Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
2416, 1.83%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nifty
|
9595, 1.77%
|
Neutral
**
|
Bullish
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
3110, 0.63%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Gold
|
1268, 1.16%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
WTIC
Crude
|
49.80, -1.72%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Copper
|
2.55, -0.60%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
912, -4.60%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Euro
|
1.118, -0.21%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dollar/Yen
|
111.33, 0.06%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dow
Transports
|
9176, 3.35%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
High
Yield (ETF)
|
37.33, 0.40%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
US
10 year Bond Yield
|
2.25%, 0.22%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
543, 16.27%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US
Vix
|
9.81, -18.52%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Skew
|
125
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
2394, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
2373, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2263, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
9403, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
9263, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
8717, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India
Vix
|
10.86, -3.89%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
64.56, 0.08%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
9
|
10
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
3
|
3
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The
S and P 500 and the Nifty made new highs last week. Indicators are bullish.
The
market is at new highs. Time to watch those stops.
|
||
On
the Horizon
|
China
– PMI, Japan – Capital spending, New Zealand – Wheeler speech, Euro Zone – German
CPI, Employment data, Euro zone CPI, ECB rate decision, Draghi speech,
U.S
– ISM, Personal consumption expenditure, Consumer confidence, Employment data,
Canada – GDP, PMI, Mexico – Inflation report
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, dailyfx.com
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The S and
P 500 and the Nifty made new highs last week. Signals are bullish for the
upcoming week. Past and future FED rate hikes are yet to be priced in and sentiment
indicators are back in complacency mode. Market internals, the transports and
commodities are flashing major warning signs of a large decline ahead. The
critical levels to watch are 2425 (up) and 2400 (down) on the S & P and 9650
(up) and 9550 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels
could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last
week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.
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