar: 2) 2016 will prove to be ...
Thursday, 31 December 2015

Update on Those Predictions for 2015

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At the beginning of 2015 I made some predictions for grins. Here's how they played out: The original post containing the predictions c...
Monday, 7 December 2015

Head Winds for Global Financial Markets Going Forward

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1) Collapsing Oil: Oil has entered into a free fall post OPEC and is not looking to stabilize anytime soon. This has deflationary implic...
Tuesday, 16 June 2015

Trading Strategies for Fed Day and Beyond

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The Fed's first rate hike is still far away. Several key asset classes could head lower post the #Fed despite the FOMC affirming  a d...
Thursday, 14 May 2015

Rounding Top Pattern in the Indian Stock Market Nifty Index Suggests Lower levels for the Nifty in the Months Ahead

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The weekly chart of the Indian stock market Nifty index shows a rounding top formation that targets 6000 on the Index. This coincides wit...
Friday, 2 January 2015

Predictions for 2015

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Dollar strength continues after a brief pause against all major currencies except the yen. With the Euro decisively breaking the long term ...