Sunday 16 August 2015

Market Signals for the US S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning August 17

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Indicator
Weekly Level / Change / Significance
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2092, 0.67%
Bullish
Bullish
Nifty
8519, -0.54%
Neutral**
Bearish
China Shanghai Index
3965, 5.91%
Bullish
Bullish
Gold
1113, 1.82%
Bullish
Bullish
WTIC Crude
42.74, -2.31%
Bearish
Bearish
Copper
2.34, 0.75%
Bullish
Bullish
Baltic Dry Index
1055, -12.08%
Bearish
Bearish
Euro
1.1097, 1.13%
Bullish
Bullish
Dollar/Yen
124.32, 0.09%
Neutral
Neutral
Dow Transports
8319, 0.82%
Bullish
Bullish
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.20%, 0.97%
Bearish
Bearish
Nyse Summation Index
-298, 11.96%
Bullish
Neutral
US Vix
12.83, -4.18%
Bullish
Bullish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2096, Below
Bearish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2095, Below
Bearish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2077, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
8495, Above
Neutral
Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty
8386, Above
Neutral
Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty
8449, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
16.02, 7.44%
Neutral
Bearish
Dollar/Rupee
65.12, 2.22%
Neutral
Bearish




Overall
 S & P 500
Nifty

Bullish Indications
9
10

Bearish Indications
5
6

Outlook
Bullish
Bullish

Observation
The Sand P 500 was up last week while the Nifty under performed. Indicators are bullish.
The Vix is indicating complacency.  Once again I will look for topping action in the Nifty and the S and P 500 in the upcoming bounce.


On the Horizon
Japan GDP, US, UK and Canada CPI, US FOMC Minutes, US PMI






*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Index


Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock charts, Dailyfx


**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered neutral


PureVPN
Signals are bullish for the upcoming week. I will look for some topping action in the Nifty and the S and P 500 in the upcoming bounce. You can check out last weeks report for a comparison. You can also check out snapshots of the S and P 500 and Nifty Indices.

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