Indicator
|
Weekly Level / Change /
Significance
|
Implication for
S & P 500
|
Implication for Nifty*
|
S & P 500
|
2089,
3.27%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nifty
|
7856,
1.21%
|
Neutral**
|
Bullish
|
China Shanghai Index
|
3631,
1.39%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Gold
|
1077,
-0.62%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
WTIC Crude
|
41.46,
1.79%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Copper
|
2.04,
-5.71%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Baltic Dry Index
|
498,
-11.07%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Euro
|
1.0649,
-1.13%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Dollar/Yen
|
122.77,
0.14%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dow Transports
|
8302,
3.64%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
US 10 year Bond Yield
|
2.26%,
-0.79%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nyse Summation Index
|
191,
-33.37%
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
US Vix
|
15.47,
-22.96%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
20 DMA, S and P 500
|
2079,
Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50 DMA, S and P 500
|
2020,
Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200 DMA, S and P 500
|
2065,
Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20 DMA, Nifty
|
7978,
Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
50 DMA, Nifty
|
7984,
Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
200 DMA, Nifty
|
8324,
Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
India Vix
|
15.90,
-9.94%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
66.11,
0.02%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S & P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish Indications
|
9
|
8
|
|
Bearish Indications
|
5
|
7
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The Sand P 500 and the Nifty
were up last week. Indicators are bullish. Markets are back at resistance and
the Vix is signaling complacency. This is a holiday shortened week so market
may trade in a narrow range.
|
||
On the Horizon
|
Japan–CPI, U.K – GDP, U.S – GDP, Personal
consumption, Consumer Confidence, Durable Goods.
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s Benchmark Stock Market
Index
|
||
Raw Data
|
Courtesy Google finance,
Stock charts, FXCM
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The US market and
the Nifty rallied last week. Signals are bullish for the upcoming week. The
markets are back at resistance and after this holiday shortened week and are
likely to continue to correct with most emerging markets, and commodities
already breaking down on a strong dollar and a hawkish FED. The critical
levels to watch are 2100 (up) and 2065 (down) on the S & P and 7900 (up)
and 7700 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could
trigger the next big move in the markets. You can check out last week’s report for
a comparison. You can also check out snapshots of the S
and P 500 and Nifty Indices.
Love your thoughts and feedback.
Market signals for the us stock market s and p 500 index and indian stock market nifty index for the week beginning November 23 from Rajveer Rawlin
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