Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
2052, 0.28%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Nifty
|
7750, -0.83%
|
Neutral**
|
Bearish
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
2826, -0.06%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Gold
|
1253,-1.68%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
WTIC
Crude
|
48.48, 3.08%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Copper
|
2.06, -1.03%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
625, 4.17%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Euro
|
1.120, -0.92%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Dollar/Yen
|
110.12, 1.40%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Dow
Transports
|
7672, 2.19%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
High
Yield (ETF)
|
34.99, 0.55%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
US
10 year Bond Yield
|
1.85%, 8.45%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
723, -21.56%
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
US
Vix
|
15.20, 1.06%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
2065, Below
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
2061, Below
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2011, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
7835, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
7726, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
7799, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
India
Vix
|
16.42, -3.37%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
67.43, 0.79%
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
6
|
7
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
8
|
9
|
|
Outlook
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
|
Observation
|
The
Sand P 500 was relatively unchanged and the Nifty fell last week. Indicators
are bearish.
Markets
are breaking down from resistance. Time to tighten those stops as downside has
resumed.
|
||
On
the Horizon
|
Japan
– CPI, England – GDP, U.S – durable goods, GDP, Canada – Rate decision
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, FXCM
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The Sand
P 500 was unchanged and the Nifty fell last week. Signals are bearish for the
upcoming week. The Vix is suggesting complacency. The markets are breaking down
from resistance and are likely to continue major breakdowns in 2016 as the recent
rally appears to have concluded. A big move is imminent. The critical
levels to watch are 2060 (up) and 2040 (down) on the S & P and 7800 (up)
and 7700 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could
trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last
week’s report for a comparison. You can also check out support and resistance levels of
the S and P 500 and Nifty Indices. Love your thoughts and feedback.
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