Saturday 13 June 2015

Stock Market Signals for the US and Indian Stock Markets for the Upcoming Week beginning June 15

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change / Significance
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2094, 0.06%
Neutral
Neutral
Nifty
7983, -1.62%
Neutral**
Bearish
China Shanghai Index
5166, 2.85%
Bullish
Bullish
Gold
1181, 0.75%
Bullish
Bullish
WTIC Crude
59.94, 1.80%
Bullish
Bearish
Copper
2.68, -0.96%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
642, 5.25%
Bullish
Bullish
Euro
1.126, 1.44%
Bullish
Bullish
Dollar/Yen
123.85, -1.34%
Bearish
Bearish
Dow Transports
8417,- 1.09%
Bearish
Bearish
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.39%, -0.71%
Bullish
Bullish
Nyse Summation Index
-150, -584%
Bearish
Neutral
US Vix
13.78, -3.03%
Bullish
Bullish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2111, Below
Bearish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2103, Below
Bearish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2048, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
8251, Below
Neutral
Bearish
50 DMA, Nifty
8353, Below
Neutral
Bearish
200 DMA, Nifty
8346, Below
Neutral
Bearish
India Vix
17.48, -3.37%
Neutral
Bullish
Dollar/Rupee
64.10, -0.01%
Neutral
Neutral




Overall
 S & P 500
Nifty

Bullish Indications
8
7

Bearish Indications
6
8

Outlook
Marginally Bullish
Marginally Bearish

Observation
The Sand P 500 held support at 2085 while the Nifty under performed significantly last week. The summation index is flashing warning signs. Market cycles are positive till July so a rally is likely through the FOMC. Also Expecting a big move up in the Nifty this week.


On the Horizon
Greece, FOMC, Speech from ECB President Draghi, US CPI






*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Index


Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock charts


**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered neutral


Last weeks bearish signals have largely been negated. You can check out last weeks report for a comparison.

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