Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
2297, 0.12%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Nifty
|
8741, 1.15%
|
Neutral**
|
Bullish
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
3140, -0.60%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Gold
|
1221, 2.73%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
WTIC
Crude
|
53.83, 1.24%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Copper
|
2.62, -2.73%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
752, -9.07%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Euro
|
1.079, 0.81%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Yen
|
112.61, -2.11%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Dow
Transports
|
9242, -2.15%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
High
Yield (ETF)
|
36.88, 0.15%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
US
10 year Bond Yield
|
2.49%, 0.40%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
654, -4.10%
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
US
Vix
|
10.97, 3.69%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
2278, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
2255, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2161, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
8473, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
8268, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
8352, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India
Vix
|
13.13, -17.98%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
67.17, -1.35%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
6
|
9
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
7
|
6
|
|
Outlook
|
Bearish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The
S and P 500 was unchanged and the Nifty rallied last week. Indicators are mixed.
The
Trump bounce is largely over. Time to watch those stops.
|
||
On
the Horizon
|
China
– New loan data, Australia – Rate decision, New Zealand – Rate decision, U.S - U. Mich. consumer confidence, Canada –Employment data, India - RBI rate decision
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, dailyfx.com
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The S and
P 500 was unchanged and the Nifty moved up last week. Signals are mixed for the
upcoming week. Possible FED rate hikes are yet to be priced in and sentiment
indicators are back in complacent mode. Bond yields are surging back up. Transports
are under performing and the Baltic dry index is crashing again. The critical
levels to watch are 2310 (up) and 2290 (down) on the S & P and 8800 (up)
and 8700 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could
trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last
week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.
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