Sunday 27 September 2015

Market Signals for the US S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning September 28


Indicator
Weekly Level / Change / Significance
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
1931, -1.36%
Bearish
Bearish
Nifty
7869, -1.42%
Neutral**
Bearish
China Shanghai Index
3092, -0.18%
Neutral
Neutral
Gold
1146, 0.56%
Bullish
Bullish
WTIC Crude
45.34, 0.04%
Neutral
Neutral
Copper
2.28, -4.14%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
943, -1.77%
Bearish
Bearish
Euro
1.1194, -0.94%
Bearish
Bearish
Dollar/Yen
120.60, 0.75%
Bullish
Bullish
Dow Transports
7851, -2.31%
Bearish
Bearish
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.17%, 1.78%
Bearish
Bearish
Nyse Summation Index
-365, 2.98%
Bullish
Neutral
US Vix
23.62, 6.01%
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
1955, Below
Bearish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2023, Below
Bearish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2065, Below
Bearish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
7832, Above
Neutral
Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty
8187, Below
Neutral
Bearish
200 DMA, Nifty
8389, Below
Neutral
Bearish
India Vix
20.88, 14.16%
Neutral
Bearish
Dollar/Rupee
66.14,0.44%
Neutral
Neutral




Overall
 S & P 500
Nifty

Bullish Indications
2
3

Bearish Indications
10
11

Outlook
Bearish
Bearish

Observation
The Sand P 500 and the Nifty were down last week. Indicators are bearish.
We are entering a weak period for risk assets globally and massive declines are likely in both indices in the upcoming months.


On the Horizon
 RBI Policy, US Personal Consumption & Consumer Confidence, German & EU CPI, Canada GDP, US & China PMI Data, US & German Employment Data,






*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index


Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock charts, FXCM


**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered neutral


 The markets resumed their downtrend last week. Signals are strongly bearish for the upcoming week and markets are in #crash mode. The #SandP500 and several global indices are completing massive bear flags which are resolving to the downside. There will be more downside upcoming in the #Nifty and the S and P 500, with at least a retest of the lows for the S and P 500 near 1867 and Nifty near 7550 in the upcoming days. You can check out last weeks report for a comparison. You can also check out snapshots of the S and P 500 and Nifty Indices. Love your thoughts and feedback.
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