Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
3221, 1.65%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nifty
|
12272,
1.53%
|
Neutral
**
|
Bullish
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
3005, 1.26%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Gold
|
1482, 0.06%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
WTIC
Crude
|
60.37,
0.50%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Copper
|
2.80, 0.83%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
1123, -17.12%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Euro
|
1.1078,
-0.39%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dollar/Yen
|
109.45,
0.05%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dow
Transports
|
10901,
1.16%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
High
Yield (Bond)
|
109.28,
0.10%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
US 10
year Bond Yield
|
1.92%,
4.69%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
725, 36.85%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US Vix
|
12.51,
-0.95%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Skew
|
147
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
3151, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
3091, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2955, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
12059,
Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
11865,
Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
11525,
Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India
Vix
|
12.33,
-7.33%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
71.06,
0.37%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
10
|
11
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
3
|
3
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The S
and P 500 and the Nifty were up last week. Indicators are bullish for the
week.
The
markets are on the verge of a great depression
style collapse. Watch those stops.
|
||
On the
Horizon
|
-
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Stock charts, investing.com
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes
less than 0.5% are considered neutral
|
The S and P 500 and the Nifty were up last week. Indicators are bullish for the upcoming week. QE forever from the FED is about to trigger
the deflationary collapse of the century and we are likely making another major
top in global equity markets. The market is looking like the short of a
life time with non-conformations from the transports, other global indices
and commodities and insane valuations. A massive drop in the S and P 500 looks
imminent. The trend is about to change from bullish to bearish and the
markets are about to get smashed by a
strong dollar. Looking for significant under performance in the Nifty going
forward on rapidly deteriorating macros. A 5
year deflationary wave is about to start in key asset classes like the
Euro, stocks and commodities amidst a number of bearish divergences and over
stretched valuations. We are on the verge of a multi-year great
depression. The markets are still trading well over 3 standard deviations
above their long term averages from which corrections usually result. Tail risk
has been very high off late as the yield
curve inverts. The critical levels to watch for the week are 3230 (up) and 3210 (down) on the S
& P 500 and 12350
(up) and 12200 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach
of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You
can check out last week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback. Season's
Greetings!
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